MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62%
TuringStats
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NFL · Regular Season · Week 8 Empower Field at Mile High, Denver Not Started

Denver Broncos
vs
Kansas City Chiefs.

Quick answer

Who will win Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs?

10 of 10 AI models pick Kansas City Chiefs to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 24–25 at 60% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 58% of the time (67 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Kansas City Chiefs (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 24–25 at 60% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NFL standings Where Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Denver Broncos win 0%

0 / 10 models

Kansas City Chiefs win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Kansas City Chiefs win
27–28
62%
Kansas City has the stronger quarterback play, explosive rushing production, and a 14-day bye advantage. Denver’s 3-0 home record and recent defensive form should keep this competitive, but the Chiefs’ division edge and offensive efficiency favor a narrow road win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Kansas City Chiefs win
23–26
56%
Chiefs rested off bye with better scoring differential and division control; Broncos' W3 streak and home edge keep it close but KC's offense trends stronger.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Kansas City Chiefs win
20–24
62%
Coming off a 14-day bye, Kansas City holds an offensive edge behind Mahomes and a strong rushing attack, having already beaten Denver 31-10 earlier this season.
04
Grok 4.7
Kansas City Chiefs win
20–24
58%
Chiefs already beat Denver 31-10 this season, have Mahomes, a bye, and a stingier defense. Broncos are 3-0 at home on a W3 streak, so expect a one-score Mile High game, not a rout.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–25
58%
Chiefs have the better QB, a rested bye week, and Walker III averaging 5.8 yards per carry; Denver's passing game is limited with Waddle questionable and Nix rating just 80.7.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–25
63%
Chiefs' superior defense (14.3 allowed), Mahomes edge over Nix, and bye-week rest outweigh Denver's 3-0 home mark; recent 31-10 H2H result reinforces Kansas City's dominance.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Kansas City Chiefs win
20–24
61%
Chiefs won 31-10 in September and allow just 14.3 lately; bye-week rest plus stronger defense offsets Denver's 3-0 home and W3 run.
08
Kimi K3
Kansas City Chiefs win
20–27
62%
Chiefs' superior offense led by Mahomes and Walker, plus bye-week rest advantage, outweigh Broncos' home field. Denver's injuries at WR and DE hurt their chances.
09
GLM 5.3
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–25
56%
Chiefs come off a bye with the league's stingier defense and Kenneth Walker anchoring the run; Denver is home and won the last two Denver meetings, but KC's Week 6 blowout and rest edge tip a one-score game.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Kansas City Chiefs win
24–25
62%
Chiefs' bye rest, Mahomes, and Walker's 116.8 rush yards a game outweigh Denver's 3-0 home form; KC's defense allows 14.3 recently and beat Denver 31-10 in September, though Waddle/Allen injuries hurt the Broncos.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 24–25. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 24–25
    4 models
  • 20–24
    3 models
  • 27–28
    1 model
  • 23–26
    1 model
  • 20–27
    1 model

NFL · Week 8

Matchup, injuries and form

The quarterbacks, who is hurt, how both teams have played the last five weeks, and the line next to the AI.

NFL standings & playoff picture →
SpreadTotalWin chance
10 AIs Chiefs −1 49 Chiefs 100%
Market Chiefs −1.5 40.5 Chiefs 52%

The AI total is 8.5 points above the market total (Bet365).

Quarterback matchup · season
Bo Nix
Bo Nix
Denver Broncos · QB
181.6 YDS/G 245.7
7 TD 9
3 INT 4
80.7 RATING 95.3
Patrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes
Kansas City Chiefs · QB

Denver Broncos

5-2 · #2 AFC West
Home 3-0 · Road 2-2 · Division 1-1 · Streak W3 · Points 144–141
7 days of rest

Kansas City Chiefs

5-1 · #1 AFC West
Home 3-0 · Road 2-1 · Division 3-0 · Streak L1 · Points 143–103
Off a bye: 14 days of rest

Injury report

Denver Broncos

No one listed out, doubtful or questionable.

