AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% AL- 2-0 ALK · 62% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-0 BOR · 62% STA 2-1 NIC · 50% TOR 2-1 MON · 52% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 2-1 NOT · 47% AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% AL- 2-0 ALK · 62% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-0 BOR · 62% STA 2-1 NIC · 50% TOR 2-1 MON · 52% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 2-1 NOT · 47%
FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying Oct 20, 2026 · 18:45 · UTC St. George's Lane, Worcester Match Finished · 90'

Worcester City
vs
Chorley.

Quick answer

Who will win Worcester City vs Chorley?

Final score: Worcester City 1–0 Chorley. Before kickoff, 7 of 10 AI models expect a draw (70%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Worcester City form Chorley form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 45% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Worcester City win 20%

2 / 10 models

Draw 70%

7 / 10 models

Chorley win 10%

1 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Draw
1–1
51%
Both sides are unbeaten in this season’s FA Cup and have consistently scored, while their recent 1-1 meeting suggests a closely matched contest. Worcester’s venue offers balance against Chorley’s solid defensive record.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Worcester City win
2–1
45%
Recent 1-1 draw shows close balance; Worcester's home venue and strong late-goal tendency give slight edge in a tight replay-style tie.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Chorley win
1–2
48%
After a 1-1 draw in the initial tie, higher-tier Chorley should possess the extra quality to edge a tight replay at Worcester.
04
Grok 4.6
Draw
1–1
38%
They drew 1-1 three days ago; both unbeaten in this FA Cup run with similar scoring. Home replay is tight, not a clear mismatch.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
48%
Recent H2H ended 1-1 and both sides are unbeaten in FA Cup this season with solid scoring records; neither shows a clear edge for this replay-style qualifier.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Worcester City win
1–0
38%
Replay of 1-1 draw three days ago; Worcester's home edge and 50% late-goal rate could break a tight, low-scoring contest.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
60%
Recent H2H draw, both teams scoring and conceding; Worcester's late goals vs Chorley's early finishes balance out.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
48%
Three days after a 1-1 draw at Chorley, this replay pits two evenly matched non-league sides; Worcester's home advantage is balanced by Chorley's slightly tighter defence, suggesting another stalemate.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
32%
These sides drew 1-1 three days earlier; both are unbeaten in this cup run with tight defenses, so a cagey replay at St. George's Lane likely stays level after 90 minutes.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
Both sides unbeaten in FA Cup qualifying and just drew 1-1 three days ago; Worcester's home edge is offset by Chorley's strong form, so a repeat draw fits best.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    7 models
  • 2–1
    1 model
  • 1–0
    1 model
  • 1–2
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Worcester City
89'
1–0
Chorley
Pro

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.45 / 3.50 / 2.40
Worcester City Market 37% · AI 20%
Draw Market 25% · AI 70%
Chorley Market 38% · AI 10%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Season data

FA Cup numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Worcester City

W-D-L
3-2-0
Goals
8-4
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
3
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Chorley

W-D-L
2-1-0
Goals
6-2
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
2
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'
Venue St. George's Lane, Worcester
New at Worcester City M. Diallo (Cheltenham), Charlie Lutz (Cork City)
New at Chorley Li-Bao Stowell (Preston), Steven Bala (AB Copenhagen), O. German (Altrincham)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

70% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 45% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Worcester City win · AI Draw

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Worcester City
—
Last 5
W D L L W
6 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Chorley 1-0 W
  • Chorley 1-1 D
  • Stourbridge 1-3 L
  • Rushall Olympic 1-0 L
  • Kettering Town 1-3 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Chorley
—
Last 5
L D W W W
9 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Worcester City 1-0 L
  • Worcester City 1-1 D
  • AFC Telford United 2-1 W
  • Barton Town Old Boys 1-4 W
  • Spalding United 2-1 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

WOR 0 · D 1 · CHO 0

CHO VS WOR
1-1
DRAW
Oct 17, 2026

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 20% of models side with Worcester City, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 70% — tight FA Cup games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Worcester City
~20%
implied lean
Draw
~70%
implied lean
Chorley
~10%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.10 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.4 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Worcester City is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.10 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Draw. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Worcester City vs Chorley in FA Cup? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Draw, with vote shares roughly 20% / 70% / 10% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Worcester City vs Chorley, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.