ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8 Oct 31, 2026 · 14:30 · UTC BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen Not Started

Bayer Leverkusen
vs
VfB Stuttgart.

Quick answer

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

10 of 10 AI models pick Bayer Leverkusen to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 2–1 at 56% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Bayer Leverkusen form VfB Stuttgart form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (751 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Bayer Leverkusen (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 56% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Bundesliga table Where Bayer Leverkusen and VfB Stuttgart stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Bayer Leverkusen win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

VfB Stuttgart win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Bayer Leverkusen win
2–1
58%
Leverkusen’s stronger 4W-1D-2L start and Schick’s six goals provide a clear BayArena edge, while Stuttgart’s 2W-5L record and two recent heavy H2H wins suggest they can still threaten.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Bayer Leverkusen win
2–1
60%
Leverkusen's stronger form and Schick's scoring form favor them at home, but Stuttgart has scored in most games and shown they can hurt Leverkusen historically.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Bayer Leverkusen win
2–1
55%
Leverkusen are in solid form led by Schick's six goals, while Stuttgart have struggled with five defeats in seven. Leverkusen's attack should edge an open contest.
04
Grok 4.6
Bayer Leverkusen win
2–1
52%
Leverkusen’s 4-1-2 start and Schick’s output beat Stuttgart’s 2-5 form at BayArena; recent H2H away wins for Stuttgart keep the margin tight rather than a blowout.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Bayer Leverkusen win
2–1
52%
Leverkusen's stronger form (4W 1D 2L vs 2W 0D 5L) and home edge outweigh Stuttgart's recent H2H wins; Schick's six goals give the hosts a decisive cutting edge.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Bayer Leverkusen win
2–1
52%
Leverkusen's strong home form and Schick's scoring edge Stuttgart's poor away record, but Leverkusen concede regularly and H2H shows Stuttgart can respond.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Bayer Leverkusen win
2–1
62%
Leverkusen's strong home form (DWWWL) and attacking output (16 goals) edge Stuttgart's inconsistent away record. H2H mixed but recent Leverkusen momentum favors narrow win.
08
Kimi K3
Bayer Leverkusen win
2–1
58%
Leverkusen stronger form (4W vs Stuttgart's 2W-5L) and home edge at BayArena, but H2H shows Stuttgart scores here; open game with both conceding regularly.
09
GLM 5.3
Bayer Leverkusen win
2–1
55%
Leverkusen's superior form (4W, Schick scoring freely) at BayArena outweighs Stuttgart's poor start, but Stuttgart won the last two H2H and Leverkusen concede, so both score.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Bayer Leverkusen win
2–1
52%
Leverkusen's 4W1D2L and Schick's six goals outpace Stuttgart's 2W5L, though Stuttgart won both recent H2Hs and Leverkusen's defense leaks goals; home edge decides a tight, open game.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

10 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    10 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.75 / 4.33 / 4.00
Bayer Leverkusen Market 54% · AI 100%
Draw Market 22% · AI 0%
VfB Stuttgart Market 24% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1 · XI v 1. FC Nürnberg, 28 Oct
Carles Martínez
23 N. Tella
23 Tella
9 Afonso Moreira
9 Moreira
10 M. Tillman
10 Tillman
7 J. Hofmann
7 Hofmann
24 Aleix García
24 García
8 R. Andrich
8 Andrich
3 Miguel Gutiérrez
3 Gutiérrez
2 F. Medina
2 Medina
12 E. Tapsoba
12 Tapsoba
17 Lucas Vázquez
17 Vázquez
28 J. Blaswich
28 Blaswich

VfB Stuttgart

4-2-3-1 · XI v SC Paderborn 07, 28 Oct
S. Hoeneb
9 E. Demirović
9 Demirović
11 B. El Khannouss
11 Khannouss
26 D. Undav
26 Undav
18 J. Leweling
18 Leweling
Out
6 A. Stiller
6 Stiller
21 G. Prömel
21 Prömel
7 M. Mittelstädt
7 Mittelstädt
24 J. Chabot
24 Chabot
3 R. Hendriks
3 Hendriks
22 L. Assignon
22 Assignon
1 F. Bredlow
1 Bredlow

1 of this XI is ruled out of this match or no longer at the club.

Season data

Bundesliga numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
4-1-2
Goals
16-12
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
1
Best win run
3
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

VfB Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
2-0-5
Goals
10-13
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
2
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Bayer Leverkusen

  • P. Schick 6 G · 2 A · 7 apps
  • I. Maza 2 G · 2 A · 7 apps
  • Miguel Gutiérrez 1 G · 3 A · 7 apps

Key players · VfB Stuttgart

  • E. Demirović 3 G · 0 A · 7 apps

Top scorers · Bundesliga

  1. 1 N. Füllkrug Werder Bremen 8
  2. 2 M. Olise Bayern München 6
  3. 3 P. Schick Bayer Leverkusen 6
  4. 4 Y. Ebnoutalib Eintracht Frankfurt 5
  5. 5 P. Tietz FSV Mainz 05 5
Venue BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen
New at Bayer Leverkusen M. Diaby (Al-Ittihad FC), G. Doué (Strasbourg), F. Medina (Marseille)
New at VfB Stuttgart Jonathan Akaegbobi (Bochum II), D. Pejčinović (VfL Wolfsburg), L. Sauer (Feyenoord)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Bayer Leverkusen

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 56% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.00 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Bayer Leverkusen VfB Stuttgart Expected total Lean
Corners 7.1 5.5 12.6 Under 12.5 51% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.4 1.6 3.0 Under 3.5 64% Ask AI
Shots 18.5 14.4 32.9 Over 32.5 52% Ask AI
Shots on target 7.0 5.8 12.7 Over 12.5 51% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Bayer Leverkusen
#4 · 13 PTS · GD +4
Last 5
W L W W W
13 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • 1. FC Nürnberg 5-2 W
  • 1899 Hoffenheim 3-0 L
  • OFI 0-2 W
  • SC Freiburg 2-1 W
  • Lech Poznan 0-4 W
Team news
L. Bade — Head Injury E. Ben Seghir — Muscle Injury M. Diaby — Hamstring Injury K. Eichhorn — Illness C. Kofane — Muscle Injury M. Terrier — Muscle Injury G. Doue — Calf Injury
VfB Stuttgart
#15 · 6 PTS · GD -3
Last 5
W L D L W
7 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • SC Paderborn 07 0-1 W
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-3 L
  • Atletico Madrid 1-1 D
  • Hamburger SV 1-0 L
  • Slovan Bratislava 0-3 W
Team news
J. Diehl — Muscle Injury L. Sauer — Muscle Injury A. Stiller — Groin Injury T. Tomas — Muscle Injury J. Vagnoman — Muscle Injury D. Zagadou — Muscle Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

BAY 1 · D 2 · VFB 2

VFB VS BAY
3-1
HOME WIN
May 9, 2026
BAY VS VFB
1-4
AWAY WIN
Jan 10, 2026
VFB VS BAY
3-4
AWAY WIN
Mar 16, 2025
BAY VS VFB
0-0
DRAW
Nov 1, 2024
BAY VS VFB
2-2
DRAW
Apr 27, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Bayer Leverkusen, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Bundesliga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Bayer Leverkusen
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
VfB Stuttgart
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 3.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Bayer Leverkusen is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 3.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Bayer Leverkusen win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart in Bundesliga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Bayer Leverkusen win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.