AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53% AL- 1-0 AL- · 44% KAI 1-2 PAN · 54% AL- 1-1 ALS · 45% JUV 1-0 REN · 56% ARA 0-2 AZA · 57% DIN 1-0 NEC · 54% FER 2-0 TOR · 59% LEC 1-1 SUN · 46% OFI 0-2 BAY · 61% UNI 1-0 HAP · 54% STU 1-2 MAR · 48% FKC 1-2 FCC · 56% GET 1-2 FCL · 50% FCI 0-1 MJA · 53%
Süper Lig · Regular Season - 9 Oct 23, 2026 · 17:00 · UTC Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya Not Started

Alanyaspor
vs
Kocaelispor.

Quick answer

Who will win Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

10 of 10 AI models pick Alanyaspor to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 1–0 at 50% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Alanyaspor form Kocaelispor form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (556 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Alanyaspor (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–0 at 50% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Süper Lig table Where Alanyaspor and Kocaelispor stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Alanyaspor win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Kocaelispor win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Alanyaspor win
1–0
53%
Alanyaspor’s home advantage and three clean sheets support a narrow win, while both teams have scored sparingly. Kocaelispor’s defensive absences further favor a low-scoring Alanya victory.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Alanyaspor win
2–1
48%
Alanyaspor unbeaten at home recently and dominated last H2H; Kocaelispor's poor away form (WLWLL) and missing players support a narrow home win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Alanyaspor win
1–0
52%
Kocaelispor arrive with several defensive and squad absences having lost two in their last three. Alanyaspor's solid home record and defensive stability should see them edge a tight encounter.
04
Grok 4.6
Alanyaspor win
1–0
42%
Kocaelispor miss several first-team players; Alanyaspor at home with a recent 5-0 H2H. Both sides score modestly this season, so a narrow 1-0 fits.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Alanyaspor win
1–0
52%
Alanyaspor's home edge and three clean sheets meet a Kocaelispor side missing key players and winless on the road; low-scoring edge likely.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Alanyaspor win
1–0
52%
Alanyaspor unbeaten in five, Kocaelispor missing four players and in poor form (WLWLL). Low-scoring home edge supported by both teams' modest attack and Alanyaspor's three clean sheets.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Alanyaspor win
1–0
58%
Alanyaspor home form solid (WDWDL), Kocaelispor missing key attackers and inconsistent. H2H includes a 5-0 home win this year.
08
Kimi K3
Alanyaspor win
1–0
48%
Alanyaspor's home form and Kocaelispor's four absentees including key defenders suggest a tight, low-scoring match. Recent H2H at this venue favors Alanyaspor, and their ability to grind out results supports a narrow home win.
09
GLM 5.3
Alanyaspor win
2–1
55%
Alanyaspor unbeaten-ish at home (WDWDL) and won 5-0 in the last H2H at this venue; Kocaelispor's late goals and four absentees suggest they nick one but lose.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Alanyaspor win
1–0
42%
Alanyaspor unbeaten in three (WDWD) with three clean sheets at home, while Kocaelispor miss Haidara, Petkovic, Zoukrou; 5-0 H2H here shows Alanya's edge, though low-scoring is likely given both defenses.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

8 of 10 models settled on 1–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–0
    8 models
  • 2–1
    2 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.95 / 3.10 / 3.80
Alanyaspor Market 47% · AI 100%
Draw Market 29% · AI 0%
Kocaelispor Market 24% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Alanyaspor

3-4-3 · XI v Fenerbahçe, 17 Oct
Joao Pereira
7 I. Kaya
7 Kaya
17 A. Usluoglu
17 Usluoglu
16 Hwang Ui-Jo
16 Ui-Jo
11 Ruan
11 Ruan
55 B. Gezek
55 Gezek
42 G. Makouta
42 Makouta
94 F. Hadergjonaj
94 Hadergjonaj
20 F. Aksoy
20 Aksoy
5 F. Aliti
5 Aliti
3 N. Lima
3 Lima
48 Paulo Victor
48 Victor

Kocaelispor

4-3-3 · XI v Göztepe, 18 Oct
Selcuk Inan
26 M. Altunbas
26 Altunbas
7 D. Agyei
7 Agyei
11 G. Sousa
11 Sousa
10 B. Kutlu
10 Kutlu
14 Show
14 Show
20 M. Susoho
20 Susoho
3 M. Cinan
3 Cinan
5 E. Ortakaya
5 Ortakaya
2 A. Dijksteel
2 Dijksteel
22 U. Yildiz
22 Yildiz
83 S. Oztasdelen
83 Oztasdelen

Season data

Süper Lig numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Alanyaspor

3-4-3
W-D-L
3-3-2
Goals
8-9
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
2
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Kocaelispor

4-3-3
W-D-L
4-0-4
Goals
9-8
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
2
Best win run
3
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Alanyaspor

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · Kocaelispor

  • B. Kutlu 3 G · 1 A · 8 apps

Top scorers · Süper Lig

  1. 1 Mohamed Salah Trabzonspor 8
  2. 2 G. Orban Amed 7
  3. 3 V. Muriqi Fenerbahçe 7
  4. 4 E. Shomurodov Başakşehir 7
  5. 5 V. Osimhen Galatasaray 6
Venue Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya
New at Alanyaspor E. Demir (Fenerbahçe), Paolo Fernandes (AEK Athens FC), Iván Cédric (Vanspor FK)
New at Kocaelispor T. Gulliksen (Rapid Vienna), F. Ayé (Servette FC), M. Maglica (SV Darmstadt 98)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Alanyaspor

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 50% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.20 vs 0.20

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Alanyaspor Kocaelispor Expected total Lean
Corners 4.8 3.7 8.4 Under 8.5 53% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.8 2.3 4.1 Under 4.5 61% Ask AI
Shots 13.0 9.9 22.9 Over 22.5 52% Ask AI
Shots on target 4.9 2.8 7.7 Over 7.5 50% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 121 graded matches, cards 55% of 121. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Alanyaspor
#9 · 12 PTS · GD -1
Last 5
L D W D W
5 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Fenerbahçe 3-0 L
  • Erzurumspor FK 0-0 D
  • Çorum FK 1-2 W
  • Göztepe 2-2 D
  • Rizespor 0-1 W
Team news
P. Fernandes — Injury
Kocaelispor
#8 · 12 PTS · GD +1
Last 5
L L W L W
5 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Göztepe 1-2 L
  • Beşiktaş 2-1 L
  • Gaziantep FK 2-0 W
  • Galatasaray 1-0 L
  • Samsunspor 1-0 W
Team news
M. Haidara — Muscle Injury A. Jovanovic — Coach's decision B. Petkovic — Hamstring Injury T. Zoukrou — Muscle Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

ALA 2 · D 0 · KOC 1

ALA VS KOC
5-0
HOME WIN
Mar 18, 2026
KOC VS ALA
2-0
HOME WIN
Oct 25, 2025
ALA VS KOC
1-0
HOME WIN
Dec 5, 2023

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Alanyaspor, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Süper Lig games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Alanyaspor
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Kocaelispor
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.40 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.7 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Alanyaspor is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.40 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Alanyaspor win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor in Süper Lig? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Alanyaspor win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.