ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8 Oct 30, 2026 · 19:30 · UTC Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg Not Started

SV Elversberg
vs
FSV Mainz 05.

Quick answer

Who will win SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?

10 of 10 AI models pick FSV Mainz 05 to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 1–2 at 46% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → SV Elversberg form FSV Mainz 05 form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (751 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward FSV Mainz 05 (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 46% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Bundesliga table Where SV Elversberg and FSV Mainz 05 stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

SV Elversberg win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

FSV Mainz 05 win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
FSV Mainz 05 win
1–2
48%
Both teams are 3-1-3, but Mainz have scored more, kept three clean sheets and failed to score just once. Elversberg’s home advantage and 12-15 record keep this close rather than decisive.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
FSV Mainz 05 win
1–2
46%
Mainz have more clean sheets and Tietz leading scorer; both teams even in record but Mainz's defense and recent form (LWLWL) edge Elversberg's shakier back line.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
FSV Mainz 05 win
1–2
48%
Mainz have displayed sharper attacking output led by Tietz and Becker against an Elversberg defense that has conceded 15 goals in seven matches.
04
Grok 4.6
FSV Mainz 05 win
1–2
42%
Identical 3-1-3 records, but Mainz scores more, keeps more clean sheets, and won 1-0 here in 2023; Elversberg leaky at home.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
FSV Mainz 05 win
1–2
42%
Mainz have stronger attack (16 goals, Tietz 5) and three clean sheets; Elversberg concede heavily at home. Mainz's away form is mixed, so confidence stays moderate.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
FSV Mainz 05 win
0–1
38%
Mainz's superior attack (Tietz 5 goals) and defensive solidity (3 clean sheets) edge Elversberg, who failed to score 3 times; H2H 0-1 at this venue supports a narrow away win.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
FSV Mainz 05 win
1–2
60%
Mainz's stronger attack (16 goals, Tietz/Caci form) and recent head-to-head edge outweigh Elversberg's home form.
08
Kimi K3
FSV Mainz 05 win
1–2
48%
Both sides sit 3-1-3, but Mainz score more freely (16 vs 12), rarely blank, and have Tietz and Caci in form; Elversberg concede plenty and failed to score three times, so a narrow away win.
09
GLM 5.3
FSV Mainz 05 win
1–2
52%
Identical records, but Mainz's attack is sharper (16 goals, Tietz 5) and they won 1-0 at this venue in 2023; Elversberg's leaky defense (15 conceded) tips a tight game to the away side.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
FSV Mainz 05 win
0–1
38%
Elversberg's blunt home form (failed to score 3 times) meets a Mainz side with 3 clean sheets and Tietz's 5 goals; H2H 0-1 in 2023 fits a tight away win.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

8 of 10 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    8 models
  • 0–1
    2 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 3.10 / 3.80 / 2.15
SV Elversberg Market 31% · AI 0%
Draw Market 25% · AI 0%
FSV Mainz 05 Market 44% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

SV Elversberg

4-2-3-1 · XI v SV Darmstadt 98, 27 Oct
V. Wagner
9 N. Futkeu
9 Futkeu
39 William Cole Campbell
39 Campbell
17 F. Schmahl
17 Schmahl
25 L. Petkov
25 Petkov
8 Ł. Poręba
8 Poręba
6 A. Condé
6 Condé
Doubt
21 L. Günther
21 Günther
3 F. Le Joncour
3 Joncour
Doubt
19 L. Pinckert
19 Pinckert
26 L. Sirch
26 Sirch
20 N. Kristof
20 Kristof

FSV Mainz 05

3-5-2 · XI v VfL Bochum, 27 Oct
U. Fischer
9 P. Tietz
9 Tietz
23 S. Becker
23 Becker
2 P. Mwene
2 Mwene
7 Lee Jae-Sung
7 Jae-Sung
6 K. Sano
6 Sano
8 P. Nebel
8 Nebel
30 S. Widmer
30 Widmer
48 K. Potulski
48 Potulski
4 S. Posch
4 Posch
21 D. da Costa
21 Costa
1 A. Schwolow
1 Schwolow

Season data

Bundesliga numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

SV Elversberg

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
3-1-3
Goals
12-15
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
3
Best win run
2
Penalties
0/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

FSV Mainz 05

3-5-2
W-D-L
3-1-3
Goals
16-13
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
1
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · SV Elversberg

  • M. Krattenmacher 3 G · 1 A · 7 apps
  • L. Petkov 2 G · 2 A · 7 apps

Key players · FSV Mainz 05

  • A. Caci 3 G · 3 A · 7 apps
  • S. Becker 2 G · 4 A · 7 apps
  • P. Tietz 5 G · 0 A · 7 apps

Top scorers · Bundesliga

  1. 1 N. Füllkrug Werder Bremen 8
  2. 2 M. Olise Bayern München 6
  3. 3 P. Schick Bayer Leverkusen 6
  4. 4 Y. Ebnoutalib Eintracht Frankfurt 5
  5. 5 P. Tietz FSV Mainz 05 5
Venue Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
New at SV Elversberg N. Futkeu (Eintracht Frankfurt), L. Sirch (1. FC Kaiserslautern), William Cole Campbell (Borussia Dortmund)
New at FSV Mainz 05 A. Schwolow (Heart Of Midlothian), A. Haidara (FSV Mainz 05), S. Kawasaki (Kyoto Sanga)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors FSV Mainz 05

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 46% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.80 vs 1.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric SV Elversberg FSV Mainz 05 Expected total Lean
Corners 5.2 4.1 9.3 Under 9.5 55% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.6 1.9 3.5 Under 3.5 53% Ask AI
Shots 13.5 13.3 26.8 Over 26.5 51% Ask AI
Shots on target 5.6 5.7 11.2 Under 11.5 55% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

SV Elversberg
#8 · 10 PTS · GD -3
Last 5
L L W L D
4 GF · 10 GA
Recent fixtures
  • SV Darmstadt 98 0-2 L
  • RB Leipzig 4-0 L
  • FC Augsburg 4-3 W
  • Union Berlin 1-0 L
  • FC Schalke 04 0-0 D
Team news
T. Zimmerschied — Ankle Injury N. Darvich — Hamstring Injury L. Gunther — Knock J. Gyamerah — Thigh Injury L. Pinckert — Muscle Injury L. Seifert — Ankle Injury
FSV Mainz 05
#7 · 10 PTS · GD +3
Last 5
L L W L W
9 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • VfL Bochum 2-0 L
  • Werder Bremen 2-3 L
  • FC Schalke 04 0-1 W
  • Bayer Leverkusen 3-4 L
  • Waldhof Mannheim 0-3 W
Team news
D. Kohr — Foot Injury Silas — Broken shinbone N. Amiri — Knee Injury O. Ruoppi — Knee Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

SVE 0 · D 1 · FSV 1

SVE VS FSV
0-1
AWAY WIN
Aug 12, 2023
SVE VS FSV
2-2
DRAW
Aug 8, 2021

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with SV Elversberg, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Bundesliga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

SV Elversberg
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
FSV Mainz 05
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.60 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.9 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When SV Elversberg is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.60 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: FSV Mainz 05 win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 in Bundesliga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is FSV Mainz 05 win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.