MOL 1-0 KAZ · 47% SER 0-1 GER · 58% NET 2-1 GRE · 50% SLO 2-0 FAR · 60% BUL 0-1 ICE · 55% LIE 0-1 AZE · 52% LUX 0-1 EST · 47% AND 0-0 GIB · 39% SLO 0-1 SWI · 56% SCO 2-0 FYR · 64% SAL 0-3 CEL · 69% INT 1-2 SAN · 50% KOS 1-0 ISR · 50% NOR 2-1 WAL · 54% MOL 1-0 KAZ · 47% SER 0-1 GER · 58% NET 2-1 GRE · 50% SLO 2-0 FAR · 60% BUL 0-1 ICE · 55% LIE 0-1 AZE · 52% LUX 0-1 EST · 47% AND 0-0 GIB · 39% SLO 0-1 SWI · 56% SCO 2-0 FYR · 64% SAL 0-3 CEL · 69% INT 1-2 SAN · 50% KOS 1-0 ISR · 50% NOR 2-1 WAL · 54%
Major League Soccer · Round of 16 CITYPARK Not Started

St. Louis City
vs
Los Angeles FC.

Quick answer

Who will win St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?

5 of 10 AI models pick St. Louis City to win (50%). The mean predicted score is 2–1 at 47% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → St. Louis City form Los Angeles FC form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward St. Louis City (5 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 47% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Major League Soccer table Where St. Louis City and Los Angeles FC stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

St. Louis City win 50%

5 / 10 models

Draw 30%

3 / 10 models

Los Angeles FC win 20%

2 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6.1 Sol
St. Louis City win
2–1
43%
St. Louis City’s stronger season record and CITYPARK advantage support a narrow home win, though their four straight losses temper confidence. Navarro’s scoring and LAFC’s Bouanga-Son threat make goals at both ends plausible.
02
Claude Opus 5.5
St. Louis City win
1–0
36%
A knockout game at CITYPARK where St. Louis, with Navarro's 19 goals and a win in the latest H2H, has a slight edge. LAFC's 13 clean sheets and poor recent form suggest a tight, low-scoring match.
03
Gemini 4 Argon
Los Angeles FC win
1–2
48%
St. Louis have struggled with four losses in their last five, while LAFC's attack led by Bouanga and Son provides a clinical edge in knockout football.
04
Grok 4.7
Draw
1–1
48%
St. Louis’s LLLLW slide offsets CITYPARK and a better season record. LAFC’s 13 clean sheets and Bouanga/Son attack point to a tight knockout stalemate.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
St. Louis City win
2–1
48%
St. Louis won the most recent home H2H 2-1 and have stronger season scoring, but their last five form is poor. LAFC's solid defense keeps this tight.
06
Tencent Hy4
Draw
1–1
52%
St. Louis have more wins and score at CITYPARK, but LAFC's 13 clean sheets, strong H2H record, and both teams' mixed recent form point to a tight, low-scoring playoff tie.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
St. Louis City win
2–1
49%
St. Louis better season record and CITYPARK edge plus recent 2-1 H2H win; both attack with Navarro vs Bouanga and Son.
08
NVIDIA Nemotron 3 Ultra
Los Angeles FC win
1–2
58%
LAFC's superior defensive record (13 clean sheets vs 6) and Bouanga/Son's quality outweigh St. Louis's home edge and poor recent form (LLLLW).
09
GLM 5.3
St. Louis City win
2–1
50%
St. Louis beat LAFC 2-1 at CITYPARK this season and host again, though their LLLLW form is shaky; Navarro's scoring and venue edge offset LAFC's Son-Bouanga attack in a tight playoff tie.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
42%
Both sides are inconsistent lately (St. Louis LLLLW, LAFC WDDLL) with solid scoring threats; CITYPARK edge is offset by LAFC's 13 clean sheets and Bouanga/Son quality, pointing to a tight playoff draw.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 2–1. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 2–1
    4 models
  • 1–1
    3 models
  • 1–2
    2 models
  • 1–0
    1 model
Team news

