EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 6 Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City Finished

Kansas City Chiefs
vs
Los Angeles Chargers.

Quick answer

Who will win Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers?

Final score: Kansas City Chiefs 22–6 Los Angeles Chargers. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Kansas City Chiefs to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 24–20.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 58% of the time (67 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Kansas City Chiefs (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–20 at 57% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Kansas City Chiefs win 100%

10 / 10 models

Los Angeles Chargers win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–21
54%
Recent meetings have been consistently close, with the Chargers winning the last two. Arrowhead and Kansas City’s ability to control late-game possessions provide a modest home edge, but the matchup projects as a tight, moderate-scoring contest.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–20
56%
Recent series is tight and split, but Arrowhead home-field edge and Chiefs' typical slow-start-to-strong-finish pattern favor a close win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–20
58%
Divisional clashes between these two are typically decided by one possession. Kansas City gets the edge at Arrowhead in a tightly contested defensive battle.
04
Grok 4.7
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–20
55%
Arrowhead home edge still matters, but recent H2H is tight and Chargers won the last two, so a one-score Chiefs win is the modest call.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–21
58%
Chiefs at Arrowhead with a rest and scheme edge, but Chargers have won two straight in this series, so margin stays tight.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Kansas City Chiefs win
20–17
55%
Chargers won both 2025 meetings, but Arrowhead home edge and Chiefs' historical dominance in this divisional rivalry support a narrow home win in another low-scoring affair.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Kansas City Chiefs win
28–24
62%
Chiefs' home form and recent close H2H edge. Chargers' offense keeps it tight but Arrowhead tips the scale.
08
Kimi K3
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–20
58%
Chargers won the last two meetings, but Chiefs at Arrowhead with Mahomes remain slight favorites in a typically tight, low-scoring divisional rivalry; expect a one-possession game.
09
GLM 5.3
Kansas City Chiefs win
27–24
57%
Chargers won both 2025 meetings in tight games, but Arrowhead remains a tough venue and these division games stay close; slight home edge with modest confidence given mixed recent H2H.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–20
58%
Recent H2H is tight and split, but Chiefs' home venue and slight edge in recent close-game finishing give them the nod in a low-scoring, defensive matchup.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

5 of 10 models settled on 24–20. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 24–20
    5 models
  • 24–21
    2 models
  • 28–24
    1 model
  • 20–17
    1 model
  • 27–24
    1 model

NFL · Week 6

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Chiefs −4 44 Chiefs 100%
Quarterback matchup · season
Patrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes
Kansas City Chiefs · QB
245.7 YDS/G 190.2
9 TD 5
4 INT 8
95.3 RATING 68.8
Justin Herbert
Justin Herbert
Los Angeles Chargers · QB

Kansas City Chiefs

5-1 · #1 AFC West
Home 3-0 · Road 2-1 · Division 3-0 · Streak L1 · Points 143–103
Off a bye: 14 days of rest

Los Angeles Chargers

0-6 · #4 AFC West
Home 0-3 · Road 0-3 · Division 0-3 · Streak L6 · Points 90–151
7 days of rest

Injury report

Kansas City Chiefs 9 on injured reserve
  • Rashee Rice
    Rashee RiceWR
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Jaylon Moore
    Jaylon MooreOT
    Concussion
    Questionable
Los Angeles Chargers 7 on injured reserve
  • BT
    Brenen ThompsonWR
    Quadriceps
    Questionable
  • Ladd McConkey
    Ladd McConkeyWR
    Concussion
    Questionable
  • Kayode Awosika
    Kayode Awosika
    Lower Leg
    Questionable
  • Bud Dupree
    Bud DupreeLB
    Neck
    Questionable
  • Joe Alt
    Joe AltOT
    Neck
    Questionable
  • Donte Jackson
    Donte JacksonCB
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • RS
    Rodney ShelleyCB
    Hamstring
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Kansas City Chiefs Los Angeles Chargers
27 Points scored 16.8
18.5 Points allowed 25.8
366.5 Total yards 292.8
228 Passing yards 164.6
138.5 Rushing yards 128.2
0.5 Turnovers 2.6
40 Third-down % 35
67 Red-zone TD % 62
0 Sacks 2.2
25:00Time of possession29:36

Skill players · Kansas City Chiefs

  • Kenneth Walker III
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB
    701 rushing yards (116.8 a game, 5.8 a carry), 6 TD
  • Travis Kelce
    Travis KelceTE
    24 catches, 343 receiving yards (57.2 a game), 2 TD
  • Tyquan Thornton
    Tyquan ThorntonWR
    11 catches, 219 receiving yards (54.8 a game), 2 TD

Skill players · Los Angeles Chargers

  • Omarion Hampton
    Omarion HamptonRB
    289 rushing yards (48.2 a game, 3.6 a carry), 3 TD
  • Tre Harris
    Tre HarrisWR
    15 catches, 225 receiving yards (45 a game), 0 TD
  • Ladd McConkey
    Ladd McConkeyWR
    13 catches, 200 receiving yards (40 a game), 1 TD

Last ten games

Kansas City Chiefs WW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
27 / 18.5
Total over 41.5
1/2
Total over 44.5
1/2
Total over 47.5
1/2
Won by 7+
1/2
Los Angeles Chargers LLLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
16.8 / 25.8
Total over 41.5
1/5
Total over 44.5
1/5
Total over 47.5
1/5
Won by 7+
0/5

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Omarion Hampton by Hameltion (CC BY-SA 4.0), Tre Harris by Lance Cpl. Jeslianne A. Torres (Public domain), Ladd McConkey by Tennessee Titans (CC BY 3.0), Rashee Rice by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs · QB · last 2 games
Passing yards o235.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
246
225
Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III

Kansas City Chiefs · RB · last 2 games
Rushing yards o123.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
70
177
Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce

Kansas City Chiefs · TE · last 2 games
Receiving yards o37.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
59
15
Receptions o2.5 0/2 · 0% Ask AI
2
2
Tyquan Thornton

Tyquan Thornton

Kansas City Chiefs · WR · last 2 games
Receiving yards o66.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
22
111
Receptions o3.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
2
5
Justin Herbert

Justin Herbert

Los Angeles Chargers · QB · last 5 games
Passing yards o187.5 4/5 · 80% Ask AI
209
192
226
189
121
Omarion Hampton

Omarion Hampton

Los Angeles Chargers · RB · last 5 games
Rushing yards o54.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
43
94
56
45
33
Tre Harris

Tre Harris

Los Angeles Chargers · WR · last 5 games
Receiving yards o45.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
20
53
76
60
16
Receptions o3.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
3
1
6
3
2
Ladd McConkey

Ladd McConkey

Los Angeles Chargers · WR · last 4 games
Receiving yards o45.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
82
35
66
0
Receptions o3.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
5
3
4
0

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Kansas City Chiefs 24, Los Angeles Chargers 20: a projected total of 44 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers?
The AI consensus has Kansas City Chiefs winning by 4 points (24–20).
Who are the quarterbacks in Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers?
Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs): 1,474 passing yards (245.7 a game), 9 TD, 4 INT, rating 95.3. Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers): 1,141 passing yards (190.2 a game), 5 TD, 8 INT, rating 68.8.
Who is injured for Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers?
Kansas City Chiefs have no one listed out or doubtful. Los Angeles Chargers have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Kansas City Chiefs

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 57% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 24.30 vs 20.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 20; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Kansas City Chiefs win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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