ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8 Oct 31, 2026 · 14:30 · UTC WWK Arena, Augsburg Not Started

FC Augsburg
vs
SC Freiburg.

Quick answer

Who will win FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg?

3 of 10 AI models pick SC Freiburg to win (30%). A draw is in play: 7 of 10 models picked it. The mean predicted score is 1–1 at 45% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → FC Augsburg form SC Freiburg form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 45% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Bundesliga table Where FC Augsburg and SC Freiburg stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

FC Augsburg win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 70%

7 / 10 models

SC Freiburg win 30%

3 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Draw
1–1
31%
Augsburg are unbeaten in seven but draw-heavy, while Freiburg have the stronger record yet arrive after two losses. Both have scored in every league match, making a competitive 1-1 at WWK Arena the best exact-score estimate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
SC Freiburg win
1–2
47%
Freiburg's better overall record and clean-sheet rate edge this, though Augsburg score in every game and H2H has been tight/high-scoring.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
50%
Both sides score reliably in every match this season, but Augsburg's heavy run of draws and Freiburg's sturdy defense point toward a competitive, shared-point finish.
04
Grok 4.6
SC Freiburg win
1–2
48%
Freiburg’s stronger 4W record and tighter defence (9 conceded) edge Augsburg’s DLDLD form; both sides always score, so a narrow away win fits better than a home pick.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
SC Freiburg win
1–2
55%
Freiburg's 4W1D2L and 16-9 goal record outweigh Augsburg's five-match winless run despite home venue; both sides score regularly, so a narrow away win fits.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
20%
Augsburg's heavy draw tendency (3D in 7, DLDLD last five) meets Freiburg's solid defense; H2H at WWK Arena shows recent draws (2-2, 0-0). Both teams score consistently.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
58%
Augsburg unbeaten in last five, Freiburg strong away; recent H2H splits wins, tight game likely.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
52%
Augsburg unbeaten in three straight H2H but winless in five (DLDLD); Freiburg better season yet lost two of last five. Both always score, so a tight 1-1 fits.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
50%
Augsburg draw-heavy (3 of 7) and Freiburg stronger overall but wobbly lately (W-D-W-L-L); both always score, and recent H2H at Augsburg ended 2-2 and 0-0, favoring a tight draw.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
Augsburg draw often at home (3 of 7) and both sides score every game; Freiburg's better form is offset by venue, and recent H2Hs were tight, shared-goal affairs.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    7 models
  • 1–2
    3 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 3.10 / 3.80 / 2.15
FC Augsburg Market 31% · AI 0%
Draw Market 25% · AI 70%
SC Freiburg Market 44% · AI 30%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

FC Augsburg

3-4-2-1 · XI v SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, 27 Oct
M. Baum
9 Rodrigo Ribeiro
9 Ribeiro
10 M. Kömür
10 Kömür
19 R. Fellhauer
19 Fellhauer
16 Hennes Behrens
16 Behrens
32 F. Rieder
32 Rieder
4 H. Massengo
4 Massengo
7 Seol Young-Woo
7 Young-Woo
14 Y. Keitel
14 Keitel
5 C. Matsima
5 Matsima
Out
35 Abdulay Bah
35 Bah
1 F. Dahmen
1 Dahmen

1 of this XI is ruled out of this match or no longer at the club.

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1 · XI v VfL Wolfsburg, 28 Oct
J. Schuster
31 I. Matanović
31 Matanović
32 V. Grifo
32 Grifo
14 Y. Suzuki
14 Suzuki
22 Cyriaque Kalou Irié
22 Irié
16 Y. Engelhardt
16 Engelhardt
8 M. Eggestein
8 Eggestein
30 C. Günter
30 Günter
37 M. Rosenfelder
37 Rosenfelder
28 M. Ginter
28 Ginter
Doubt
29 P. Treu
29 Treu
21 F. Müller
21 Müller

Season data

Bundesliga numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

FC Augsburg

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
2-3-2
Goals
17-13
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
2
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
4-1-2
Goals
16-9
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
0
Best win run
3
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · FC Augsburg

  • F. Rieder 2 G · 4 A · 7 apps
  • M. Gregoritsch 4 G · 0 A · 7 apps
  • R. Fellhauer 3 G · 0 A · 7 apps

Key players · SC Freiburg

  • Y. Suzuki 4 G · 0 A · 6 apps
  • I. Matanović 3 G · 1 A · 7 apps
  • D. Scherhant 2 G · 2 A · 7 apps

Top scorers · Bundesliga

  1. 1 N. Füllkrug Werder Bremen 8
  2. 2 M. Olise Bayern München 6
  3. 3 P. Schick Bayer Leverkusen 6
  4. 4 Y. Ebnoutalib Eintracht Frankfurt 5
  5. 5 P. Tietz FSV Mainz 05 5
Venue WWK Arena, Augsburg
New at FC Augsburg Abdulay Bah (Manchester City), A. Ibrahimović (Bayern München), Seol Young-Woo (FK Crvena Zvezda)
New at SC Freiburg Louey Ben Farhat (Karlsruher SC), Y. Engelhardt (Como), K. Goto (Anderlecht)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

70% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 45% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.00 vs 1.30

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric FC Augsburg SC Freiburg Expected total Lean
Corners 5.0 4.6 9.6 Under 9.5 51% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.9 1.7 3.5 Under 3.5 53% Ask AI
Shots 15.1 11.9 27.0 Under 27.5 55% Ask AI
Shots on target 6.0 4.0 10.0 Over 9.5 54% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

FC Augsburg
#9 · 9 PTS · GD +4
Last 5
W D L D D
12 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-4 W
  • Union Berlin 1-1 D
  • SV Elversberg 4-3 L
  • Bayern München 2-2 D
  • Hertha BSC 2-2 D
Team news
J. Bah — Red Card N. Banks — Knee Injury C. Brackelmann — Concussion S. Mounie — Injury
SC Freiburg
#3 · 13 PTS · GD +7
Last 5
W L L L W
8 GF · 12 GA
Recent fixtures
  • VfL Wolfsburg 3-2 W
  • Bayern München 1-3 L
  • Monaco 3-0 L
  • Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 L
  • FK Jablonec 3-2 W
Team news
J. Makengo — Muscle Injury D. Scherhant — Foot Injury P. Treu — Ankle Injury B. Yilmaz — Lacking Match Fitness
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

FCA 2 · D 2 · SCF 1

FCA VS SCF
2-2
DRAW
Jan 18, 2026
SCF VS FCA
1-3
AWAY WIN
Aug 23, 2025
FCA VS SCF
0-0
DRAW
Mar 2, 2025
SCF VS FCA
3-1
HOME WIN
Oct 19, 2024
FCA VS SCF
2-1
HOME WIN
Feb 25, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with FC Augsburg, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 70% — tight Bundesliga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

FC Augsburg
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~70%
implied lean
SC Freiburg
~30%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.30 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.6 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When FC Augsburg is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.30 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: SC Freiburg win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg in Bundesliga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is SC Freiburg win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 70% / 30% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.