Alperen Sengun
Houston Rockets · C · last 2 games
NBA · Regular Season
Oct 22, 2026 · 00:30
Toyota Center (Houston), Houston
Finished
Houston Rockets
vs
Dallas Mavericks.
Quick answer
Who will win Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks?
Final score: Houston Rockets 128–110 Dallas Mavericks. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Houston Rockets to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 118–110.
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Houston Rockets (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–110 at 65% mean confidence (High band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
Houston Rockets win
100%
10 / 10 models
Dallas Mavericks win
0%
0 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: Houston Rockets win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Houston Rockets win
119–111
68%
Houston combines a stronger 116.3 offensive rating with a 107.4 defense, six days’ rest, and two recent wins. Dallas has allowed 121.5 per game lately, while Houston’s pace and home setting support a high-scoring victory.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Houston Rockets win
118–109
68%
Rockets have won recent meetings and overall form, better efficiency differential, and extra rest; Mavericks defense has struggled lately allowing 121.5 ppg.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Houston Rockets win
121–113
64%
Houston holds a superior net rating (116.3 ORtg vs. 107.4 DRtg) and home advantage, facing a Dallas squad struggling defensively and allowing 121.5 points per game recently.
04
Grok 4.6
Houston Rockets win
121–112
64%
Rockets own a large efficiency gap (116/107 vs 108/115), home Toyota Center, and a recent 135-117 win; Mavs shooting and last-four defense lag despite Irving and Flagg.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Houston Rockets win
118–110
68%
Houston's better recent form, superior per-100 offense/defense, and home venue outweigh Dallas's rest edge; Rockets won last meeting 135-117 and hold a 2-1 edge in the last three H2H.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Houston Rockets win
121–110
73%
Houston's superior efficiency (net +8.9 vs -6.9), better shooting, rebounding edge, and stronger recent form make them clear favorites at home against a struggling Dallas defense.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Houston Rockets win
120–112
62%
Houston's offense (116.3 ORtg) and recent form (2-1, 122 PPG) outpace Dallas' defense (114.9 DRtg) and scoring struggles (114.3 PPG).
08
Kimi K3
Houston Rockets win
118–110
63%
Houston's superior offensive efficiency (116.3 vs 108.0 per 100) and defensive rating (107.4 vs 114.9) align with home court at Toyota Center; both teams well-rested but Rockets' recent H2H form and Dallas's turnover issues (19.3 per game) suggest a decisive home victory.
09
GLM 5.3
Houston Rockets win
118–109
62%
Houston's superior net rating (116.3 vs 108 offense), better form, home venue, and a recent 18-point H2H road win support the Rockets; Dallas's weak defense (114.9 per 100) and 1-3 slump point to a moderate home margin.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Houston Rockets win
118–110
62%
Houston's 116.3 offense and 107.4 defense at Toyota Center outweigh Dallas's 114.9 defensive rating; both rested, and the Rockets won the October meeting 135-117.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
3 of 9 models settled on 118–110. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
118–110
3 models
-
118–109
2 models
-
119–111
1 model
-
120–112
1 model
-
121–110
1 model
-
121–112
1 model
Live game centre
FinalHouston Rockets
128–110
Dallas Mavericks| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Rockets | 32 | 38 | 30 | 28 | 128 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 26 | 12 | 38 | 34 | 110 |
32
26
38
12
30
38
28
34
Pro
Live team stats, the box score and every lead change, minute by minute.
Unlock with Pro in the appStandings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Rockets −8
AI total
228
Models picking
100%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 2 games
AS
Houston Rockets · C
Alperen Sengun
Houston Rockets · C
15
PTS
19.7
8.5
REB
7.3
7.5
AST
4.7
23
MIN
25
CF
Dallas Mavericks · F
C. Flagg
Dallas Mavericks · F
Houston Rockets
6 days of rest
· 1 games in 7 days
Dallas Mavericks
5 days of rest
· 1 games in 7 days
Season averages per game
Houston Rockets
Dallas Mavericks
123.5
Points
114.3
48.4%
Field goal %
43.5%
37.8%
3-point %
32.4%
70.2%
Free throw %
79.8%
46
Rebounds
43.3
30.3
Assists
28.3
16.8
Turnovers
19.3
11.3
Steals
9.8
4.5
Blocks
6.8
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Rockets | Mavericks | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 119.7 | 108 |
| Defensive rating | 109.2 | 114.9 |
| Net rating | +10.5 | -6.9 |
| Pace | 103.2 | 105.8 |
| Effective FG % | 57.2 | 51.4 |
| Turnover % | 16.2 | 18.2 |
| Free throw rate | 28.3 | 32 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 46.7 | 48.6 |
Key players · Houston Rockets
-
AS
Alperen SengunC 15 pts · 8.5 reb · 7.5 ast
-
Reed SheppardG 14.7 pts · 2.3 reb · 1.7 ast -
Tari EasonF 13.7 pts · 6 reb · 1 ast
Averages over the last 2 games.
Key players · Dallas Mavericks
-
CF
C. FlaggF 19.7 pts · 7.3 reb · 4.7 ast
-
Kyrie IrvingG 17.5 pts · 2 reb · 4 ast -
Zaccharie RisacherF 12.3 pts · 5 reb · 2 ast
Averages over the last 3 games.
Last ten games
Houston Rockets
WLW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 122 / 112.7
- Total over 220.5
- 2/3
- Total over 230.5
- 2/3
- Scored 110+
- 3/3
- Won by 6+
- 2/3
Dallas Mavericks
LLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 114.3 / 121.5
- Total over 220.5
- 3/4
- Total over 230.5
- 3/4
- Scored 110+
- 3/4
- Won by 6+
- 1/4
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Reed Sheppard by Brady Saylor (CC BY-SA 4.0), Tari Eason by Chensiyuan (CC BY-SA 4.0), Kyrie Irving by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Zaccharie Risacher by Yoann210 (CC BY 4.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Reed Sheppard
Houston Rockets · G · last 3 games
Tari Eason
Houston Rockets · F · last 3 games
C. Flagg
Dallas Mavericks · F · last 3 games
Kyrie Irving
Dallas Mavericks · G · last 2 games
Zaccharie Risacher
Dallas Mavericks · F · last 4 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is Houston Rockets 118, Dallas Mavericks 110: a projected total of 228 points. Houston Rockets games went over 230.5 in 2 of the last 3; Dallas Mavericks games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 4.
- What is the AI spread pick for Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks?
- The consensus has Houston Rockets winning by 8 points (118–110), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks?
- Leading scorers over the last 2 games. Houston Rockets: Alperen Sengun (15 pts, 8.5 reb, 7.5 ast), Reed Sheppard (14.7 pts, 2.3 reb, 1.7 ast). Dallas Mavericks: C. Flagg (19.7 pts, 7.3 reb, 4.7 ast), Kyrie Irving (17.5 pts, 2 reb, 4 ast).
- Is Houston Rockets or Dallas Mavericks on a back-to-back?
- Houston Rockets have had 6 days of rest; Dallas Mavericks have had 5 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors Houston Rockets
100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
High confidence
Mean 65% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 119.20 vs 110.60
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 110; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Houston Rockets win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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Ask multiple AIs about this match.
10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.