EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 6 Wembley Stadium, London Finished

Jacksonville Jaguars
vs
Houston Texans.

Quick answer

Who will win Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?

Final score: Jacksonville Jaguars 31–34 Houston Texans. Before kickoff, 9 of 10 AI models pick Houston Texans to win (90%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 24–25.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Houston Texans (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–25 at 57% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Jacksonville Jaguars win 10%

1 / 10 models

Houston Texans win 90%

9 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Houston Texans win
24–25
56%
Houston has won three of the last five meetings, including the most recent, while Wembley removes Jacksonville’s usual home-field advantage. The divisional matchup still projects as competitive, with a modest Texans edge.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Jacksonville Jaguars win
26–23
54%
Recent meetings have been close and high-scoring; neutral London venue slightly favors Jaguars as designated home team with marginal roster edge.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Houston Texans win
20–24
58%
In a tight London matchup, Houston's balanced offense and pass rush hold an edge over Jacksonville's inconsistent defense.
04
Grok 4.7
Houston Texans win
20–24
52%
Wembley is near-neutral, so little Jags home edge. Recent H2H leans Houston in tight AFC South games; 2026 form unknown, so a one-score Texans win.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Houston Texans win
24–25
58%
Texans won the latest meeting and have been more consistent in this rivalry, but Jacksonville's home split keeps it close.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Houston Texans win
24–25
56%
Houston's stronger roster and recent H2H edge (3-2 last five) outweigh nominal Jaguars home designation at neutral Wembley; travel disrupts both sides, keeping scoring moderate.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Houston Texans win
24–25
58%
Texans won 3 of last 5, including recent 36-29. Jaguars inconsistent; London neutralizes home edge.
08
Kimi K3
Houston Texans win
23–27
58%
Texans have won three of the last four meetings including a 36-29 shootout in November; neutral London venue minimizes home advantage, and Houston's recent offensive output against Jacksonville gives them the edge.
09
GLM 5.3
Houston Texans win
24–25
55%
Houston won four of the last five meetings and looks the stronger roster, though Jacksonville's Wembley familiarity keeps this a tight, low-margin road win.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Houston Texans win
24–25
58%
Texans won the most recent H2H and have a slight edge in recent form; neutral London venue reduces typical home advantage.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 24–25. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 24–25
    6 models
  • 20–24
    2 models
  • 26–23
    1 model
  • 23–27
    1 model

Live game centre

Final
Jacksonville Jaguars
31–34
Houston Texans
Q1Q2Q3Q4 T
Jacksonville Jaguars 014710 31
Houston Texans 710143 34
Pro

Every scoring play, live team stats and the passing, rushing and receiving leaders.

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NFL · Week 6

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Texans −1 49 Texans 90%

Jacksonville Jaguars

4-2 · #1 AFC South
Home 3-1 · Road 1-1 · Division 0-1 · Streak L1 · Points 154–104
7 days of rest

Houston Texans

2-5 · #3 AFC South
Home 0-4 · Road 2-1 · Division 2-1 · Streak L1 · Points 165–170
7 days of rest

Injury report

Jacksonville Jaguars

No one listed out, doubtful or questionable.

Houston Texans 11 on injured reserve
  • David Montgomery
    David MontgomeryRB
    Groin
    Questionable
  • Jaylin Noel
    Jaylin NoelWR
    Toe
    Questionable
  • Reed Blankenship
    Reed BlankenshipS
    Concussion
    Questionable
  • Jalen Pitre
    Jalen PitreS
    Shoulder - AC Joint
    Questionable
  • Blake Fisher
    Blake Fisher
    Thumb
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Jacksonville Jaguars Houston Texans
24.6 Points scored 22
14 Points allowed 22.4
334.8 Total yards 340.8
220.6 Passing yards 261.8
114.2 Rushing yards 79
0.6 Turnovers 0.4
46 Third-down % 38
64 Red-zone TD % 56
2.2 Sacks 3.6
31:42Time of possession30:18

Skill players · Jacksonville Jaguars

Skill players · Houston Texans

  • JM
    Jo'quavious MarksRB
    271 rushing yards (38.7 a game, 3.5 a carry), 2 TD
  • Jaylin Noel
    Jaylin NoelWR
    19 catches, 331 receiving yards (47.3 a game), 2 TD
  • Nico Collins
    Nico CollinsWR
    24 catches, 329 receiving yards (65.8 a game), 3 TD

Last ten games

Jacksonville Jaguars WWWLW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
24.6 / 14
Total over 41.5
1/5
Total over 44.5
0/5
Total over 47.5
0/5
Won by 7+
2/5
Houston Texans WLLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
22 / 22.4
Total over 41.5
2/5
Total over 44.5
2/5
Total over 47.5
2/5
Won by 7+
1/5

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: bookmaker, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Jalen Pitre by Atlanta Falcons (CC BY 3.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

C.J. Stroud

C.J. Stroud

Houston Texans · QB · last 5 games
Passing yards o280.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
274
353
167
347
261
JM

Jo'quavious Marks

Houston Texans · RB · last 5 games
Rushing yards o29.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
42
8
15
22
62
Jaylin Noel

Jaylin Noel

Houston Texans · WR · last 5 games
Receiving yards o45.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
53
31
17
85
41
Receptions o2.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
2
1
2
3
5
Nico Collins

Nico Collins

Houston Texans · WR · last 3 games
Receiving yards o83.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
75
118
56
Receptions o6.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
7
7
5

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Jacksonville Jaguars 24, Houston Texans 25: a projected total of 49 points.
What is the AI spread pick for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?
The AI consensus has Houston Texans winning by 1 points (25–24).
Who is injured for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans?
Jacksonville Jaguars have no one listed out or doubtful. Houston Texans have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Houston Texans

90% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 57% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 23.30 vs 24.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 25; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Houston Texans win, with vote shares roughly 10% / 90% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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Ask multiple AIs about this match.

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