COM 1-0 PAR · 57% TOR 0-1 ASR · 57% INT 2-1 UDI · 63% LEE 1-1 NEW · 57% VIL 1-1 REA · 57% RAY 1-1 ESP · 57% ALA 1-1 VAL · 56% ELC 0-2 REA · 68% ATL 1-0 OSA · 63% BAR 2-0 RAC · 70% REA 2-1 GET · 59% DEP 0-1 SEV · 58% LEV 1-2 ATH · 61% MAL 1-2 VIL · 57% COM 1-0 PAR · 57% TOR 0-1 ASR · 57% INT 2-1 UDI · 63% LEE 1-1 NEW · 57% VIL 1-1 REA · 57% RAY 1-1 ESP · 57% ALA 1-1 VAL · 56% ELC 0-2 REA · 68% ATL 1-0 OSA · 63% BAR 2-0 RAC · 70% REA 2-1 GET · 59% DEP 0-1 SEV · 58% LEV 1-2 ATH · 61% MAL 1-2 VIL · 57%
Top 14 · Week 2 Sep 12, 2026 · 14:35 Finished

USA Perpignan
vs
Castres Olympique.

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward USA Perpignan (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–20 at 57% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

10 AI models · council in session Live match data · Pro

Still not sure? Ask 10 AIs at once:
“Will USA Perpignan beat Castres Olympique in their upcoming match?”

Every model votes yes or no and defends it in a sentence or two. Attach this match's last-5 form, head-to-head and the picks above so they argue from real data — then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

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— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

USA Perpignan win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Castres Olympique win 0%

0 / 10 models

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— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
USA Perpignan win
24–20
55%
USA Perpignan’s home advantage is supported by their recent 29-27 victory over Castres at this venue, while the close head-to-head suggests a competitive, moderate-scoring match rather than a clear runaway.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
USA Perpignan win
26–21
56%
Perpignan have edged recent close meetings at home, and early-season Top 14 games at this venue tend to favor the hosts' attack.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
USA Perpignan win
24–19
58%
Perpignan typically rely on intense home form at Aimé Giral to secure tight Top 14 victories against tough, pragmatic opponents like Castres.
04
Grok 4.6
USA Perpignan win
23–20
54%
Perpignan hold recent home H2H (29-27 win, 20-20 draw). Week 2 Top 14 at Aimé Giral typically favors the Catalans in a tight, penalty-heavy contest.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
USA Perpignan win
28–21
58%
Perpignan's home edge at Stade Aimé Giral and recent narrow H2H victories point to a home win; Castres can score but defense leaks on the road.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
USA Perpignan win
24–20
58%
Perpignan won the most recent H2H at home 29-27; home advantage and that narrow margin pattern support a close home win.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
USA Perpignan win
29–27
65%
Recent 29-27 home win; close historical contests and home advantage favor narrow Perpignan victory.
08
Kimi K3
USA Perpignan win
24–20
52%
Perpignan won the last meeting 29-27 and are strong at Aimé Giral; Castres competitive but typically less effective away, so a narrow home win in a tight Top 14 contest.
09
GLM 5.3
USA Perpignan win
22–18
58%
USA Perpignan won the last home H2H and historically defend Aimé-Giral well; Castres travel poorly but keep games tight, suggesting a narrow home win with modest scoring.
10
MiMo V2.5 Pro
USA Perpignan win
27–24
58%
Perpignan won last home meeting 29-27; close H2H history and home venue support a narrow win in a competitive early-season game.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

3 of 8 models settled on 24–20. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 24–20
    3 models
  • 26–21
    1 model
  • 29–27
    1 model
  • 28–21
    1 model
  • 27–24
    1 model
  • 23–20
    1 model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on USA Perpignan vs Castres Olympique in Top 14? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 20; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is USA Perpignan win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win USA Perpignan vs Castres Olympique, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors USA Perpignan

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 57% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 25.10 vs 21.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

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Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

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Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.