AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 10 Oct 24, 2026 · 14:30 · UTC Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht Not Started

Utrecht
vs
PEC Zwolle.

Quick answer

Who will win Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?

10 of 10 AI models pick Utrecht to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 2–1 at 54% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Utrecht form PEC Zwolle form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (556 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Utrecht (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 54% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Eredivisie table Where Utrecht and PEC Zwolle stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Utrecht win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

PEC Zwolle win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Utrecht win
2–1
58%
Utrecht's recent DWLWW form and home advantage outweigh their defensive issues, while PEC Zwolle have lost six of nine and scored only 10 goals. Utrecht's stronger recent head-to-head record supports a narrow win despite likely chances at both ends.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Utrecht win
2–1
54%
Utrecht's better recent form (DWLWW) and home venue favor them over struggling Zwolle, but Utrecht's leaky defense (0 clean sheets) keeps it close.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Utrecht win
2–1
56%
Utrecht have strong home form against Zwolle, with Stepanov in goalscoring form. However, Utrecht have zero clean sheets this season, making a 2-1 home victory the most likely outcome.
04
Grok 4.6
Utrecht win
2–1
52%
Utrecht’s better recent form and home edge vs Zwolle’s scoring drought; Utrecht have no clean sheets so a narrow 2-1 fits leaky defence and Stepanov’s goals.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Utrecht win
2–1
48%
Utrecht's recent DWLWW form and home venue outweigh PEC Zwolle's poor away record, though Utrecht's 0 clean sheets make a Zwolle goal likely.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Utrecht win
2–1
52%
Utrecht's home form (DWLWW) and H2H edge favour them, but zero clean sheets suggest they'll concede. PEC Zwolle's weak attack (failed to score 4/9) limits them to one.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Utrecht win
2–1
58%
Utrecht's better recent form (DWLWW) and home venue edge outweigh Zwolle's struggles; H2H leans Utrecht but close.
08
Kimi K3
Utrecht win
2–1
58%
Utrecht's superior form (DWLWW vs DLLLW), home advantage at Galgenwaard, and Stepanov's 5 goals outweigh defensive leaks; PEC's 4 failures to score suggest limited threat despite H2H competitiveness.
09
GLM 5.3
Utrecht win
2–1
55%
Utrecht's stronger form (DWLWW) and H2H edge at Galgenwaard outweigh PEC Zwolle's poor start (2W 6L, 4 blanks), though Utrecht's leaky defense (26 conceded) keeps the visitors on the board.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Utrecht win
2–1
52%
Utrecht's last five (DWLWW) and home edge outshine Zwolle's DLLLW and 4 blank sheets, though both defenses concede heavily (26 vs 22 goals), pointing to a narrow home win.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

10 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    10 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.67 / 4.10 / 4.75
Utrecht Market 57% · AI 100%
Draw Market 23% · AI 0%
PEC Zwolle Market 20% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Utrecht

3-4-3 · XI v Twente, 18 Oct
A. Correia
11 Ángel Alarcón
11 Alarcón
20 D. de Wit
20 Wit
10 Y. Cathline
10 Cathline
92 A. Zagré
92 Zagré
38 O. Agougil
38 Agougil
8 J. van Overeem
8 Overeem
23 N. Vesterlund
23 Vesterlund
5 N. Panagiotou
5 Panagiotou
3 M. Didden
3 Didden
2 S. Horemans
2 Horemans
22 S. Padt
22 Padt

PEC Zwolle

4-2-3-1 · XI v GO Ahead Eagles, 18 Oct
Henry van der Vegt
17 S. van Hooijdonk
17 Hooijdonk
11 D. Mbayo
11 Mbayo
25 T. Oosting
25 Oosting
37 Gilles van der Wal
37 Wal
8 T. Sommer
8 Sommer
30 R. Thomas
30 Thomas
Doubt
2 S. Floranus
2 Floranus
24 N. Viergever
24 Viergever
28 S. Graves
28 Graves
3 O. Aertssen
3 Aertssen
1 J. Schendelaar
1 Schendelaar

Season data

Eredivisie numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Utrecht

3-4-3
W-D-L
3-2-4
Goals
16-26
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
1
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

PEC Zwolle

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
2-1-6
Goals
10-22
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
4
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Utrecht

  • Artem Stepanov 5 G · 0 A · 6 apps

Key players · PEC Zwolle

  • D. Mbayo 0 G · 4 A · 9 apps

Top scorers · Eredivisie

  1. 1 S. Tengstedt GO Ahead Eagles 6
  2. 2 M. Zonneveld Sparta Rotterdam 6
  3. 3 Nacho Ferri Feyenoord 6
  4. 4 J. Brandt Ajax 6
  5. 5 B. Willumsson Groningen 6
Venue Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
New at Utrecht S. Padt (Ludogorets), N. Panagiotou (Omonia Nicosia), J. Medić (Norwich)
New at PEC Zwolle F. Krastev (Lommel United), S. van Hooijdonk (Estrela), J. Burger (VfL Wolfsburg)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Utrecht

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 54% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.00 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Utrecht PEC Zwolle Expected total Lean
Corners 5.1 4.8 9.9 Over 9.5 52% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.8 1.2 3.1 Under 3.5 63% Ask AI
Shots 15.4 12.7 28.2 Under 28.5 54% Ask AI
Shots on target 5.4 4.6 10.0 Under 10.5 58% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 121 graded matches, cards 55% of 121. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Utrecht
#11 · 11 PTS · GD -10
Last 5
W W L W D
10 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Twente 1-2 W
  • Willem II 3-1 W
  • Feyenoord 5-0 L
  • Excelsior 1-2 W
  • GO Ahead Eagles 3-3 D
Team news
A. Engwanda — Hamstring Injury V. Jensen — Knee Injury M. Jonathans — Knee Injury N. Ohio — Knee Injury K. Paredes — Knee Injury A. Stepanov — Ankle Injury
PEC Zwolle
#15 · 7 PTS · GD -12
Last 5
W L L L D
6 GF · 14 GA
Recent fixtures
  • GO Ahead Eagles 4-1 W
  • Cambuur 0-1 L
  • Groningen 3-0 L
  • Feyenoord 0-7 L
  • Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 D
Team news
F. Krastev — Achilles Tendon Injury Y. Namli — Knee Injury S. Floranus — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

UTR 3 · D 2 · PEC 0

UTR VS PEC
1-1
DRAW
Feb 22, 2026
PEC VS UTR
0-2
AWAY WIN
Aug 31, 2025
PEC VS UTR
3-3
DRAW
Feb 1, 2025
UTR VS PEC
1-0
HOME WIN
Aug 11, 2024
UTR VS PEC
5-1
HOME WIN
Apr 3, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Utrecht, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Eredivisie games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Utrecht
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
PEC Zwolle
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 3.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Utrecht is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 3.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Utrecht win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle in Eredivisie? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Utrecht win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.