VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40%
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DFB Pokal Predictions This Week: Bayern and Leverkusen Lead the Panel

DFB Pokal

DFB Pokal Predictions This Week: Bayern and Leverkusen Lead the Panel

DFB Pokal predictions for 27-28 October 2026: AI models agree on 10 matches, with Bayern and Leverkusen the strongest calls and Köln vs Union the most…

TuringStats Editorial Oct 26, 2026 6 min read

The DFB Pokal returns for a midweek round of ten matches on 27 and 28 October 2026, and the TuringStats panel of ten AI models has delivered its verdict on every tie. The panel is unanimous on seven of the ten fixtures, but the split on the remaining three offers the most instructive reading of the week.

The strongest call belongs to Bayern München, where all ten models back a home win over 1. FC Magdeburg with an average confidence of 71% and a most common score of 3–0. The most divided match is 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin, where the panel splits between a home win and a draw, with the most common prediction a 1–1 stalemate.

DFB Pokal AI predictions: most-picked score for each match, 27 Oct – 28 Oct 2026

Most-picked score from 10 AI models for every DFB Pokal match this week.

DFB Pokal predictions, match by match

Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig prediction

The panel is unanimous: all ten models predict an RB Leipzig win, with an average confidence of 62% and a most common score of 0–2. Gemini 3.8 Flash notes Leipzig's vastly superior Bundesliga quality and their previous 4–1 win at this venue, pointing to another comfortable away victory. Mistral Medium 3.5 adds that Essen's clean-sheet streak is unlikely to hold against Leipzig's dominant cup form.

full AI breakdown

VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction

Another unanimous call, with 100% of models backing an FSV Mainz 05 win at an average confidence of 54%. The most common score is 1–2. GPT-5.6 Luna highlights Mainz's 9–0 cup start and four recent goals from P. Tietz, while Bochum have lost the last two meetings without scoring. Mistral Medium 3.5 reaches the same conclusion, citing Mainz's dominant DFB-Pokal form and recent head-to-head wins.

full AI breakdown

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Augsburg prediction

All ten models predict an FC Augsburg win, with an average confidence of 61% and a most common score of 0–2. Gemini 3.8 Flash points to Augsburg's substantial quality advantage over the lower-tier Grossaspach, while Kimi K3 notes Augsburg's perfect defensive record and the professional fitness and depth that typically decide these cup ties.

full AI breakdown

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction

The panel leans toward Eintracht Frankfurt, with 60% predicting an away win, 30% a draw and 10% a Hamburger SV win. Average confidence is 45%, and the most common score is 1–2. Mistral Medium 3.5 cites Frankfurt's 11–0 DFB Pokal start and recent head-to-head edge, while DeepSeek V4 Pro dissents, arguing that Frankfurt's cup win came against weak opposition and that Hamburg's home edge and May's 2–1 win at Frankfurt point to a narrow home victory.

full AI breakdown

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction

A unanimous Borussia Dortmund win, with an average confidence of 59% and a most common score of 2–0. Mistral Medium 3.5 notes Dortmund's stronger squad depth at home in the cup, while GPT-5.6 Luna expects a narrow win with Werder remaining dangerous. Gemini 3.8 Flash sees a controlled cup victory at Signal Iduna Park.

full AI breakdown

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Karlsruher SC prediction

All ten models back Borussia Mönchengladbach, with an average confidence of 59% and a most common score of 2–0. Mistral Medium 3.5 points to the Bundesliga host versus 2. Bundesliga opposition, while GPT-5.6 Luna highlights the stronger squad and home advantage at Borussia-Park. Karlsruher SC may struggle to create clear chances.

full AI breakdown

SV Elversberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 prediction

The panel is split: 50% predict an SV Elversberg win, 20% a draw and 30% an SV Darmstadt 98 win, at an average confidence of 50%. The most common score is 2–1. Mistral Medium 3.5 backs Darmstadt, citing their 2. Bundesliga quality and Elversberg's missing key striker, while Kimi K3 and MiMo V2.6 Pro favour Elversberg's home edge and early attacking output.

full AI breakdown

1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin prediction

The most divided match of the week: 40% predict a 1. FC Köln win, 40% a draw and 20% a Union Berlin win, with an average confidence of 48% and a most common score of 1–1. Mistral Medium 3.5 expects a 1–1 draw, citing Union's solid defence offsetting Köln's home edge. GPT-5.6 Luna leans to a narrow 1–0 Köln win, while GLM 5.3 sees a 2–1 home victory with Union's Ljubičić scoring.

full AI breakdown

Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction

The panel's strongest call: all ten models predict a Bayern München win, with an average confidence of 71% and a most common score of 3–0. Gemini 3.8 Flash sees a 4–0 win, citing the major gulf in class at the Allianz Arena. GPT-5.6 Luna and Mistral Medium 3.5 both settle on 3–0, pointing to Bayern's elite squad depth and offensive firepower against limited lower-tier defence.

full AI breakdown

Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction

A unanimous Bayer Leverkusen win, with an average confidence of 68% and a most common score of 3–0. Gemini 3.8 Flash highlights the clear quality disparity between the Bundesliga side and 2. Bundesliga Nürnberg, while GPT-5.6 Luna and Qwen 3.8 Max both expect a controlled, professional clean-sheet victory at the BayArena.

full AI breakdown

Where the AI panel disagrees

Three matches produced a split panel, and each reveals a different source of uncertainty. 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin is the most divided, with only 48% average confidence and a 40–40 split between a home win and a draw. The models lack head-to-head data and have only single-game scoring hints, so Köln's home venue provides the clearest signal but not a decisive one.

SV Elversberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 splits 50–30 in favour of the home side, with average confidence of 50%. The disagreement centres on the quality gap between the 2. Bundesliga visitors and the 3. Liga hosts, and on Elversberg's missing key striker. Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt is the third divided tie, with 60% backing Frankfurt and 10% Hamburg; the dissenters argue that Frankfurt's 11–0 cup win came against weak opposition and that Hamburg's home form and recent head-to-head win carry more weight.

Quick picks

  • Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig win (100% of models), predicted 0–2
  • VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05: FSV Mainz 05 win (100% of models), predicted 1–2
  • SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Augsburg: FC Augsburg win (100% of models), predicted 0–2
  • Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Eintracht Frankfurt win (60% of models), predicted 1–2
  • Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: Borussia Dortmund win (100% of models), predicted 2–0
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Karlsruher SC: Borussia Mönchengladbach win (100% of models), predicted 2–0
  • SV Elversberg vs SV Darmstadt 98: SV Elversberg win (50% of models), predicted 2–1
  • 1. FC Köln vs Union Berlin: 1. FC Köln win (40% of models), predicted 1–1
  • Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg: Bayern München win (100% of models), predicted 3–0
  • Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: Bayer Leverkusen win (100% of models), predicted 3–0

Every model's pick, confidence and reasoning for each of these matches is on its match page, and the DFB Pokal predictions hub updates as new fixtures come in. Forecasts are informational only.

— Journal

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