AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
Serie A · Regular Season - 33 Oct 24, 2026 · 19:30 · UTC José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirasol Not Started

Mirassol
vs
Sao Paulo.

Quick answer

Who will win Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?

4 of 10 AI models pick Mirassol to win (40%). The mean predicted score is 0–1 at 45% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Mirassol form Sao Paulo form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Mirassol (4 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–1 at 45% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Serie A table Where Mirassol and Sao Paulo stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Mirassol win 40%

4 / 10 models

Draw 30%

3 / 10 models

Sao Paulo win 30%

3 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Sao Paulo win
0–1
43%
Sao Paulo’s stronger defensive record and Calleri-led attack narrowly outweigh Mirassol’s home advantage. Mirassol’s eight scoreless matches and São Paulo’s recent WLLWW form support a tight away victory.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Mirassol win
2–1
45%
Mirassol strong at home historically vs Sao Paulo and decent recent form, but Sao Paulo's better recent results (WLLWW) and Calleri/Luciano scoring keep this close.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
48%
Mirassol has had strong home results against Sao Paulo historically, but Sao Paulo's solid defense and Calleri's threat make a tight, low-scoring draw the most balanced outcome.
04
Grok 4.6
Draw
1–1
42%
Similar goals tallies and mixed form; Mirassol’s home H2H edge offset by Sao Paulo’s Calleri-Luciano attack and extra clean sheets. Tight 1-1 fits.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Sao Paulo win
0–1
42%
Sao Paulo have stronger recent form and Calleri's finishing edge, while Mirassol struggle to score at home. H2H recent away win supports a narrow Sao Paulo victory.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
42%
Mirassol's strong home H2H vs Sao Paulo contrasts with Sao Paulo's superior attackers (Calleri, Luciano); both average ~1.16 goals/game, suggesting a tight, low-scoring stalemate.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Sao Paulo win
0–1
62%
Sao Paulo's stronger attack (Calleri, Luciano) and recent form (WLLWW) edge Mirassol's inconsistent home record and defensive gaps.
08
Kimi K3
Mirassol win
1–0
45%
Mirassol won the last three home H2Hs and Sao Paulo's away form is shaky; both sides score modestly, so a tight low-scoring home edge fits best.
09
GLM 5.3
Mirassol win
2–1
50%
Mirassol have beaten Sao Paulo 3-0, 3-0 and 2-0 in recent home meetings, and arrive in better form (DWDLW vs WLLWW). Sao Paulo's Calleri-Luciano attack keeps it close, but home edge prevails.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Mirassol win
1–0
34%
Mirassol's home form against Sao Paulo is strong (3-0 twice at this venue), though both sides are mid-table with similar output; a tight home edge fits better than a shootout.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 10 models settled on 0–1. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 0–1
    3 models
  • 1–1
    3 models
  • 2–1
    2 models
  • 1–0
    2 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.25 / 3.20 / 3.25
Mirassol Market 42% · AI 40%
Draw Market 29% · AI 30%
Sao Paulo Market 29% · AI 30%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Mirassol vs Sao Paulo

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Mirassol

4-3-3 · XI v Bahia, 11 Oct
77 Alesson
77 Alesson
30 Bruno Santos
30 Santos
19 Gustavo Silva
19 Silva
10 Chico
10 Chico
Left
25 Neto Moura
25 Moura
27 Denilson
27 Denilson
6 Reinaldo
6 Reinaldo
3 Willian Machado
3 Machado
2 Lucas Oliveira
2 Oliveira
32 Igor Formiga
32 Formiga
22 Walter
22 Walter

1 of this XI is ruled out of this match or no longer at the club.

Sao Paulo

3-4-2-1 · XI v Vasco DA Gama, 18 Oct
Dorival Júnior
9 J. Calleri
9 Calleri
37 Artur
37 Artur
10 Luciano
10 Luciano
12 Iago
12 Iago
16 D. Bobadilla
16 Bobadilla
8 Marcos Antônio
8 Antônio
32 Pedro Lima
32 Lima
2 R. Tolói
2 Tolói
5 R. Arboleda
5 Arboleda
28 Newton
28 Newton
23 Rafael
23 Rafael

Season data

Serie A numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Mirassol

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
9-9-13
Goals
36-44
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
8
Best win run
1
Penalties
2/4
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Sao Paulo

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
12-6-13
Goals
36-35
Clean sheets
7
Failed to score
7
Best win run
4
Penalties
6/6
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Mirassol

  • Igor Formiga 4 G · 5 A · 28 apps
  • Alesson 0 G · 5 A · 27 apps

Key players · Sao Paulo

  • J. Calleri 10 G · 1 A · 26 apps
  • Luciano 9 G · 2 A · 24 apps

Top scorers · Serie A

  1. 1 K. Viveros Atletico Paranaense 21
  2. 2 Pedro Flamengo 16
  3. 3 Gabriel Barbosa Santos 15
  4. 4 Carlos Vinícius Gremio 11
  5. 5 Kaio Jorge Cruzeiro 11
Venue José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirasol
New at Mirassol Zé Roberto (Sport Recife), Gustavo Silva (Jubilo Iwata), Gustavo Cazonatti (Sporting Cristal)
New at Sao Paulo Pedro Lima (Wolves), N. Ferraresi (Botafogo), Iago (Bahia)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Mirassol

40% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 45% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.90 vs 0.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Mirassol
#14 · 36 PTS · GD -8
Last 5
W L D W W
9 GF · 2 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Internacional 2-0 W
  • Bahia 1-0 L
  • RB Bragantino 1-1 D
  • Uberlandia 0-4 W
  • Botafogo 2-0 W
Team news
Andre Luis — Yellow Cards Negueba — Knee Injury Jose Aldo — Muscle Injury
Sao Paulo
#9 · 42 PTS · GD +1
Last 5
W W L L W
5 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Vasco DA Gama 1-0 W
  • Vitoria 2-1 W
  • Cruzeiro 2-0 L
  • Santos 1-2 L
  • Internacional 1-0 W
Team news
N. Bosshardt — Inactive Buta — Knee Injury Cauly — Inactive D. Duarte — Knee Injury Ferreira — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

MIR 3 · D 0 · SAO 2

SAO VS MIR
1-0
HOME WIN
Apr 26, 2026
MIR VS SAO
3-0
HOME WIN
Jan 11, 2026
MIR VS SAO
3-0
HOME WIN
Oct 19, 2025
SAO VS MIR
0-2
AWAY WIN
May 24, 2025
SAO VS MIR
4-1
HOME WIN
Feb 5, 2025

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 40% of models side with Mirassol, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 30% — tight Serie A games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Mirassol
~40%
implied lean
Draw
~30%
implied lean
Sao Paulo
~30%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.70 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Mirassol is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.70 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Mirassol win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Mirassol vs Sao Paulo in Serie A? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Mirassol win, with vote shares roughly 40% / 30% / 30% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Mirassol vs Sao Paulo, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.