MOL 1-0 KAZ · 47% SER 0-1 GER · 58% NET 2-1 GRE · 50% SLO 2-0 FAR · 60% BUL 0-1 ICE · 55% LIE 0-1 AZE · 52% LUX 0-1 EST · 47% AND 0-0 GIB · 39% SLO 0-1 SWI · 56% SCO 2-0 FYR · 64% SAL 0-3 CEL · 69% INT 1-2 SAN · 50% KOS 1-0 ISR · 50% NOR 2-1 WAL · 54% MOL 1-0 KAZ · 47% SER 0-1 GER · 58% NET 2-1 GRE · 50% SLO 2-0 FAR · 60% BUL 0-1 ICE · 55% LIE 0-1 AZE · 52% LUX 0-1 EST · 47% AND 0-0 GIB · 39% SLO 0-1 SWI · 56% SCO 2-0 FYR · 64% SAL 0-3 CEL · 69% INT 1-2 SAN · 50% KOS 1-0 ISR · 50% NOR 2-1 WAL · 54%
TuringStats
AI consensus
Get the app
Ask multiple AI Forecasts League tables AI board AI poll AI vs Polymarket Check my picks Journal Sign in with Google Get the free app
← NBA games NBA hub →
NBA · Regular Season Toyota Center (Houston), Houston Finished

Houston Rockets
vs
Golden State Warriors.

Quick answer

Who will win Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors?

Final score: Houston Rockets 115–108 Golden State Warriors. Before kickoff, 8 of 10 AI models pick Houston Rockets to win (80%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 118–111.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Houston Rockets (8 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–111 at 64% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Houston Rockets win 80%

8 / 10 models

Golden State Warriors win 20%

2 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6.1 Sol
Houston Rockets win
119–112
68%
Houston's 4-0 start, top-tier 118.1 offensive rating and strong 106 defense support the home edge. Golden State's Curry-led offense can keep pace, but the Rockets' recent scoring and rebounding profile favors them.
02
Claude Opus 5.5
Houston Rockets win
119–109
68%
Rockets are 4-0 with elite net rating and home court, while Warriors struggle at 1-3 with a weak defense allowing 114+ recently.
03
Gemini 4 Argon
Houston Rockets win
118–111
64%
Houston enters on a 4-0 run with an elite 106.0 defensive rating. Despite Curry's strong scoring form, Golden State's high turnover rate should give the rested Rockets the edge at home.
04
Grok 4.7
Houston Rockets win
119–111
62%
Rockets 4-0 with 106 DRtg and home court; Warriors 1-3. Sengun missed last game so the margin stays moderate, not a blowout.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Houston Rockets win
116–109
67%
Houston is 4-0 with a top-three offense and strong net rating, while Golden State is 1-3 and turnover-prone. Rockets also have home court and two days' rest.
06
Tencent Hy4
Golden State Warriors win
114–118
58%
Both teams have 2 days rest, so no back-to-back penalty; Golden State's W8 streak, 121.9 recent points, and Curry's 32.3 ppg form edge Houston at Toyota Center. Close H2H and near-equal efficiency keep confidence modest.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Houston Rockets win
122–112
64%
Rockets 5-0 at Toyota Center with 119.5 offense vs Warriors 2-3; Curry hot but Houston pace and defense edge.
08
NVIDIA Nemotron 3 Ultra
Golden State Warriors win
116–117
58%
Warriors on 8-game win streak with elite Curry form; Rockets solid at home but Warriors' offensive pace and recent H2H edge tip it.
09
GLM 5.3
Houston Rockets win
118–110
66%
Houston is 4-0 with an elite 118.1 offense per 100 and strong home form; Sengun's status bears checking pre-tip, but Durant and Amen Thompson support a solid home win over turnover-prone 1-3 Golden State.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Houston Rockets win
118–111
62%
Houston's 4-0 form and 123 points over five games outweigh Golden State's 1-3 start; Sengun's possible absence lowers the margin, but Toyota Center and Houston's defense still favor the Rockets.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 7 models settled on 118–111. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 118–111
    2 models
  • 114–118
    1 model
  • 116–117
    1 model
  • 122–112
    1 model
  • 119–112
    1 model
  • 119–109
    1 model

Live game centre

Final
Houston Rockets
115–108
Golden State Warriors
Q1Q2Q3Q4 T
Houston Rockets 35212930 115
Golden State Warriors 20283129 108
35
20
Q1
21
28
Q2
29
31
Q3
30
29
Q4
Pro

Live team stats, the box score and every lead change, minute by minute.

