AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14 Oct 24, 2026 · 22:15 · UTC Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires Not Started

San Lorenzo
vs
Newells Old Boys.

Quick answer

Who will win San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys?

2 of 10 AI models pick San Lorenzo to win (20%). A draw is in play: 8 of 10 models picked it. The mean predicted score is 1–1 at 44% average confidence (low).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → San Lorenzo form Newells Old Boys form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 44% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Liga Profesional Argentina table Where San Lorenzo and Newells Old Boys stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

San Lorenzo win 20%

2 / 10 models

Draw 80%

8 / 10 models

Newells Old Boys win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Draw
1–1
34%
San Lorenzo's strong clean-sheet record and low scoring rate point to a tight game, while Newells' balanced recent form and late-goal tendency provide enough threat for an equalizer. Recent meetings also support a competitive draw.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
San Lorenzo win
1–0
40%
Both sides mid-table with similar mixed form; recent H2H very tight (0-0, 1-1), San Lorenzo's 14 clean sheets and home venue give a slight edge.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
0–0
48%
San Lorenzo have kept 14 clean sheets and failed to score 12 times this season. Paired with low-scoring H2H tendencies, a tight scoreless draw is the most probable outcome.
04
Grok 4.6
San Lorenzo win
1–0
48%
San Lorenzo’s many clean sheets and home venue edge a tight Clausura game; both sides score rarely, H2H is low-event, so a 1-0 home edge fits better than a draw.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
48%
Both sides are inconsistent and low-scoring; San Lorenzo's home edge is offset by Newells' solid recent DWDLW run. Three of the last five H2H meetings ended level, supporting another tight draw.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
32%
San Lorenzo's 14 clean sheets and low output (23 goals/30 games) plus Newells' leaky defense and late-goal tendency point to a tight, low-scoring draw, consistent with recent H2H (0-0, 1-1).
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
62%
Tight H2H history, both teams mid-table with similar form; recent draws and low-scoring trends favor shared spoils.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
46%
San Lorenzo are defensively solid (14 clean sheets) but struggle to score (12 blanks); Newells draw often (11) and H2H shows three draws in five. Expect a tight, low-scoring stalemate.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
52%
Even mid-table sides with draw-heavy records; four of last five H2H were draws or tight, and San Lorenzo's 14 clean sheets suggest a low-scoring, cagey affair.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
34%
Both sides draw heavily (9 and 11) with blunt attacks; recent H2H shows 0-0, 1-1, 2-2. San Lorenzo's home edge is offset by poor scoring form, so a low draw fits best.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    7 models
  • 1–0
    2 models
  • 0–0
    1 model

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.60 / 2.88 / 3.10
San Lorenzo Market 36% · AI 20%
Draw Market 33% · AI 80%
Newells Old Boys Market 31% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

San Lorenzo

3-4-1-2 · XI v Estudiantes L.P., 18 Oct
Dario Insua Ruben
29 R. Auzmendi
29 Auzmendi
14 A. Ladstatter
14 Ladstatter
38 F. Farias
38 Farias
3 T. Rodriguez Pagano
3 Pagano
10 F. Gulli
10 Gulli
24 N. Tripichio
24 Tripichio
32 E. Herrera
32 Herrera
19 E. Amor
19 Amor
2 D. Arboleda
2 Arboleda
16 G. Corujo
16 Corujo
25 J. Devecchi
25 Devecchi

Newells Old Boys

4-3-3 · XI v Gimnasia M., 12 Oct
Lucas Bernardi
32 S. Solari
32 Solari
9 M. Coccaro
9 Coccaro
7 W. Mazzantti
7 Mazzantti
20 F. Guch
20 Guch
5 L. Regiardo
5 Regiardo
26 R. Herrera
26 Herrera
24 F. Escobar
24 Escobar
16 L. Carrizo
16 Carrizo
25 B. Cabrera
25 Cabrera
6 M. Ortega
6 Ortega
30 J. Reinatti
30 Reinatti

Season data

Liga Profesional Argentina numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

San Lorenzo

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
10-9-11
Goals
23-29
Clean sheets
14
Failed to score
12
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Newells Old Boys

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
8-11-10
Goals
28-37
Clean sheets
7
Failed to score
10
Best win run
2
Penalties
2/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Top scorers · Liga Profesional Argentina

  1. 1 C. Tarragona Union Santa Fe 14
  2. 2 J. Marabel Sarmiento Junin 14
  3. 3 J. Caicedo Huracan 14
  4. 4 A. Módica Gimnasia M. 13
  5. 5 G. Ávalos Independiente 11
Venue Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires
Referee L. Lobo Medina
New at San Lorenzo U. Ojeda (San Lorenzo), F. Farías (Estudiantes L.P.), J. Salcedo (Cerro Porteno)
New at Newells Old Boys S. Solari (Racing Club), L. Carrizo (Huracan), L. Gómez (Argentinos JRS)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

80% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 44% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.90 vs 0.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

San Lorenzo
#7 · 22 PTS · GD 0
Last 5
W W L L D
4 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Estudiantes L.P. 1-2 W
  • Deportivo Riestra 1-0 W
  • Defensa Y Justicia 3-0 L
  • Boca Juniors 0-2 L
  • Independiente 1-1 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Newells Old Boys
#14 · 15 PTS · GD -12
Last 5
W L D W D
4 GF · 3 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Central Cordoba de Santiago 2-1 W
  • Gimnasia M. 1-0 L
  • Lanus 0-0 D
  • Platense 0-1 W
  • Velez Sarsfield 1-1 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

SAN 0 · D 3 · NEW 2

NEW VS SAN
0-0
DRAW
Apr 12, 2026
SAN VS NEW
1-1
DRAW
Jul 27, 2024
NEW VS SAN
2-2
DRAW
Mar 4, 2024
SAN VS NEW
0-3
AWAY WIN
Oct 7, 2023
NEW VS SAN
1-0
HOME WIN
Mar 20, 2023

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 20% of models side with San Lorenzo, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 80% — tight Liga Profesional Argentina games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

San Lorenzo
~20%
implied lean
Draw
~80%
implied lean
Newells Old Boys
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.60 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.9 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When San Lorenzo is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.60 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: San Lorenzo win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys in Liga Profesional Argentina? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is San Lorenzo win, with vote shares roughly 20% / 80% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.