COM 1-2 ASR · 47% ELC 1-1 CEL · 45% CRY 1-1 NOT · 45% HUL 1-2 EVE · 45% NIC 2-1 STR · 46% LAZ 2-0 MON · 51% LEC 0-1 BOL · 43% 1.F 2-2 BOR · 42% REA 2-0 DEP · 51% REN 2-1 AUX · 47% LIV 1-1 MAN · 43% SCF 2-0 FCS · 54% SAS 1-2 ACM · 47% REA 2-1 OSA · 45% COM 1-2 ASR · 47% ELC 1-1 CEL · 45% CRY 1-1 NOT · 45% HUL 1-2 EVE · 45% NIC 2-1 STR · 46% LAZ 2-0 MON · 51% LEC 0-1 BOL · 43% 1.F 2-2 BOR · 42% REA 2-0 DEP · 51% REN 2-1 AUX · 47% LIV 1-1 MAN · 43% SCF 2-0 FCS · 54% SAS 1-2 ACM · 47% REA 2-1 OSA · 45%
NPB Oct 4, 2026 · 09:00 Finished

Yakult Swallows
vs
Hiroshima Carp.

Quick answer

Who will win Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Carp?

Final score: Yakult Swallows 4–7 Hiroshima Carp. Before kickoff, 9 of 10 AI models pick Yakult Swallows to win (90%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 5–3.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Yakult Swallows (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 5–3 at 52% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

10 AI models · council in session Live match data · Pro

Still not sure? Ask 10 AIs at once:
“Will Yakult Swallows beat Hiroshima Carp in their upcoming match?”

Every model votes yes or no and defends it in a sentence or two. Attach this match's last-5 form, head-to-head and the picks above so they argue from real data — then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

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— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Yakult Swallows win 90%

9 / 10 models

Hiroshima Carp win 10%

1 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Yakult Swallows win
5–3
57%
Yakult won three of the five latest meetings, including two in Hiroshima, while home-field advantage supports a narrow edge. Recent matchups have varied widely, so a moderate-scoring, moderately close game is most plausible.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Yakult Swallows win
5–3
58%
Yakult won 3 of last 4 meetings including a blowout, showing recent dominance over Hiroshima; home venue adds modest edge.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Yakult Swallows win
4–3
56%
Yakult have held the upper hand in recent head-to-head encounters at Meiji Jingu Stadium, edging Hiroshima in a tightly contested, bullpen-dependent matchup.
04
Grok 4.6
Yakult Swallows win
5–3
56%
Yakult took three of five recent H2H, including a 12-0 home win. Mixed series overall, so a modest home edge in a typical NPB scoring range.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Yakult Swallows win
4–2
61%
Yakult won two of the last three H2H meetings and have home venue; Hiroshima's attack has been inconsistent, scoring one run in two of their last three against Yakult.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Hiroshima Carp win
3–4
58%
Hiroshima won the most recent H2H meeting 5-1 and took two of the last three; Yakult's home blowout earlier is offset by Carp's stronger late-season form.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Yakult Swallows win
6–4
62%
Yakult's recent home dominance (12-0, 9-1) and Carp's inconsistent away form favor Swallows.
08
Kimi K3
Yakult Swallows win
6–4
58%
Yakult took two of three in late August and exploded for 12 runs at home in August; Hiroshima's recent 5-1 win keeps this competitive, but Swallows' home form and H2H edge at Jingu favor a moderate home victory.
09
GLM 5.3
Yakult Swallows win
5–3
55%
Yakult won three of the last five meetings, including a 12-0 home rout, and host at Jingu; Hiroshima's recent bats have been inconsistent, so a moderate home edge.
10
MiMo V2.5 Pro
Yakult Swallows win
4–2
62%
Yakult's strong recent H2H at home and Hiroshima's inconsistent away form favor the Swallows; a moderate-scoring game is expected.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 5–3. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 5–3
    4 models
  • 6–4
    2 models
  • 4–2
    2 models
  • 3–4
    1 model
  • 4–3
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Carp in NPB? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (5 - 3; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Yakult Swallows win, with vote shares roughly 90% / 10% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Carp, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Yakult Swallows

90% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 52% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected runs tilt 4.70 vs 3.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

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Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.