JUV 2-0 REN · 59% ARA 1-2 AZA · 54% DIN 1-0 NEC · 55% FER 2-0 TOR · 64% LEC 1-1 SUN · 48% OFI 0-2 BAY · 62% UNI 2-0 HAP · 56% STU 0-1 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% INT 0-1 UNI · 52% FKJ 0-2 BRI · 59% KAU 0-2 BRA · 62% JUV 2-0 REN · 59% ARA 1-2 AZA · 54% DIN 1-0 NEC · 55% FER 2-0 TOR · 64% LEC 1-1 SUN · 48% OFI 0-2 BAY · 62% UNI 2-0 HAP · 56% STU 0-1 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% INT 0-1 UNI · 52% FKJ 0-2 BRI · 59% KAU 0-2 BRA · 62%
UEFA Nations League · League B - 6 Oct 6, 2026 · 18:45 · UTC A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn Match Finished · 90'

Estonia
vs
Iceland.

Quick answer

Who will win Estonia vs Iceland?

Final score: Estonia 0–0 Iceland. Before kickoff, 7 of 10 AI models pick Iceland to win (70%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 0–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Estonia form Iceland form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Iceland (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–1 at 42% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Estonia win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 30%

3 / 10 models

Iceland win 70%

7 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Draw
1–1
32%
With no form or head-to-head data supplied, the matchup is difficult to separate. Estonia’s Tallinn home advantage may offset Iceland’s generally stronger international profile, pointing to a tight, low-scoring draw.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Iceland win
1–2
47%
Iceland have more individual quality and typically edge Nations League C/D minnows; Estonia's home comfort limits margin but not outcome.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Iceland win
0–2
60%
Iceland possesses significantly superior individual quality and attacking structure compared to Estonia, who often struggle to create chances against disciplined, physical European sides.
04
Grok 4.6
Iceland win
0–1
42%
No H2H and thin form data. Iceland usually the stronger side; Estonia at home still points to a tight, low-scoring League C game.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Iceland win
0–1
52%
Iceland's stronger squad depth and Nations League experience edge a tight away fixture; Estonia often low-scoring at home.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Iceland win
0–1
58%
Iceland are the stronger side in League C; Estonia struggle to score at home. A narrow away win fits the quality gap.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
58%
League C parity; both teams balanced in attack/defense, no clear edge. Low-scoring draw likely.
08
Kimi K3
Iceland win
0–1
58%
Iceland's superior squad depth and recent competitive form give them the edge over Estonia, who typically struggle to score against structured Nordic defenses in Tallinn.
09
GLM 5.3
Iceland win
0–1
50%
Iceland are the stronger side in League C with deeper squad quality; Estonia struggle for goals at home. Expect a tight, low-scoring game with a narrow away win.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Draw
1–1
58%
UEFA Nations League C match; Estonia's home advantage is modest, and Iceland's recent form suggests a tight, evenly contested game likely ending in a draw.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 0–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 0–1
    5 models
  • 1–1
    3 models
  • 1–2
    1 model
  • 0–2
    1 model
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Iceland

70% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Low confidence

Mean 42% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.40 vs 1.20

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Draw · AI Iceland win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Estonia
—
Last 5
D W D D
2 GF · 1 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Iceland 0-0 D
  • Luxembourg 1-0 W
  • Bulgaria 0-0 D
  • Iceland 1-1 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Iceland
—
Last 5
D W W D
7 GF · 1 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Estonia 0-0 D
  • Bulgaria 3-0 W
  • Luxembourg 0-3 W
  • Estonia 1-1 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

EST 0 · D 2 · ICE 0

EST VS ICE
0-0
DRAW
Oct 6, 2026
ICE VS EST
1-1
DRAW
Sep 26, 2026

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Estonia, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 30% — tight UEFA Nations League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Estonia
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~30%
implied lean
Iceland
~70%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.60 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.9 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Estonia is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.60 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Iceland win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Estonia vs Iceland in UEFA Nations League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Iceland win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 30% / 70% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Estonia vs Iceland, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.