AL- 2-0 ALK · 62% BOU 2-1 ACM · 50% BEş 2-1 CRY · 56% CEL 0-2 RED · 59% CEL 2-1 CEL · 44% 189 1-2 LYO · 53% JAG 1-2 AND · 47% LIL 0-1 REA · 53% OLY 2-1 SPA · 55% OMO 1-2 BEN · 59% PLZ 1-0 LEV · 53% AAR 1-0 EGN · 52% AJA 2-1 ATA · 50% BOR 2-1 KUP · 55% AL- 2-0 ALK · 62% BOU 2-1 ACM · 50% BEş 2-1 CRY · 56% CEL 0-2 RED · 59% CEL 2-1 CEL · 44% 189 1-2 LYO · 53% JAG 1-2 AND · 47% LIL 0-1 REA · 53% OLY 2-1 SPA · 55% OMO 1-2 BEN · 59% PLZ 1-0 LEV · 53% AAR 1-0 EGN · 52% AJA 2-1 ATA · 50% BOR 2-1 KUP · 55%
Premiership · Regular Season - 11 Oct 28, 2026 · 19:45 · UTC McDiarmid Park, Perth Not Started

ST Johnstone
vs
Motherwell.

Quick answer

Who will win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?

1 of 1 AI models pick ST Johnstone to win (0%).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → ST Johnstone form Motherwell form

1 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward ST Johnstone (0 of 1 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is — at 0% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Premiership table Where ST Johnstone and Motherwell stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

ST Johnstone win 0%

0 / 1 models

Draw 0%

0 / 1 models

Motherwell win 0%

0 / 1 models

— Model breakdown

0 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

Once models publish picks, we rank every predicted scoreline by how many systems chose it—useful for seeing whether the panel clusters or spreads.

  • No score frequency yet.
Team news

Predicted lineups: ST Johnstone vs Motherwell

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

ST Johnstone

4-2-3-1 · XI v Dundee Utd, 17 Oct
Simo Valakari
9 J. Fowler
9 Fowler
7 T. Steven
7 Steven
30 J. Cotterill
30 Cotterill
11 S. Stanton
11 Stanton
8 J. Holt
8 Holt
42 R. McAlear
42 McAlear
2 E. Alic
2 Alic
3 C. Diabate
3 Diabate
19 D. Finlayson
19 Finlayson
33 L. Smith
33 Smith
1 T. Steward
1 Steward

Motherwell

4-2-3-1 · XI v Kilmarnock, 17 Oct
Alfred Johansson
47 S. Palmer-Houlden
47 Palmer-Houlden
19 I. Said
19 Said
11 A. Lowry
11 Lowry
18 T. Maswanhise
18 Maswanhise
71 J. Hodge
71 Hodge
8 L. Fadinger
8 Fadinger
45 E. Longelo
45 Longelo
5 M. Moormann
5 Moormann
2 S. O'Donnell
2 O'Donnell
7 T. Sparrow
7 Sparrow
1 A. Paulsen
1 Paulsen

Season data

Premiership numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

ST Johnstone

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
3-3-3
Goals
11-11
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
2
Best win run
1
Penalties
2/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
2-2-5
Goals
11-16
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
4
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · ST Johnstone

  • J. Fowler 6 G · 1 A · 9 apps
  • J. Gullan 0 G · 2 A · 7 apps

Key players · Motherwell

  • A. Lowry 3 G · 1 A · 9 apps
  • Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise 1 G · 2 A · 9 apps
  • T. Sparrow 0 G · 2 A · 9 apps

Top scorers · Premiership

  1. 1 B. Nygren Celtic 6
  2. 2 J. Fowler ST Johnstone 6
  3. 3 C. Durán Celtic 5
  4. 4 R. Naderi Rangers 4
  5. 5 K. Nisbet Aberdeen 4
Venue McDiarmid Park, Perth
New at ST Johnstone J. Campbell (Hibernian), J. Cotterill (Swansea), E. Alić (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo)
New at Motherwell D. Levitt (Leyton Orient), J. Kanga (Ilves), S. Palmer-Houlden (Gillingham)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors ST Johnstone

0% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Low confidence

Mean 0% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.00 vs 0.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric ST Johnstone Motherwell Expected total Lean
Corners 4.4 4.7 9.1 Under 9.5 58% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.9 2.1 4.0 Under 4.5 62% Ask AI
Shots 12.6 13.4 26.0 Under 26.5 55% Ask AI
Shots on target 4.1 4.7 8.8 Over 8.5 52% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 121 graded matches, cards 55% of 121. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

ST Johnstone
#5 · 12 PTS · GD 0
Last 5
D W D L W
5 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Dundee Utd 1-1 D
  • Aberdeen 0-1 W
  • Falkirk 1-1 D
  • Celtic 0-1 L
  • Hibernian 2-1 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Motherwell
#10 · 8 PTS · GD -5
Last 5
L L L L L
3 GF · 12 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Kilmarnock 3-2 L
  • Celtic 0-2 L
  • Dundee 2-1 L
  • Aberdeen 0-4 L
  • Rangers 1-0 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

STJ 2 · D 0 · MOT 3

MOT VS STJ
3-2
HOME WIN
Apr 26, 2025
STJ VS MOT
2-1
HOME WIN
Jan 25, 2025
MOT VS STJ
2-1
HOME WIN
Nov 9, 2024
STJ VS MOT
1-2
AWAY WIN
Aug 31, 2024
MOT VS STJ
1-2
AWAY WIN
May 19, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

Not enough points to plot a trend.

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with ST Johnstone, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Premiership games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

ST Johnstone
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Motherwell
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 0.01 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 0.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When ST Johnstone is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 0.01 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 35% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: . Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on ST Johnstone vs Motherwell in Premiership? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (—; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is , with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.