FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 8 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford Not Started

New York Jets
vs
Las Vegas Raiders.

Quick answer

Who will win New York Jets vs Las Vegas Raiders?

7 of 10 AI models pick New York Jets to win (70%). The mean predicted score is 24–20 at 54% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward New York Jets (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–20 at 54% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where New York Jets and Las Vegas Raiders stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

New York Jets win 70%

7 / 10 models

Las Vegas Raiders win 30%

3 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
New York Jets win
27–24
53%
The Jets have the stronger recent defensive profile and a productive, efficient Geno Smith-led offense. Las Vegas gains yards and scores more recently but allows 34 points per game and enters on a four-game skid, while New York gets the home edge.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
New York Jets win
23–20
52%
Both teams are struggling (L2 vs L4) and allow 24+ points per game, but Jets get a home edge and Geno Smith's efficiency edges a weak Raiders defense.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
New York Jets win
24–20
56%
The Raiders' leaky defense has allowed 34 points per game across their four-game skid. Geno Smith's efficient passing and home-field advantage give the Jets a slight edge.
04
Grok 4.7
New York Jets win
24–21
56%
Geno is efficient for a 2-5 Jets side at MetLife; Raiders on L4 allow 34 PPG lately. Modest home edge in a one-possession game.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Las Vegas Raiders win
24–25
52%
Raiders' road form (2-1) and stronger passing attack edge a Jets team on a two-game slide, though MetLife keeps it close.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Las Vegas Raiders win
24–25
53%
Raiders' superior offense (26 ppg) and solid road record (2-1) edge out Jets' better defense; both teams struggling, but Vegas has more scoring firepower in a close contest.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Las Vegas Raiders win
20–24
53%
Raiders average 26 points with strong road 2-1 form; Jets score only 19.4 and Hall questionable at MetLife.
08
Kimi K3
New York Jets win
24–20
58%
Raiders allow 34 points per game over their last five and have lost four straight; Jets' defense (24 allowed) and home field edge out Las Vegas despite both teams struggling.
09
GLM 5.3
New York Jets win
24–20
55%
Raiders have lost four straight and allow 34 per game; Geno Smith's efficient passing (105.2 rating) at home should edge a modest-scoring matchup.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
New York Jets win
24–20
52%
Jets' Geno Smith (105.2 rating, 10-2 TD-INT) faces a Raiders defense allowing 34 PPG over L5; Vegas' L4 streak and 67 rush YPG limit comeback margin at MetLife.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 24–20. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 24–20
    4 models
  • 24–25
    2 models
  • 20–24
    1 model
  • 27–24
    1 model
  • 23–20
    1 model
  • 24–21
    1 model

NFL · Week 8

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Jets −4 44 Jets 70%
Market Jets −1.5 45.5 Jets 53%

The AI total is 1.5 points below the market total (Bet365).

New York Jets

2-5 · #3 AFC East
Home 1-2 · Road 1-3 · Division 0-2 · Streak L2 · Points 137–150
7 days of rest

Las Vegas Raiders

3-4 · #3 AFC West
Home 1-3 · Road 2-1 · Division 1-1 · Streak L4 · Points 183–197
7 days of rest

Injury report

New York Jets 10 on injured reserve
  • Kene Nwangwu
    Kene NwangwuRB
    Knee
    Questionable
  • Breece Hall
    Breece HallRB
    Quadriceps
    Questionable
  • Joseph Ossai
    Joseph OssaiDE
    Ankle
    Questionable
  • Max Mitchell
    Max Mitchell
    Concussion
    Questionable
  • Dylan Parham
    Dylan ParhamG
    Knee
    Questionable
Las Vegas Raiders

No one listed out, doubtful or questionable.

Last five games, per game

New York Jets Las Vegas Raiders
19.4 Points scored 26
24 Points allowed 34
293.8 Total yards 362.2
202.6 Passing yards 295
91.2 Rushing yards 67.2
1 Turnovers 1
41 Third-down % 42
36 Red-zone TD % 38
2.6 Sacks 1.6
26:30Time of possession28:36

Skill players · New York Jets

  • Braelon Allen
    Braelon AllenRB
    418 rushing yards (59.7 a game, 4.6 a carry), 2 TD
  • Garrett Wilson
    Garrett WilsonWR
    37 catches, 444 receiving yards (63.4 a game), 3 TD
  • OJ
    Omar Cooper Jr.WR
    12 catches, 248 receiving yards (82.7 a game), 2 TD

Skill players · Las Vegas Raiders

Last ten games

New York Jets LLWLLLW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
19.6 / 21.4
Total over 41.5
3/7
Total over 44.5
3/7
Total over 47.5
2/7
Won by 7+
1/7
Las Vegas Raiders LLLLWWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
26.1 / 28.1
Total over 41.5
5/7
Total over 44.5
5/7
Total over 47.5
5/7
Won by 7+
3/7

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: Bet365, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Max Mitchell by New York Jets (CC BY 3.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: New York Jets vs Las Vegas Raiders

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Geno Smith

Geno Smith

New York Jets · QB · last 6 games
Passing yards o234.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
247
321
119
182
252
287
Braelon Allen

Braelon Allen

New York Jets · RB · last 6 games
Rushing yards o63.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
7
14
59
116
78
104
Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson

New York Jets · WR · last 6 games
Receiving yards o60.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
57
107
27
104
44
26
Receptions o5.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
5
10
3
7
4
2
OJ

Omar Cooper Jr.

New York Jets · WR · last 2 games
Receiving yards o109.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
103
115
Receptions o5.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
6
5

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

New York Jets vs Las Vegas Raiders: quick answers

What is the predicted total for New York Jets vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The AI models' mean predicted score is New York Jets 24, Las Vegas Raiders 20: a projected total of 44 points. The market total is 45.5.
What is the AI spread pick for New York Jets vs Las Vegas Raiders?
The AI consensus has New York Jets winning by 4 points (24–20). The market spread has New York Jets favoured by 1.5.
Who is injured for New York Jets vs Las Vegas Raiders?
New York Jets have no one listed out or doubtful. Las Vegas Raiders have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors New York Jets

70% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 54% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 23.80 vs 21.90

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on New York Jets vs Las Vegas Raiders in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 20; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is New York Jets win, with vote shares roughly 70% / 30% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win New York Jets vs Las Vegas Raiders, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

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Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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