Unlock with Pro in the app

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Rockets −7
AI total
229
Models picking
80%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 4 games
AS
Alperen Sengun
Houston Rockets · C
18.8 PTS 32.3
9.2 REB 4.5
8.4 AST 4.8
35 MIN 30
Stephen Curry
Stephen Curry
Golden State Warriors · G

Houston Rockets

9-3 · #3 Western
Home 6-1 · Away 3-2 · Last ten 7-3 · Streak W2
2 days of rest · 2 games in 7 days

Golden State Warriors

8-4 · #6 Western
Home 6-1 · Away 2-3 · Last ten 8-2 · Streak L1
2 days of rest · 3 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Did not play last game

Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.

  • WR
    W. Richard Warriors · G
    25 min · 4.5 pts a game before

Season averages per game

Houston Rockets Golden State Warriors
116.7 Points 117.5
47.6% Field goal % 46.6%
37% 3-point % 38.6%
78.9% Free throw % 78.9%
44.8 Rebounds 44.2
27.5 Assists 27.8
15.4 Turnovers 17.3
9 Steals 9.9
5.8 Blocks 5.3

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

RocketsWarriors
Offensive rating 116.1 114.1
Defensive rating 105.4 106.4
Net rating +10.7 +7.7
Pace 100.6 103
Effective FG % 55.3 55.7
Turnover % 15.3 16.8
Free throw rate 28.1 31.8
3-point attempt rate 41.6 47.2

Key players · Houston Rockets

  • AS
    Alperen SengunC 18.8 pts · 9.2 reb · 8.4 ast
  • Kevin Durant
    Kevin DurantF 18.2 pts · 6.6 reb · 4 ast
  • Jabari Smith Jr.
    Jabari Smith Jr.F 16.8 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.4 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Key players · Golden State Warriors

  • Stephen Curry
    Stephen CurryG 32.3 pts · 4.5 reb · 4.8 ast
  • YL
    Y. LendeborgF 21 pts · 7.7 reb · 4.3 ast
  • BP
    Brandin PodziemskiG 17.2 pts · 5.2 reb · 3.6 ast

Averages over the last 4 games.

Last ten games

Houston Rockets WLLWWLWWWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
114.2 / 106
Total over 220.5
6/10
Total over 230.5
2/10
Scored 110+
7/10
Won by 6+
6/10
Golden State Warriors WWWWWWWWLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
121.9 / 109.6
Total over 220.5
7/10
Total over 230.5
5/10
Scored 110+
9/10
Won by 6+
6/10

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Kevin Durant by Clément Bardot (CC BY-SA 4.0), Jabari Smith Jr. by Chensiyuan (CC BY-SA 4.0), Stephen Curry by El Viejas God (CC0), De'Anthony Melton by Frenchieinportland (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

AS

Alperen Sengun

Houston Rockets · C · last 8 games
Points o21.5 3/8 · 38% Ask AI
29
17
29
16
26
17
15
20
Rebounds o9.5 3/8 · 38% Ask AI
7
10
9
9
7
12
6
12
Assists o8.5 4/8 · 50% Ask AI
7
7
9
9
10
10
5
8
Pts + Reb + Ast o38.5 5/8 · 63% Ask AI
43
34
47
34
43
39
26
40
Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant

Houston Rockets · F · last 10 games
Points o20.5 6/10 · 60% Ask AI
20
22
22
18
28
14
12
21
21
23
Rebounds o6.5 4/10 · 40% Ask AI
7
4
9
5
5
3
3
5
10
12
Assists o3.5 4/10 · 40% Ask AI
6
2
3
4
1
4
3
2
3
8
Pts + Reb + Ast o30.5 5/10 · 50% Ask AI
33
28
34
27
34
21
18
28
34
43
Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Houston Rockets · F · last 10 games
Points o15.5 3/10 · 30% Ask AI
7
14
16
14
22
30
14
11
15
14
Rebounds o6.5 5/10 · 50% Ask AI
5
5
12
2
3
9
10
4
9
7
Pts + Reb + Ast o24.5 4/10 · 40% Ask AI
13
22
33
18
27
44
24
17
26
24
3-pointers made o2.5 4/10 · 40% Ask AI
1
2
2
3
3
6
4
2
1
2
Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry

