ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8 Oct 24, 2026 · 13:30 · UTC Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn Match Finished · 90'

SC Paderborn 07
vs
Hamburger SV.

Quick answer

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?

Final score: SC Paderborn 07 1–0 Hamburger SV. Before kickoff, 5 of 10 AI models pick Hamburger SV to win (50%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–0.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → SC Paderborn 07 form Hamburger SV form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Hamburger SV (5 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–0 at 47% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Bundesliga table Where SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

SC Paderborn 07 win 40%

4 / 10 models

Draw 10%

1 / 10 models

Hamburger SV win 50%

5 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Hamburger SV win
0–1
38%
Hamburger SV's three successive wins contrast with Paderborn's inconsistent 1W-2D-3L record, while Paderborn have failed to score four times. Their recent meetings favor Paderborn, tempering confidence despite Hamburg's stronger current momentum.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Hamburger SV win
1–2
48%
Hamburg's recent form (WWW) and stronger scoring edge Paderborn's weak attack, though home side has fared well in H2H meetings.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Hamburger SV win
1–2
48%
Hamburger SV have won three straight league matches, bringing stronger momentum against a struggling Paderborn side that has failed to score in four of their six games.
04
Grok 4.6
Hamburger SV win
1–2
46%
Paderborn have blanked in four of six and sit LLWLD; HSV’s three-game winning run and late-goal share (43%) outweigh H2H home history and HSV’s leaky defence.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
SC Paderborn 07 win
1–0
49%
Paderborn's strong H2H record (unbeaten in five, three wins) and home venue offset their poor season form; Hamburg's leaky defence (15 conceded) supports a narrow home win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
45%
Paderborn's H2H home dominance offsets poor scoring form; HSV's three-game win streak and attacking quality meet their leaky defence, suggesting both score once.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
SC Paderborn 07 win
1–0
60%
Paderborn’s home form and clean sheet potential vs HSV’s leaky defense; recent H2H favors narrow home wins.
08
Kimi K3
SC Paderborn 07 win
1–0
52%
Paderborn have won the last two home H2Hs and HSV's three wins came against weaker sides; with Paderborn's five absentees limiting attack, a tight low-scoring home edge fits best.
09
GLM 5.3
SC Paderborn 07 win
2–1
50%
Paderborn unbeaten in last five H2Hs at home to HSV, who concede heavily (15 in 6). Paderborn's form is poor, so confidence stays modest; HSV's late-goal threat supports a narrow home win.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Hamburger SV win
0–1
38%
Paderborn failed to score in 4 of 6, missing several attackers; HSV's LLWWW form and late goals edge a tight game despite Paderborn's strong H2H.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 10 models settled on 1–0. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 1–0
    3 models
  • 1–2
    3 models
  • 0–1
    2 models
  • 2–1
    1 model
  • 1–1
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
SC Paderborn 07
Rayan Philippe 88'
1–0
Hamburger SV
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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.35 / 3.70 / 2.80
SC Paderborn 07 Market 40% · AI 50%
Draw Market 26% · AI 8%
Hamburger SV Market 34% · AI 42%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 12 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV

SC Paderborn 07

3-5-2
R. Kettemann
27 S. Tigges
27 Tigges
30 S. Marino
30 Marino
23 R. Obermair
23 Obermair
40 G. Vidović
40 Vidović
5 S. Castañeda
5 Castañeda
28 L. Ulrich
28 Ulrich
17 L. Curda
17 Curda
22 M. Hansen
22 Hansen
25 T. Scheller
25 Scheller
21 J. ter Horst
21 Horst
15 N. Noll
15 Noll

Bench: T. Baack, F. Götze, S. Michel, Ruben Müller, R. Philippe, M. Pieringer, M. Schubert, Jonah Benedict Sticker, D. Zeitler

Hamburger SV

3-5-2
M. Polzin
15 Y. Poulsen
15 Poulsen
20 Fábio Vieira
20 Vieira
3 D. Møller Wolfe
3 Wolfe
28 M. Muheim
28 Muheim
4 B. Nadir
4 Nadir
5 M. Adeline
5 Adeline
7 Z. El Ouahdi
7 Ouahdi
17 W. Omari
17 Omari
33 S. Bornauw
33 Bornauw
43 S. Nandja
43 Nandja
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes
1 Fernandes

Bench: Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit, Otto Emerson Stange, S. Tangvik, T. Moffi, A. Sambi Lokonga, L. Lemke, A. Grønbæk, J. Bissi Mouelle, Kofi Jeremy Amoako

Season data

Bundesliga numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

SC Paderborn 07

3-1-4-2
W-D-L
2-2-3
Goals
6-9
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
4
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Hamburger SV

3-4-2-1
W-D-L
3-0-4
Goals
6-16
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
4
Best win run
3
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Top scorers · Bundesliga

  1. 1 N. Füllkrug Werder Bremen 8
  2. 2 M. Olise Bayern München 6
  3. 3 P. Schick Bayer Leverkusen 6
  4. 4 Y. Ebnoutalib Eintracht Frankfurt 5
  5. 5 P. Tietz FSV Mainz 05 5
Venue Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
Referee Martin Petersen
New at SC Paderborn 07 R. Philippe (Hamburger SV), M. Pieringer (1. FC Heidenheim), G. Vidović (Dinamo Zagreb)
New at Hamburger SV M. Vušković (Hamburger SV), D. Møller Wolfe (Wolves), Fábio Vieira (Arsenal)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Hamburger SV

50% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 47% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.90 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric SC Paderborn 07 Hamburger SV Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 5.3 3.9 9.2 Under 9.5 56% 9 hit Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.5 2.2 3.6 Under 3.5 51% 3 hit Ask AI
Shots 15.9 11.3 27.2 Under 27.5 53% 24 hit Ask AI
Shots on target 5.5 4.7 10.2 Under 10.5 56% 7 hit Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual SC Paderborn 07 win · AI Hamburger SV win

1X2: Miss Score: Exact
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

SC Paderborn 07
#13 · 8 PTS · GD -3
Last 5
L W D L W
4 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • VfB Stuttgart 0-1 L
  • Hamburger SV 1-0 W
  • Werder Bremen 2-2 D
  • VfB Stuttgart 0-2 L
  • DC United 0-1 W
Team news
N. Awortwie-Grant — Knee Injury O. Batista Meier — Ankle Injury T. Gayret — Knee Injury M. Hoffmeier — Muscle Injury S. Klaas — Muscle Injury
Hamburger SV
#11 · 9 PTS · GD -10
Last 5
L L W W W
7 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 L
  • SC Paderborn 07 1-0 L
  • VfB Stuttgart 1-0 W
  • 1899 Hoffenheim 2-3 W
  • FC Copenhagen 2-0 W
Team news
N. Remberg — Knee Injury M. Vuskovic — Doping
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

SCP 4 · D 1 · HAM 0

SCP VS HAM
1-0
HOME WIN
Oct 24, 2026
SCP VS HAM
2-0
HOME WIN
Mar 2, 2025
HAM VS SCP
2-2
DRAW
Sep 28, 2024
SCP VS HAM
1-0
HOME WIN
May 10, 2024
HAM VS SCP
1-2
AWAY WIN
Dec 9, 2023

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 40% of models side with SC Paderborn 07, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 10% — tight Bundesliga games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

SC Paderborn 07
~40%
implied lean
Draw
~10%
implied lean
Hamburger SV
~50%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When SC Paderborn 07 is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Hamburger SV win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV in Bundesliga? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Hamburger SV win, with vote shares roughly 40% / 10% / 50% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.