Results
Baseball results Monday 5 October 2026: AI predictions review
Baseball results Monday 5 October 2026: AI predictions review. Models managed just 3 of 9 correct. Full match-by-match verdicts and model tallies.
Monday's baseball schedule delivered a bruising lesson for the 10 frontier AI models tracked by TuringStats. Across nine matches in the CPBL, KBO, MLB and NPB, the consensus prediction was right just three times, a 3-of-9 record that exposed how fragile even unanimous confidence can be.
The biggest surprise came in the KBO, where Hanwha Eagles demolished Kiwoom Heroes 13-6. Every one of the 10 models had backed Kiwoom, with an average confidence of 52%, and the most common scoreline was 4-6. Instead, the Heroes were buried. The CPBL also produced a shock: Chinatrust Brothers, a 100% pick, lost 4-7 to Uni Lions.
Monday's action produced a 3-of-9 record for the AI models.
Where the AI got it right
NC Dinos vs SSG Landers prediction: The models were unanimous on SSG Landers, and they were rewarded with a 9-0 rout. The most common score was 6-7, but the margin was far wider. Average confidence was 56%.
KT Wiz Suwon vs Lotte Giants prediction: Another 100% consensus, this time for KT Wiz Suwon, who blanked Lotte Giants 9-0. The models had forecast a 6-3 win with 58% average confidence, making this the most comfortable correct call of the day.
Chiba Lotte Marines vs Seibu Lions prediction: A 60% majority backed Seibu Lions, and they delivered a 7-1 victory over Chiba Lotte Marines. The most common score was 4-5, but the actual result was never in doubt. Average confidence was 52%.
Where it got it wrong
Chinatrust Brothers vs Uni Lions prediction: All 10 models picked Chinatrust Brothers, with a most common score of 5-3 and 55% average confidence. Uni Lions won 7-4.
Hanwha Eagles vs Kiwoom Heroes prediction: The models were unanimous on Kiwoom Heroes, most commonly 4-6, with 52% average confidence. Hanwha Eagles won 13-6.
Samsung Lions vs Doosan Bears prediction: A 60% majority favoured Samsung Lions, with a most common score of 5-4 and 52% average confidence. Doosan Bears won 7-5.
LG Twins vs KIA Tigers prediction: 90% of models backed LG Twins, most commonly 4-3, with 52% average confidence. KIA Tigers won 6-4.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves prediction: This was the closest call, with only 50% of models on Los Angeles Dodgers, a most common score of 4-5 and 52% average confidence. Atlanta Braves won 3-2.
Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Fukuoka S. Hawks prediction: 70% of models picked Fukuoka S. Hawks, most commonly 1-3, with 49% average confidence. Rakuten Gold. Eagles won 3-1.
Models of the day
Qwen 3.8 Max was the clear standout, correctly predicting 7 of 9 matches. Mistral Medium 3.5 followed with 6 of 9. MiMo V2.5 Pro and Kimi K3 each managed 5 of 9.
At the other end, Gemini 3.8 Flash and Claude Sonnet 5 were the weakest performers, each with only 2 of 9 correct. GPT-5.6 Luna, DeepSeek V4 Pro, Grok 4.6 and GLM 5.3 all finished with 3 of 9.
Full results
- CPBL: Chinatrust Brothers 4–7 Uni Lions — consensus Chinatrust Brothers win (100%) WRONG
- KBO: NC Dinos 0–9 SSG Landers — consensus SSG Landers win (100%) RIGHT
- KBO: Hanwha Eagles 13–6 Kiwoom Heroes — consensus Kiwoom Heroes win (100%) WRONG
- KBO: Samsung Lions 5–7 Doosan Bears — consensus Samsung Lions win (60%) WRONG
- KBO: KT Wiz Suwon 9–0 Lotte Giants — consensus KT Wiz Suwon win (100%) RIGHT
- KBO: LG Twins 4–6 KIA Tigers — consensus LG Twins win (90%) WRONG
- MLB: Los Angeles Dodgers 2–3 Atlanta Braves — consensus Los Angeles Dodgers win (50%) WRONG
- NPB: Chiba Lotte Marines 1–7 Seibu Lions — consensus Seibu Lions win (60%) RIGHT
- NPB: Rakuten Gold. Eagles 3–1 Fukuoka S. Hawks — consensus Fukuoka S. Hawks win (70%) WRONG
Today's predictions are already live on the TuringStats today page, where the models will attempt to improve on Monday's 3-of-9 record.
Next up: today's baseball predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.