Golden State Warriors · G · last 8 games
Points o31.5 3/8 · 38% Ask AI
24
24
44
31
34
29
41
25
Rebounds o4.5 4/8 · 50% Ask AI
2
3
8
4
6
1
6
5
Assists o4.5 4/8 · 50% Ask AI
4
3
6
6
7
4
6
2
Pts + Reb + Ast o40.5 4/8 · 50% Ask AI
30
30
58
41
47
34
53
32
3-pointers made o5.5 3/8 · 38% Ask AI
3
3
6
8
5
6
5
4
BP

Brandin Podziemski

Golden State Warriors · G · last 9 games
Points o16.5 6/9 · 67% Ask AI
18
18
8
21
17
20
9
15
25
Rebounds o5.5 4/9 · 44% Ask AI
2
7
5
5
8
3
6
7
2
Assists o4.5 4/9 · 44% Ask AI
3
5
6
6
8
2
3
1
4
Pts + Reb + Ast o26.5 4/9 · 44% Ask AI
23
30
19
32
33
25
18
23
31
3-pointers made o2.5 5/9 · 56% Ask AI
2
3
0
4
2
3
2
4
5
De'Anthony Melton

De'Anthony Melton

Golden State Warriors · G · last 10 games
Points o11.5 4/10 · 40% Ask AI
10
25
3
8
16
21
2
5
4
16
Rebounds o4.5 6/10 · 60% Ask AI
1
5
4
6
5
6
7
6
1
4
Pts + Reb + Ast o17.5 4/10 · 40% Ask AI
11
35
10
14
24
30
11
13
6
23
3-pointers made o2.5 4/10 · 40% Ask AI
2
4
1
2
4
6
0
0
1
4

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Houston Rockets 118, Golden State Warriors 111: a projected total of 229 points. Houston Rockets games went over 230.5 in 2 of the last 10; Golden State Warriors games went over 230.5 in 5 of the last 10.
What is the AI spread pick for Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors?
The consensus has Houston Rockets winning by 7 points (118–111), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors?
Leading scorers over the last 4 games. Houston Rockets: Alperen Sengun (18.8 pts, 9.2 reb, 8.4 ast), Kevin Durant (18.2 pts, 6.6 reb, 4 ast). Golden State Warriors: Stephen Curry (32.3 pts, 4.5 reb, 4.8 ast), Y. Lendeborg (21 pts, 7.7 reb, 4.3 ast).
Is Houston Rockets or Golden State Warriors on a back-to-back?
Houston Rockets have had 2 days of rest; Golden State Warriors have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Houston Rockets

80% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 64% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 117.90 vs 112.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 111; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Houston Rockets win, with vote shares roughly 80% / 20% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

From the blog

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction: AI Panel Backs Warriors
NBA
Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction: AI Panel Backs Warriors

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction: the AI panel backs Golden State in this NBA regular-season clash at Chase Center.

 Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction: AI Panel Backs Rockets
NBA
Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction: AI Panel Backs Rockets

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets prediction for their NBA clash: AI models unanimously favor Houston, with an average confidence of 62% and a predicted…

 Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction: AI Panel Unanimous
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction: AI Panel Unanimous

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors prediction: the AI panel unanimously backs Golden State in this NBA regular-season clash at crypto.com Arena.

 Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction: AI Panel Backs Lakers
NBA
Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction: AI Panel Backs Lakers

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers prediction: our 10-model AI panel favors the Lakers in this NBA preseason game at Chase Center.

 Hockey results Thursday 12 November 2026: AI predictions review
Results
Hockey results Thursday 12 November 2026: AI predictions review

Hockey results Thursday 12 November 2026: the AI consensus went 4 of 7 across seven NHL games, with Tampa Bay's rout of Buffalo the day's biggest miss.

 NBA results Thursday 12 November 2026: AI predictions review
Results
NBA results Thursday 12 November 2026: AI predictions review

NBA results Thursday 12 November 2026: the 10-model AI consensus went 7 of 10, with a perfect Cleveland call and a Nets rout that fooled eight models.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.

Ask with match data App Store Google Play