Football results Saturday 26 September 2026: AI predictions review

Saturday's football produced a mixed day for the 10-model TuringStats consensus, which correctly called 16 of 27 matches. The headline record reflects a slate that included comfortable favourites, a rash of draws, and several results that no model saw coming.

The biggest surprise came in Liga MX, where Guadalajara Chivas lost 0-2 at home to Club Queretaro despite all 10 models backing a Chivas win. In MLS, Charlotte were also unanimous picks but fell 0-1 to Chicago Fire, while England's 2-3 defeat by Spain in the UEFA Nations League defied a strong draw consensus.

Where the AI got it right

Five Copa del Rey ties delivered straightforward correct calls. Anaitasuna vs Tedeón prediction saw 80% of models back the home side, and Anaitasuna ran out 5-0 winners. Atletico Calatayud vs Baztán prediction was also correct, with Calatayud winning 2-0 after 80% of models picked them. Lebrijana vs Ceuta 6 de Junio prediction went the way of the consensus as Lebrijana triumphed 5-0. Ribadesella CF vs Noja prediction was a tighter affair, Ribadesella winning 1-0 with 80% support. Pinatar vs Atlético Melilla prediction was the most one-sided, Pinatar's 8-0 win backed by 90% of models.

In the Segunda División, the consensus found two correct draws. Tenerife vs Cadiz prediction ended 1-1, matching the 60% of models who expected a stalemate. Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell prediction also finished 1-1, with 70% of models on the draw. AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II prediction was a correct home win, AD Ceuta prevailing 3-1 with 60% backing.

The UEFA Nations League provided several correct calls. Slovenia vs Scotland prediction was a 0-0 draw, as 80% of models foresaw. Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan prediction ended 1-1, with 50% on the draw. San Marino vs Finland prediction was a comfortable away win, Finland's 7-0 triumph backed by 100% of models. Czechia vs Croatia prediction saw Croatia win 2-1, with 50% of models on the away side. Albania vs Belarus prediction was a 2-0 home win, as 100% expected. Slovakia vs Moldova prediction delivered a 2-0 home win with 100% support. FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland prediction ended 0-3 to Switzerland, again with 100% backing.

Where it got it wrong

The misses were costly and often emphatic. In Liga MX, Atlante FC vs Monterrey prediction saw 90% of models back Monterrey, but Atlante won 4-2. Club Tijuana vs Atlas prediction had 80% on Tijuana, yet Atlas won 3-2. Cruz Azul vs Toluca prediction was a 3-3 draw, defying the 70% who picked Cruz Azul. And Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Queretaro prediction was unanimous for Chivas, but Queretaro won 2-0.

MLS brought three more misses. Charlotte vs Chicago Fire prediction had 100% on Charlotte, but Chicago won 1-0. CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati prediction saw 90% back Cincinnati, yet Montreal won 3-1. Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC prediction was a 2-2 draw with 70% on Atlanta. Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC prediction was a correct home win, Philadelphia 4-2 with 100% support.

In the Segunda División, Granada CF vs FC Andorra prediction was a shock: 100% of models backed Granada, but Andorra won 3-2. The Nations League also produced surprises. Bulgaria vs Luxembourg prediction had 100% on Bulgaria, yet Luxembourg won 2-1. Iceland vs Estonia prediction was a 1-1 draw, despite 100% backing Iceland. And England vs Spain prediction ended 2-3 to Spain, with 80% of models expecting a draw.

Models of the day

Gemini 3.8 Flash was the best performer with 17 of 27 correct, one ahead of Kimi K3 on 16. Qwen 3.8 Max and GLM 5.3 both managed 15, while MiMo V2.5 Pro got 14. GPT-5.6 Luna, Claude Sonnet 5 and Grok 4.6 each recorded 13. Mistral Medium 3.5 finished on 11, and DeepSeek V4 Pro brought up the rear with 10 of 27.

Full results

• Copa del Rey: Anaitasuna 5-0 Tedeón — consensus Anaitasuna win (80%) RIGHT
• Copa del Rey: Atletico Calatayud 2-0 Baztán — consensus Atletico Calatayud win (80%) RIGHT
• Copa del Rey: Lebrijana 5-0 Ceuta 6 de Junio — consensus Lebrijana win (80%) RIGHT
• Copa del Rey: Ribadesella CF 1-0 Noja — consensus Ribadesella CF win (80%) RIGHT
• Copa del Rey: Pinatar 8-0 Atlético Melilla — consensus Pinatar win (90%) RIGHT
• Liga MX: Atlante FC 4-2 Monterrey — consensus Monterrey win (90%) WRONG
• Liga MX: Club Tijuana 2-3 Atlas — consensus Club Tijuana win (80%) WRONG
• Liga MX: Cruz Azul 3-3 Toluca — consensus Cruz Azul win (70%) WRONG
• Liga MX: Guadalajara Chivas 0-2 Club Queretaro — consensus Guadalajara Chivas win (100%) WRONG
• Major League Soccer: Charlotte 0-1 Chicago Fire — consensus Charlotte win (100%) WRONG
• Major League Soccer: CF Montreal 3-1 FC Cincinnati — consensus FC Cincinnati win (90%) WRONG
• Major League Soccer: Atlanta United FC 2-2 New York City FC — consensus Atlanta United FC win (70%) WRONG
• Major League Soccer: Philadelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City SC — consensus Philadelphia Union win (100%) RIGHT
• Segunda División: AD Ceuta FC 3-1 Real Sociedad II — consensus AD Ceuta FC win (60%) RIGHT
• Segunda División: Granada CF 2-3 FC Andorra — consensus Granada CF win (100%) WRONG
• Segunda División: Tenerife 1-1 Cadiz — consensus draw (60%) RIGHT
• Segunda División: Celta de Vigo II 1-1 Sabadell — consensus draw (70%) RIGHT
• UEFA Nations League: Slovenia 0-0 Scotland — consensus draw (80%) RIGHT
• UEFA Nations League: Bulgaria 1-2 Luxembourg — consensus Bulgaria win (100%) WRONG
• UEFA Nations League: Iceland 1-1 Estonia — consensus Iceland win (100%) WRONG
• UEFA Nations League: Faroe Islands 1-1 Kazakhstan — consensus draw (50%) RIGHT
• UEFA Nations League: San Marino 0-7 Finland — consensus Finland win (100%) RIGHT
• UEFA Nations League: England 2-3 Spain — consensus draw (80%) WRONG
• UEFA Nations League: Czechia 1-2 Croatia — consensus Croatia win (50%) RIGHT
• UEFA Nations League: Albania 2-0 Belarus — consensus Albania win (100%) RIGHT
• UEFA Nations League: Slovakia 2-0 Moldova — consensus Slovakia win (100%) RIGHT
• UEFA Nations League: FYR Macedonia 0-3 Switzerland — consensus Switzerland win (100%) RIGHT

Today's predictions are live on the TuringStats today page, with all 10 models locked in ahead of kickoff.

Next up: today's football predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.