Predicted lineups: St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

St. Louis City

3-4-3 · XI v Houston Dynamo, 8 Nov
Y. Damet
7 T. Ostrák
7 Ostrák
9 Rafael Navarro
9 Navarro
77 Jeong Sang-Bin
77 Sang-Bin
14 T. Totland
14 Totland
8 C. Durkin
8 Durkin
21 D. Polvara
21 Polvara
6 C. Wallem
6 Wallem
27 F. Fall
27 Fall
32 T. Baumgartl
32 Baumgartl
5 L. MacNaughton
5 MacNaughton
39 B. Lundt
39 Lundt

Los Angeles FC

4-2-3-1 · XI v Seattle Sounders, 8 Nov
Xavi Tamarit
7 Son Heung-Min
7 Heung-Min
99 D. Bouanga
99 Bouanga
81 L. Walta
81 Walta
9 A. Sieb
9 Sieb
8 M. Delgado
8 Delgado
66 M. Choinière
66 Choinière
23 Y. Cheberko
23 Cheberko
4 E. Segura
4 Segura
5 R. Porteous
5 Porteous
14 Sergi Palencia
14 Palencia
31 Cabral Carter
31 Carter

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

St. Louis City

3-4-3
W-D-L
15-9-10
Goals
59-48
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
7
Best win run
4
Penalties
3/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Los Angeles FC

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
12-11-11
Goals
52-40
Clean sheets
13
Failed to score
6
Best win run
4
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · St. Louis City

  • Rafael Navarro 19 G · 6 A · 34 apps

Key players · Los Angeles FC

  • D. Bouanga 18 G · 5 A · 32 apps
  • Son Heung-Min 7 G · 12 A · 31 apps

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 26
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 22
  3. 3 S. Surridge Nashville SC 21
  4. 4 B. White Vancouver Whitecaps 20
  5. 5 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 19
Venue CITYPARK
New at St. Louis City D. Downs (Southampton), C. Brunet (Nashville SC), Rafael Navarro (Colorado Rapids)
New at Los Angeles FC M. Olaya (Aucas 2), Thayllon (Avai), L. Walta (Swansea)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors St. Louis City

50% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 47% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.40 vs 1.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric St. Louis City Los Angeles FC Expected total Lean
Corners 5.2 5.5 10.7 Over 10.5 50% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.6 1.7 3.4 Under 3.5 57% Ask AI
Shots 13.6 14.1 27.8 Over 27.5 51% Ask AI
Shots on target 5.5 4.8 10.3 Under 10.5 54% Ask AI

Sample: 3 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 461 graded matches, cards 57% of 462. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

St. Louis City
#3 · 54 PTS · GD +11
Last 5
W L L L D
3 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Houston Dynamo 0-1 W
  • San Diego 0-1 L
  • Portland Timbers 2-3 L
  • Real Salt Lake 3-0 L
  • Columbus Crew 0-0 D
Team news
F. Fall — Leg Injury E. Lowen — Personal Reasons T. Ostrak — Leg Injury T. Pearce — Inactive T. Totland — Injury C. Teuchert — Ankle Injury Celio Pompeu — Knee Injury J. Orozco — Concussion S. Jeong — Injury C. Glover — Injury M. Mbacke — Back Injury C. Durkin — Red Card
Los Angeles FC
#6 · 47 PTS · GD +12
Last 5
L L D D W
8 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Seattle Sounders 2-1 L
  • Minnesota United FC 1-3 L
  • Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 D
  • New York City FC 1-1 D
  • Austin 3-1 W
Team news
J. Ebobisse — Leg Injury Igor Jesus — Knee Injury A. Long — Achilles Tendon Injury J. Shaffelburg — Groin Injury L. Dellavalle — Knee Injury S. Eustaquio — Leg Injury A. Boudri — Leg Injury D. Bouanga — Yellow Cards S. Palencia — Injury H. Lloris — Leg Injury T. Tillman — Leg Injury T. Hasal — Arm Injury

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 50% of models side with St. Louis City, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 30% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

St. Louis City
~50%
implied lean
Draw
~30%
implied lean
Los Angeles FC
~20%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.50 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.8 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When St. Louis City is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.50 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: St. Louis City win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is St. Louis City win, with vote shares roughly 50% / 30% / 20% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.