EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 8 Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens Not Started

Miami Dolphins
vs
New England Patriots.

Quick answer

Who will win Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots?

10 of 10 AI models pick New England Patriots to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 24–25 at 63% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 58% of the time (67 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward New England Patriots (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–25 at 63% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Miami Dolphins win 0%

0 / 10 models

New England Patriots win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
New England Patriots win
27–28
68%
New England brings the stronger 4-3 profile, far more productive recent offense, and 10 days’ rest. Miami’s 1-5 record, 0-2 home mark, modest passing output, and recent defensive struggles outweigh Hard Rock Stadium’s advantage.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
New England Patriots win
17–27
68%
Patriots are better overall (4-3 vs 1-5), extra rest, stronger offense and recent dominance in this series; Miami's defense allows 26 ppg.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
New England Patriots win
20–27
63%
New England brings a much more productive passing attack and extra rest into Miami. The Dolphins' limited offense under Willis will struggle to keep pace with the Patriots.
04
Grok 4.7
New England Patriots win
17–27
58%
Patriots are 4-3 with stronger scoring (26 ppg last five) versus Miami’s 1-5, 0-2 home, Willis-led 17-ppg offense. Extra rest and recent H2H blowouts favor New England despite a 1-3 road mark.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
New England Patriots win
24–25
62%
New England's 4-3 record, 10-day rest, and stronger passing attack outweigh Miami's 1-5 start and home struggles; Patriots also won the most recent meeting 38-10.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
New England Patriots win
24–25
62%
Patriots' superior offense (404 vs 300 ypg), bye-week rest edge, and Miami's 0-2 home record outweigh New England's poor road mark.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
New England Patriots win
17–24
62%
Patriots average 26 points and 404 yards vs Dolphins allowing 26; Willis 77.1 rating limits Miami despite home field and extra rest favors New England.
08
Kimi K3
New England Patriots win
17–27
66%
Patriots' superior record, extra rest, and recent H2H dominance outweigh Miami's home field; Dolphins' struggling offense faces a Patriots team that has won the last two meetings convincingly.
09
GLM 5.3
New England Patriots win
24–25
58%
Patriots' superior form (4-3, 282 passing yards per game) and 10 days' rest outweigh Miami's home venue; Dolphins are 1-5, 0-2 at home, and lost the last two H2H meetings.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
New England Patriots win
24–25
64%
Patriots average 404 yards and 26 points with 10 days rest, while Miami allows 26 per game and starts Malik Willis (77.1 rating). Miami's 0-2 home mark and NE's 2-0 division record favor New England despite Miami's Week 8 win.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 24–25. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 24–25
    4 models
  • 17–27
    3 models
  • 17–24
    1 model
  • 27–28
    1 model
  • 20–27
    1 model

NFL · Week 8

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Patriots −1 49 Patriots 100%
Market Patriots −7 43.5 Patriots 73%

The AI total is 5.5 points above the market total (Bet365).

Quarterback matchup · season
Malik Willis
Malik Willis
Miami Dolphins · QB
176.2 YDS/G 254.9
4 TD 13
4 INT 8
77.1 RATING 96.4
Drake Maye
Drake Maye
New England Patriots · QB

Miami Dolphins

1-5 · #4 AFC East
Home 0-2 · Road 1-3 · Division 1-0 · Streak W1 · Points 98–157
7 days of rest

New England Patriots

4-3 · #2 AFC East
Home 3-0 · Road 1-3 · Division 2-0 · Streak L1 · Points 160–143
10 days of rest

