ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8 Oct 24, 2026 · 13:30 · UTC WWK Arena, Augsburg Match Finished · 90'

FC Augsburg
vs
Union Berlin.

Quick answer

Who will win FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?

Final score: FC Augsburg 1–1 Union Berlin. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick FC Augsburg to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 2–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → FC Augsburg form Union Berlin form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (751 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward FC Augsburg (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 54% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Bundesliga table Where FC Augsburg and Union Berlin stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

FC Augsburg win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Union Berlin win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
FC Augsburg win
2–1
58%
Augsburg have scored 16 times without failing to score, while Union have managed only five goals and lost three of six. Augsburg’s home advantage and stronger attacking form outweigh Union’s recent improvement.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
FC Augsburg win
2–0
56%
Augsburg score in every game this season and Gregoritsch is in form, while Union struggle badly to score (failed 3 times, 5 goals in 6) and are winless in four.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
FC Augsburg win
2–0
55%
Augsburg have scored in every game this season, while Union Berlin have struggled in attack, failing to score in half their matches and conceding 17 goals.
04
Grok 4.6
FC Augsburg win
2–0
52%
Augsburg score freely (16 in 6) with Gregoritsch in form; Union have only 5 league goals and three blanks. Home edge at WWK Arena over a leaky, low-output Union side.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
FC Augsburg win
2–1
48%
Augsburg's 16 goals in 6 games show real attacking output, while Union Berlin have conceded 17 and lost 3 of 5. Home venue and Union's poor away form support a narrow Augsburg win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
FC Augsburg win
2–1
52%
Augsburg's prolific attack (16 goals in 6) faces Union's leaky defense (17 conceded), but Union's late-goal tendency and Augsburg's defensive frailties suggest a consolation.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
FC Augsburg win
2–1
58%
Augsburg’s home form and Gregoritsch’s scoring offset Union’s defensive injuries; recent H2H mixed but home edge slight.
08
Kimi K3
FC Augsburg win
2–1
55%
Augsburg score freely (16 in 6) with Gregoritsch and Rieder in form; Union concede heavily (17) and miss defenders, but their late scoring keeps it narrow.
09
GLM 5.3
FC Augsburg win
2–1
52%
Augsburg unbeaten in scoring all season and at home, versus Union's 5-17 goal record and three goalless games; Union's late-goal pattern and H2H competitiveness keep this narrow.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
FC Augsburg win
2–1
55%
Augsburg score freely (16 goals, never blanked) at home versus Union's leaky 17 conceded; Union's late goals and H2H edge keep this close despite missing Nsoki and Juranovic.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    7 models
  • 2–0
    3 models

Live match centre

Full-time
FC Augsburg
Han-Noah Massengo 71'
1–1
Union Berlin
Janik Haberer 74'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.70 / 4.10 / 4.50
FC Augsburg Market 56% · AI 83%
Draw Market 23% · AI 8%
Union Berlin Market 21% · AI 8%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 12 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin

FC Augsburg

3-4-2-1
M. Baum
11 M. Gregoritsch
11 Gregoritsch
21 A. Ibrahimović
21 Ibrahimović
30 A. Kade
30 Kade
16 Hennes Behrens
16 Behrens
32 F. Rieder
32 Rieder
4 H. Massengo
4 Massengo
27 M. Wolf
27 Wolf
2 C. Brackelmann
2 Brackelmann
5 C. Matsima
5 Matsima
35 Abdulay Bah
35 Bah
1 F. Dahmen
1 Dahmen

Bench: Seol Young-Woo, T. Schnitzer, Rodrigo Ribeiro, U. Ogundu, N. Labrović, M. Kömür, Y. Keitel, J. Gouweleeuw, R. Fellhauer

Union Berlin

4-2-3-1
M. Lustrinelli
21 T. Skarke
21 Skarke
9 Livan Burcu
9 Burcu
20 M. Aebischer
20 Aebischer
11 Jeong Woo-Yeong
11 Woo-Yeong
8 R. Khedira
8 Khedira
13 A. Schäfer
13 Schäfer
15 T. Rothe
15 Rothe
2 F. Uduokhai
2 Uduokhai
4 Z. Van Den Bosch
4 Bosch
19 J. Haberer
19 Haberer
1 F. Rønnow
1 Rønnow

Bench: C. Trimmel, M. Raab, L. Querfeld, M. Ljubičić, E. Latte Lath, D. Köhn, A. Kemlein, M. Gray, O. Burke

Season data

Bundesliga numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

FC Augsburg

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
2-3-2
Goals
17-13
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
2
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Union Berlin

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
1-3-3
Goals
6-18
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
3
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · FC Augsburg

  • F. Rieder 2 G · 4 A · 7 apps
  • M. Gregoritsch 4 G · 0 A · 7 apps
  • R. Fellhauer 3 G · 0 A · 7 apps

Key players · Union Berlin

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Top scorers · Bundesliga

  1. 1 N. Füllkrug Werder Bremen 8
  2. 2 M. Olise Bayern München 6
  3. 3 P. Schick Bayer Leverkusen 6
  4. 4 Y. Ebnoutalib Eintracht Frankfurt 5
  5. 5 P. Tietz FSV Mainz 05 5
Venue WWK Arena, Augsburg
Referee Robin Braun
New at FC Augsburg Abdulay Bah (Manchester City), A. Ibrahimović (Bayern München), Seol Young-Woo (FK Crvena Zvezda)
New at Union Berlin D. Kreilach (HNK Rijeka), K. Imeri (BSC Young Boys), F. Uduokhai (Beşiktaş)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors FC Augsburg

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 54% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.00 vs 0.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric FC Augsburg Union Berlin Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 5.0 4.7 9.6 Under 9.5 51% 6 hit Ask AI
Yellow cards 2.2 1.7 3.9 Over 3.5 55% 3 miss Ask AI
Shots 13.5 12.0 25.5 Under 25.5 51% 31 miss Ask AI
Shots on target 5.5 3.8 9.3 Under 9.5 55% 6 hit Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Draw · AI FC Augsburg win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

FC Augsburg
#9 · 9 PTS · GD +4
Last 5
W D L D D
12 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-4 W
  • Union Berlin 1-1 D
  • SV Elversberg 4-3 L
  • Bayern München 2-2 D
  • Hertha BSC 2-2 D
Team news
N. Banks — Knee Injury S. Mounie — Injury A. Claude-Maurice — Muscle Injury
Union Berlin
#17 · 6 PTS · GD -12
Last 5
L D D W L
2 GF · 13 GA
Recent fixtures
  • 1. FC Köln 5-0 L
  • FC Augsburg 1-1 D
  • Borussia Dortmund 0-0 D
  • SV Elversberg 1-0 W
  • Bayern München 7-0 L
Team news
A. Ilic — Illness A. Markgraf — Knee Injury S. Nsoki — Muscle Injury K. Imeri — Injury J. Juranovic — Achilles Tendon Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

FCA 1 · D 2 · UNI 2

FCA VS UNI
1-1
DRAW
Oct 24, 2026
UNI VS FCA
4-0
HOME WIN
May 16, 2026
FCA VS UNI
1-1
DRAW
Jan 15, 2026
FCA VS UNI
1-2
AWAY WIN
May 17, 2025
UNI VS FCA
0-2
AWAY WIN
Jan 15, 2025

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with FC Augsburg, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Bundesliga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

FC Augsburg
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Union Berlin
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.70 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When FC Augsburg is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.70 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: FC Augsburg win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin in Bundesliga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is FC Augsburg win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.