AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 9 Oct 23, 2026 · 19:45 · UTC Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães Not Started

Vitória SC
vs
Maritimo.

Quick answer

Who will win Vitória SC vs Maritimo?

8 of 10 AI models pick Vitória SC to win (80%). The mean predicted score is 1–0 at 43% average confidence (low).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Vitória SC form Maritimo form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Vitória SC (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–0 at 43% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Primeira Liga table Where Vitória SC and Maritimo stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Vitória SC win 80%

8 / 10 models

Draw 20%

2 / 10 models

Maritimo win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Vitória SC win
1–0
40%
Both sides have struggled for results and Vitória have scored only five times, but home advantage and their strong recent H2H record support a narrow win in a likely low-scoring match.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Vitória SC win
2–1
37%
Both teams struggling defensively and in poor form; Vitória's home edge is thin given weak scoring, so a tight draw is the safer exact-score call.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
46%
Both teams are struggling for form, each winless in their last five. Vitória's low goal tally and Marítimo's leaky defense point toward a balanced, low-margin draw.
04
Grok 4.6
Draw
1–1
42%
Both sides are leaky and out of form; Vitória rarely scores while Marítimo still finds goals. H2H home edge is offset by current attack, pointing to a low 1-1.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Vitória SC win
1–0
48%
Both sides are in poor form, but Vitória SC have a strong recent H2H edge and home advantage. Maritimo's leaky defence and low scoring output support a narrow home win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Vitória SC win
1–0
42%
Vitória SC's poor scoring (5 in 8) limits them to one goal, but Maritimo's leaky defense (14 conceded) and H2H home dominance (1-0, 2-1) support a narrow home grind.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Vitória SC win
1–0
58%
Vitória SC's clean sheets and Maritimo's recent struggles to score; H2H leans to narrow Vitória wins.
08
Kimi K3
Vitória SC win
1–0
42%
Vitória SC dominate H2H (4 wins in last 5) and host a Maritimo side on a five-game winless run; Vitória's own struggles suggest a narrow, low-scoring home win.
09
GLM 5.3
Vitória SC win
1–0
38%
Both sides struggle, but Vitória SC's H2H edge (four unbeaten vs Maritimo) and home venue offset poor form; Maritimo's leaky defense suggests a narrow low-scoring home win.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Vitória SC win
1–0
34%
Both sides struggle badly (Vitória 1W2D5L, Marítimo LLLDL), but Guimarães home edge and H2H habit of narrow Vitória wins (1-0, 2-1) tilt a low-scoring game; Vitória's 2 clean sheets support 1-0.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 1–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–0
    7 models
  • 1–1
    2 models
  • 2–1
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.60 / 3.70 / 5.75
Vitória SC Market 58% · AI 80%
Draw Market 26% · AI 20%
Maritimo Market 16% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Vitória SC vs Maritimo

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Vitória SC

· XI v Recreativa de Lamelas, 17 Oct
Tiago Margarido
  1. 98 Lucas Furtado
  2. 2 Maga
  3. 4 O. Rivas Viondi
  4. 5 A. Sidibe
  5. 82 F. Dias
  6. 16 B. Mukendi
  7. 56 S. Verdi
  8. 18 T. Arcanjo
  9. 10 Alanzinho
  10. 19 V. Andersson
  11. 29 P. Ouotro

Maritimo

· XI v Alcochetense, 18 Oct
Mitchell van der Gaag
  1. 1 G. Tabuaco
  2. 2 Igor Juliao
  3. 4 R. Fernandes
  4. 6 R. Andrade
  5. 8 M. Dominguez
  6. 10 M. Tejon
  7. 11 S. Bouzaidi
  8. 22 G. Szalai
  9. 23 P. Henrique
  10. 66 I. Ayuma
  11. 90 M. Boakye

Season data

Primeira Liga numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Vitória SC

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
1-2-5
Goals
5-10
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
4
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Maritimo

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
2-2-4
Goals
9-14
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
1
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Vitória SC

  • Miguel Nogueira 0 G · 3 A · 8 apps

Key players · Maritimo

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Top scorers · Primeira Liga

  1. 1 V. Pavlidis Benfica 8
  2. 2 L. Suárez Sporting CP 7
  3. 3 G. Prestianni Benfica 5
  4. 4 Barbero Arouca 5
  5. 5 Gonçalo Paciência Santa Clara 5
Venue Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
New at Vitória SC T. Borevković (Samsunspor), A. Jakupovic (NK Osijek), A. Sidibé (Venezia)
New at Maritimo M. Bassouamina (Pafos), Nilton Varela (Beerschot VA), I. Alani (Valladolid)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Vitória SC

80% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Low confidence

Mean 43% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 0.30

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Vitória SC
#15 · 5 PTS · GD -5
Last 5
W L W D L
4 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Recreativa de Lamelas 0-1 W
  • Benfica 2-0 L
  • Chaves 0-1 W
  • Moreirense 1-1 D
  • Academico Viseu 2-1 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Maritimo
#11 · 8 PTS · GD -5
Last 5
W L D L L
5 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Alcochetense 1-2 W
  • FC Porto 1-2 L
  • GIL Vicente 1-1 D
  • Moreirense 3-1 L
  • Benfica 0-3 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

VIT 4 · D 1 · MAR 0

MAR VS VIT
1-2
AWAY WIN
Apr 29, 2023
VIT VS MAR
1-0
HOME WIN
Nov 13, 2022
MAR VS VIT
0-1
AWAY WIN
Mar 13, 2022
VIT VS MAR
2-1
HOME WIN
Oct 22, 2021
MAR VS VIT
0-0
DRAW
May 16, 2021

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 80% of models side with Vitória SC, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 20% — tight Primeira Liga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Vitória SC
~80%
implied lean
Draw
~20%
implied lean
Maritimo
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.40 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.7 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Vitória SC is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.40 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Vitória SC win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Vitória SC vs Maritimo in Primeira Liga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Vitória SC win, with vote shares roughly 80% / 20% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Vitória SC vs Maritimo, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.