Injury report

Miami Dolphins 5 on injured reserve
  • Jaylen Wright
    Jaylen WrightRB
    Quadriceps
    Questionable
  • RJ
    Robert Beal Jr.DE
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Willie Gay
    Willie GayLB
    Illness
    Questionable
  • RT
    Reese TaylorCB
    Quadriceps
    Questionable
New England Patriots 13 on injured reserve
  • KP
    Karon PruntyCB
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Ben Brown
    Ben Brown
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Carlton Davis III
    Carlton Davis IIICB
    Neck
    Questionable
  • CC
    Channing CanadaCB
    Hamstring
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Miami Dolphins New England Patriots
17 Points scored 26
26 Points allowed 25.4
300.4 Total yards 404.2
157.4 Passing yards 282.4
143 Rushing yards 121.8
1.2 Turnovers 1.8
45 Third-down % 43
62 Red-zone TD % 59
1.2 Sacks 2.2
29:42Time of possession30:48

Skill players · Miami Dolphins

  • OG
    Ollie GordonRB
    339 rushing yards (56.5 a game, 4.7 a carry), 4 TD
  • MW
    Malik WashingtonWR
    26 catches, 289 receiving yards (48.2 a game), 0 TD
  • Greg Dulcich
    Greg DulcichTE
    18 catches, 213 receiving yards (35.5 a game), 0 TD

Skill players · New England Patriots

  • Rhamondre Stevenson
    Rhamondre StevensonRB
    285 rushing yards (40.7 a game, 3.7 a carry), 2 TD
  • Hunter Henry
    Hunter HenryTE
    26 catches, 296 receiving yards (42.3 a game), 2 TD
  • Romeo Doubs
    Romeo DoubsWR
    14 catches, 261 receiving yards (43.5 a game), 3 TD

Last ten games

Miami Dolphins WLLLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
16.3 / 26.2
Total over 41.5
3/6
Total over 44.5
3/6
Total over 47.5
3/6
Won by 7+
0/6
New England Patriots LWWWLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
22.9 / 20.4
Total over 41.5
4/7
Total over 44.5
4/7
Total over 47.5
3/7
Won by 7+
3/7

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: Bet365, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Drake Maye by Tennessee Titans (CC BY 3.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Malik Willis

Malik Willis

Miami Dolphins · QB · last 6 games
Passing yards o176.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
220
197
210
85
137
208
OG

Ollie Gordon

Miami Dolphins · RB · last 5 games
Rushing yards o67.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
7
41
100
88
103
MW

Malik Washington

Miami Dolphins · WR · last 6 games
Receiving yards o48.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
53
43
56
67
43
27
Receptions o4.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
3
4
5
5
6
3
Greg Dulcich

Greg Dulcich

Miami Dolphins · TE · last 5 games
Receiving yards o42.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
18
17
55
37
86
Receptions o3.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
2
2
5
4
5
Drake Maye

Drake Maye

New England Patriots · QB · last 6 games
Passing yards o267.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
208
199
269
374
235
321
Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson

New England Patriots · RB · last 6 games
Rushing yards o39.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
43
22
47
64
36
22
Hunter Henry

Hunter Henry

New England Patriots · TE · last 6 games
Receiving yards o45.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
40
5
62
44
48
71
Receptions o3.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
3
1
5
3
4
7
Romeo Doubs

Romeo Doubs

New England Patriots · WR · last 5 games
Receiving yards o52.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
96
49
58
16
42
Receptions o2.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
3
3
6
1
1

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Miami Dolphins 24, New England Patriots 25: a projected total of 49 points. The market total is 43.5.
What is the AI spread pick for Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots?
The AI consensus has New England Patriots winning by 1 points (25–24). The market spread has New England Patriots favoured by 7.
Who are the quarterbacks in Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots?
Malik Willis (Miami Dolphins): 1,057 passing yards (176.2 a game), 4 TD, 4 INT, rating 77.1. Drake Maye (New England Patriots): 1,784 passing yards (254.9 a game), 13 TD, 8 INT, rating 96.4.
Who is injured for Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots?
Miami Dolphins have no one listed out or doubtful. New England Patriots have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors New England Patriots

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 63% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 21.10 vs 26.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 25; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is New England Patriots win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 100% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

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Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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