MOL 1-0 KAZ · 47% SER 0-1 GER · 58% NET 2-1 GRE · 50% SLO 2-0 FAR · 60% BUL 0-1 ICE · 55% LIE 0-1 AZE · 52% LUX 0-1 EST · 47% AND 0-0 GIB · 39% SLO 0-1 SWI · 56% SCO 2-0 FYR · 64% SAL 0-3 CEL · 69% INT 1-2 SAN · 50% KOS 1-0 ISR · 50% NOR 2-1 WAL · 54% MOL 1-0 KAZ · 47% SER 0-1 GER · 58% NET 2-1 GRE · 50% SLO 2-0 FAR · 60% BUL 0-1 ICE · 55% LIE 0-1 AZE · 52% LUX 0-1 EST · 47% AND 0-0 GIB · 39% SLO 0-1 SWI · 56% SCO 2-0 FYR · 64% SAL 0-3 CEL · 69% INT 1-2 SAN · 50% KOS 1-0 ISR · 50% NOR 2-1 WAL · 54%
TuringStats
AI consensus
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 3 EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville Finished

Jacksonville Jaguars
vs
New England Patriots.

Quick answer

Who will win Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?

Final score: Jacksonville Jaguars 35–6 New England Patriots. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Jacksonville Jaguars to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 24–17.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 64% of the time (86 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Jacksonville Jaguars (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–17 at 61% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Jacksonville Jaguars and New England Patriots stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Jacksonville Jaguars win 100%

10 / 10 models

New England Patriots win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6.1 Sol
Jacksonville Jaguars win
26–20
58%
Jacksonville’s home-field advantage and recent 2024 win over New England support the Jaguars, while the Patriots remain capable of keeping the game competitive. A moderate-scoring home victory fits the limited current-form information.
02
Claude Opus 5.5
Jacksonville Jaguars win
26–20
56%
Jaguars favored at home early season with Lawrence and improved offense; Patriots still developing under newer regime, moderate confidence given early-season uncertainty.
03
Gemini 4 Argon
Jacksonville Jaguars win
24–17
61%
Jacksonville holds home-field advantage in warm conditions at EverBank Stadium, possessing the offensive stability to edge out a competitive New England squad.
04
Grok 4.7
Jacksonville Jaguars win
24–17
58%
Week 3 at EverBank; Jags won the last home H2H 32-16. Little 2026 form, so a modest home edge and a typical one-possession score.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Jacksonville Jaguars win
24–20
58%
Jacksonville's 2024 head-to-head win and home venue edge support a narrow result, but New England's 2022 blowout shows roster volatility; expect a tight, moderate-scoring contest.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Jacksonville Jaguars win
24–17
58%
Jaguars won the most recent H2H convincingly at home; Patriots remain in rebuild mode. Home field and modest talent edge favor Jacksonville in a moderate-margin contest.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Jacksonville Jaguars win
24–17
62%
Jaguars home form and recent H2H edge outweigh Patriots' inconsistency; moderate scoring expected.
08
Kimi K3
Jacksonville Jaguars win
27–20
58%
Jaguars at home in Jacksonville; they beat New England 32-16 in the most recent 2024 meeting. Moderate confidence given thin 2026 form data.
09
GLM 5.3
Jacksonville Jaguars win
27–20
55%
Jaguars host a rebuilding Patriots side at EverBank Stadium and won the last 2024 meeting 32-16; home field and recent H2H edge a modest one-score game.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Jacksonville Jaguars win
24–17
62%
Jaguars have recent H2H success and home-field advantage in Week 3; Patriots' offensive struggles likely continue against a solid Jacksonville defense.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 24–17. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 24–17
    5 models
  • 26–20
    2 models
  • 27–20
    2 models
  • 24–20
    1 model

NFL · Week 3

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Jaguars −7 41 Jaguars 100%

Jacksonville Jaguars

6-2 · #1 AFC South
Home 4-1 · Road 2-1 · Division 1-1 · Streak W2 · Points 229–121
7 days of rest

New England Patriots

5-4 · #2 AFC East
Home 3-1 · Road 2-3 · Division 3-0 · Streak L1 · Points 211–207
7 days of rest

Injury report

Jacksonville Jaguars 10 on injured reserve

No one listed out, doubtful or questionable.

New England Patriots 12 on injured reserve
  • Rhamondre Stevenson
    Rhamondre StevensonRB
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Ben Brown
    Ben Brown
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Carlton Davis III
    Carlton Davis IIICB
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Will Campbell
    Will Campbell
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Brenden Schooler
    Brenden SchoolerS
    Hamstring
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Jacksonville Jaguars New England Patriots
23.5 Points scored 15
15 Points allowed 8
314 Total yards 302
203.5 Passing yards 179.5
110.5 Rushing yards 122.5
0.5 Turnovers 2.5
45 Third-down % 32
75 Red-zone TD % 33
2.5 Sacks 3
31:18Time of possession30:48

Skill players · Jacksonville Jaguars

Skill players · New England Patriots

  • Rhamondre Stevenson
    Rhamondre StevensonRB
    399 rushing yards (44.3 a game, 3.9 a carry), 2 TD
  • DD
    Demario DouglasWR
    31 catches, 434 receiving yards (48.2 a game), 4 TD
  • Hunter Henry
    Hunter HenryTE
    32 catches, 361 receiving yards (40.1 a game), 2 TD

Last ten games

Jacksonville Jaguars LW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
23.5 / 15
Total over 41.5
1/2
Total over 44.5
0/2
Total over 47.5
0/2
Won by 7+
1/2
New England Patriots WL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
15 / 8
Total over 41.5
0/2
Total over 44.5
0/2
Total over 47.5
0/2
Won by 7+
1/2

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Drake Maye by Tennessee Titans (CC BY 3.0), Will Campbell by Yunner (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Drake Maye

Drake Maye

New England Patriots · QB · last 2 games
Passing yards o193.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
178
208
Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson

New England Patriots · RB · last 2 games
Rushing yards o47.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
51
43
DD

Demario Douglas

New England Patriots · WR · last 2 games
Receiving yards o14.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
20
9
Receptions o3.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
5
1
Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry

New England Patriots · TE · last 2 games
Receiving yards o33.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
26
40
Receptions o3.5 0/2 · 0% Ask AI
3
3

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Jacksonville Jaguars 24, New England Patriots 17: a projected total of 41 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?
The AI consensus has Jacksonville Jaguars winning by 7 points (24–17).
Who is injured for Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots?
Jacksonville Jaguars have no one listed out or doubtful. New England Patriots have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Jacksonville Jaguars

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 61% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 25.00 vs 18.50

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 17; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Jacksonville Jaguars win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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