Kansas City Chiefs 9 on injured reserve
  • Rashee Rice
    Rashee RiceWR
    Hamstring
    Questionable
  • Jaylon Moore
    Jaylon MooreOT
    Concussion
    Questionable

Last five games, per game

Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs
23.4 Points scored 25.3
19.2 Points allowed 14.3
309.2 Total yards 385
203.4 Passing yards 242.7
105.8 Rushing yards 142.3
0.8 Turnovers 1
36 Third-down % 37
56 Red-zone TD % 54
2.8 Sacks 1.3
28:42Time of possession26:48

Skill players · Denver Broncos

  • J.K. Dobbins
    J.K. DobbinsRB
    293 rushing yards (41.9 a game, 3.4 a carry), 3 TD
  • Jaylen Waddle
    Jaylen WaddleWR
    26 catches, 276 receiving yards (39.4 a game), 1 TD
  • RJ Harvey
    RJ HarveyRB
    25 catches, 217 receiving yards (36.2 a game), 1 TD

Skill players · Kansas City Chiefs

  • Kenneth Walker III
    Kenneth Walker IIIRB
    701 rushing yards (116.8 a game, 5.8 a carry), 6 TD
  • Travis Kelce
    Travis KelceTE
    24 catches, 343 receiving yards (57.2 a game), 2 TD
  • Tyquan Thornton
    Tyquan ThorntonWR
    11 catches, 219 receiving yards (54.8 a game), 2 TD

Last ten games

Denver Broncos WWLWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
23.4 / 19.2
Total over 41.5
2/5
Total over 44.5
2/5
Total over 47.5
1/5
Won by 7+
2/5
Kansas City Chiefs WWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
25.3 / 14.3
Total over 41.5
1/3
Total over 44.5
1/3
Total over 47.5
1/3
Won by 7+
2/3

Data and player photos: API-Sports. Market line: Bet365, for comparison only. Other photos via Wikimedia Commons: Bo Nix by Tennessee Titans (CC BY 4.0), RJ Harvey by Tennessee Titans (CC BY 3.0), Rashee Rice by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Bo Nix

Bo Nix

Denver Broncos · QB · last 5 games
Passing yards o206.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
288
186
214
123
222
J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins

Denver Broncos · RB · last 5 games
Rushing yards o43.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
36
49
40
68
23
Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle

Denver Broncos · WR · last 5 games
Receiving yards o50.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
138
10
35
19
48
Receptions o4.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
8
2
5
2
4
RJ Harvey

RJ Harvey

Denver Broncos · RB · last 4 games
Receiving yards o40.5 3/4 · 75% Ask AI
41
68
0
54
Receptions o4.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
6
10
0
2
Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs · QB · last 3 games
Passing yards o247.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
246
225
272
Kenneth Walker III

Kenneth Walker III

Kansas City Chiefs · RB · last 3 games
Rushing yards o125.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
70
177
128
Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce

Kansas City Chiefs · TE · last 3 games
Receiving yards o42.5 2/3 · 67% Ask AI
59
15
53
Receptions o2.5 1/3 · 33% Ask AI
2
2
4
Tyquan Thornton

Tyquan Thornton

Kansas City Chiefs · WR · last 2 games
Receiving yards o66.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
22
111
Receptions o3.5 1/2 · 50% Ask AI
2
5

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs: quick answers

What is the predicted total for Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs?
The AI models' mean predicted score is Denver Broncos 24, Kansas City Chiefs 25: a projected total of 49 points. The market total is 40.5.
What is the AI spread pick for Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs?
The AI consensus has Kansas City Chiefs winning by 1 points (25–24). The market spread has Kansas City Chiefs favoured by 1.5.
Who are the quarterbacks in Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs?
Bo Nix (Denver Broncos): 1,271 passing yards (181.6 a game), 7 TD, 3 INT, rating 80.7. Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs): 1,474 passing yards (245.7 a game), 9 TD, 4 INT, rating 95.3.
Who is injured for Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs?
Denver Broncos have no one listed out or doubtful. Kansas City Chiefs have no one listed out or doubtful. Questionable players are on the full report on this page.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Kansas City Chiefs

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 60% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 22.60 vs 25.30

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs in NFL? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (24 - 25; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Kansas City Chiefs win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 100% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

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