AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% AL- 2-0 ALK · 62% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-0 BOR · 62% STA 2-1 NIC · 50% TOR 2-1 MON · 52% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 2-1 NOT · 47% AL- 0-2 AL- · 60% AL- 2-0 ALD · 60% IFE 2-1 MAL · 53% VAS 2-0 HAL · 62% RAN 1-2 BRO · 46% ALA 1-0 KOC · 50% AL- 2-0 ALK · 62% GOA 2-1 TEL · 54% AL- 1-2 AL- · 43% VFB 2-0 BOR · 62% STA 2-1 NIC · 50% TOR 2-1 MON · 52% KOR 0-1 KVM · 52% IPS 2-1 NOT · 47%
FA Cup · 4th Round Qualifying Oct 20, 2026 · 18:45 · UTC CNG Stadium, Harrogate Match Finished · 90'

Harrogate Town
vs
Bury.

Quick answer

Who will win Harrogate Town vs Bury?

Final score: Harrogate Town 3–1 Bury. Before kickoff, 7 of 10 AI models pick Bury to win (70%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–2.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Harrogate Town form Bury form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Bury (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 51% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Harrogate Town win 10%

1 / 10 models

Draw 20%

2 / 10 models

Bury win 70%

7 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Bury win
1–2
64%
Bury’s 3W-1D FA Cup run and 16-3 goal record provide a stronger attacking signal than Harrogate’s draw, though Harrogate’s CNG Stadium advantage and the recent 1-1 meeting point to a narrow contest.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Bury win
1–2
54%
Bury scored 16 in four games with a WWWD run and drew the recent replay away; this is the decisive rematch after a 1-1 tie.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Harrogate Town win
2–0
62%
After a 1-1 draw in the initial clash, Harrogate hold home advantage and superior squad depth to handle Bury's attack and progress comfortably.
04
Grok 4.6
Bury win
1–2
42%
Bury’s FA Cup scoring (16-3) dwarfs Harrogate’s; the 1-1 three days ago points to another tight replay, with Bury’s attack just enough away.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Bury win
1–2
58%
Bury's 16-3 FA Cup scoring and three wins show stronger form than Harrogate's single draw. Recent 1-1 H2H suggests Harrogate can score, but Bury's attack should edge it.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
32%
H2H three days ago ended 1-1; Bury's superior FA Cup form is offset by Harrogate's home edge and the tight recent meeting suggesting closely matched sides.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Bury win
1–2
65%
Bury's strong FA Cup form (16-3 goals) and recent H2H draw suggest they edge this. Harrogate's defensive record (0 clean sheets) likely to concede.
08
Kimi K3
Bury win
1–2
52%
Bury's strong FA Cup form (3W 1D, 16 goals) outweighs Harrogate's single draw; despite home venue, Bury's attacking momentum should secure a narrow win.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
27%
These sides drew 1-1 three days earlier, suggesting evenly matched teams; Bury's strong FA Cup form offsets home advantage, so a repeat low-scoring draw is the best guess.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Bury win
1–2
55%
Bury's FA Cup form (3W1D, 16-3 goals) far outweighs Harrogate's single 1-1 tie; recent 1-1 at Bury suggests Harrogate can score but Bury's attack should edge it at CNG Stadium.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    7 models
  • 1–1
    2 models
  • 2–0
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Harrogate Town
12', 88', 90'
3–1
Bury
68'
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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.65 / 4.10 / 3.90
Harrogate Town Market 55% · AI 10%
Draw Market 22% · AI 20%
Bury Market 23% · AI 70%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Season data

FA Cup numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Harrogate Town

W-D-L
0-1-0
Goals
1-1
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
0
Best win run
0
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Bury

W-D-L
3-1-0
Goals
16-3
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
3
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'
Venue CNG Stadium, Harrogate
New at Harrogate Town M. Craig (Leyton Orient), L. Hutchinson (Bolton), S. Dreyer (Torquay)
New at Bury Leo Graham (Wigan), D. Pedro (Southport), M. Touray (Southport)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Bury

70% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 51% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 1.60

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Harrogate Town win · AI Bury win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Harrogate Town
—
Last 5
W D W W W
9 GF · 2 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Bury 3-1 W
  • Bury 1-1 D
  • Woking 0-1 W
  • AFC Hornchurch 3-0 W
  • Hartlepool 0-1 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Bury
—
Last 5
L D W L W
7 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Harrogate Town 3-1 L
  • Harrogate Town 1-1 D
  • Alfreton Town 2-3 W
  • Stockton Town 1-0 L
  • Bromsgrove Sporting 2-1 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

HAR 0 · D 1 · BUR 0

BUR VS HAR
1-1
DRAW
Oct 17, 2026

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 10% of models side with Harrogate Town, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 20% — tight FA Cup games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Harrogate Town
~10%
implied lean
Draw
~20%
implied lean
Bury
~70%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.70 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Harrogate Town is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.70 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Bury win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Harrogate Town vs Bury in FA Cup? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Bury win, with vote shares roughly 10% / 20% / 70% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Harrogate Town vs Bury, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.