VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40%
TuringStats
AI consensus
Get the app
Ask multiple AI Forecasts League tables AI board AI poll AI vs Polymarket Check my picks Journal Sign in with Google Get the free app
← NBA games NBA hub →
NBA · Regular Season Frost Bank Center, San Antonio Not Started

San Antonio Spurs
vs
Dallas Mavericks.

Quick answer

Who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks?

10 of 10 AI models pick San Antonio Spurs to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 118–110 at 60% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 64% of the time (55 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward San Antonio Spurs (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–110 at 60% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where San Antonio Spurs and Dallas Mavericks stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

San Antonio Spurs win 100%

10 / 10 models

Dallas Mavericks win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
San Antonio Spurs win
115–111
58%
San Antonio has won the last five meetings, including a 122-106 result recently, and owns the stronger defensive profile. Dallas has efficient scoring through Cooper Flagg but enters with a weaker defense and a recent loss.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
San Antonio Spurs win
114–109
58%
Spurs won the recent meeting convincingly, Wembanyama anchors a strong defensive edge, and Dallas is missing Marshall's scoring off the bench.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
San Antonio Spurs win
118–112
58%
San Antonio has controlled recent head-to-head encounters, including a road win against Dallas ten days ago. Wembanyama's rim protection and home-court advantage should counter Dallas's offense.
04
Grok 4.7
San Antonio Spurs win
116–110
58%
Spurs own recent H2H and a better defensive rating at home; similar 1-2 records and rest, with Wembanyama versus Dallas missing Marshall.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
San Antonio Spurs win
117–110
58%
San Antonio has won the last three H2H meetings, including one this season, and Dallas allows 116 points per game. Spurs' home venue and Wembanyama's interior presence support a narrow win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
San Antonio Spurs win
116–109
62%
Spurs dominate H2H (5 straight wins), superior defense (105.3 vs 110.7 per 100), home court, and Dallas missing Marshall. Early-season small sample tempers confidence.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
San Antonio Spurs win
118–110
62%
Spurs won last five H2H including 122-106 in Dallas; W3 streak, elite 103.7 defense and Wembanyama form at Frost Bank Center.
08
Kimi K3
San Antonio Spurs win
118–110
62%
Spurs have won five straight H2H meetings, all by double digits, including 122-106 this season; home court plus a clearly better defense (105.3 vs 110.7 per 100) edges out Flagg and Kyrie's scoring.
09
GLM 5.3
San Antonio Spurs win
114–108
58%
Spurs have won five straight H2H meetings including this season, and Wembanyama's home rim protection troubles Dallas. Flagg's scoring keeps it close; Marshall's absence hurts Dallas depth.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
San Antonio Spurs win
116–111
62%
Spurs have won five straight over Dallas and just beat them 122-106, with Wembanyama, Harper and Castle all scoring well; Dallas's defense allows 110.7 per 100 and Marshall is out. Equal rest, so home court tips it.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 7 models settled on 118–110. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 118–110
    2 models
  • 115–111
    1 model
  • 114–109
    1 model
  • 117–110
    1 model
  • 116–109
    1 model
  • 116–111
    1 model

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Spurs −8
AI total
228
Models picking
100%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 4 games
Victor Wembanyama
Victor Wembanyama
San Antonio Spurs · F
25 PTS 25.5
11.4 REB 6.3
2.8 AST 7.8
32 MIN 32
CF
C. Flagg
Dallas Mavericks · F

San Antonio Spurs

3-2 · #7 Western
Home 1-2 · Away 2-0 · Last ten 3-2 · Streak W3
2 days of rest · 2 games in 7 days

Dallas Mavericks

3-2 · #8 Western
Home 1-1 · Away 2-1 · Last ten 3-2 · Streak W2
2 days of rest · 2 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Did not play last game

Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.

  • Naji Marshall
    Naji Marshall Mavericks · F
    27 min · 12.5 pts a game before

Season averages per game

San Antonio Spurs Dallas Mavericks
115.5 Points 114.1
45.2% Field goal % 46.6%
34.9% 3-point % 33.6%
79% Free throw % 78.5%
47.5 Rebounds 43.8
26.8 Assists 27.9
17.1 Turnovers 18
9.4 Steals 9.3
6.5 Blocks 7.1

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

SpursMavericks
Offensive rating 108.9 109.6
Defensive rating 103.7 107.4
Net rating +5.2 +2.2
Pace 106.1 104.1
Effective FG % 52.7 54.2
Turnover % 16.1 17.3
Free throw rate 27.8 24.9
3-point attempt rate 43 45.3

Key players · San Antonio Spurs

  • Victor Wembanyama
    Victor WembanyamaF 25 pts · 11.4 reb · 2.8 ast
  • Stephon Castle
    Stephon CastleG 17.4 pts · 5.8 reb · 5.4 ast
  • DH
    D. HarperG 17.2 pts · 5.2 reb · 4.6 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Key players · Dallas Mavericks

  • CF
    C. FlaggF 25.5 pts · 6.3 reb · 7.8 ast
  • Kyrie Irving
    Kyrie IrvingG 23 pts · 3.3 reb · 5.5 ast
  • PW
    P.J. WashingtonF 14.6 pts · 9 reb · 1 ast

Averages over the last 4 games.

Last ten games

San Antonio Spurs WWWLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
116.6 / 110
Total over 220.5
4/5
Total over 230.5
1/5
Scored 110+
4/5
Won by 6+
3/5
Dallas Mavericks WWWLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
114.3 / 111.8
Total over 220.5
5/6
Total over 230.5
1/6
Scored 110+
5/6
Won by 6+
2/6

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Victor Wembanyama by Frenchieinportland (CC BY 4.0), Stephon Castle by Petsbikes (CC BY-SA 4.0), Kyrie Irving by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Naji Marshall by FOX Sports (CC BY 3.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Victor Wembanyama

Victor Wembanyama

San Antonio Spurs · F · last 5 games
Points o25.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
12
25
23
29
36
Rebounds o11.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
13
13
7
10
14
Pts + Reb + Ast o39.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
28
40
32
41
55
3-pointers made o1.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
0
2
2
0
4
Stephon Castle

Stephon Castle

San Antonio Spurs · G · last 5 games
Points o17.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
24
15
19
15
14
Rebounds o5.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
7
7
4
5
6
Assists o5.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
1
5
8
5
8
Pts + Reb + Ast o28.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
32
27
31
25
28
3-pointers made o3.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
5
3
3
3
1
DH

D. Harper

San Antonio Spurs · G · last 5 games
Points o17.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
18
20
22
13
13
Rebounds o5.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
7
3
5
6
5
Assists o4.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
5
2
2
6
8
Pts + Reb + Ast o27.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
30
25
29
25
26
CF

C. Flagg

Dallas Mavericks · F · last 5 games
Points o26.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
32
14
29
26
33
Rebounds o6.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
5
5
6
5
9
Assists o6.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
2
6
11
8
6
Pts + Reb + Ast o39.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
39
25
46
39
48
Kyrie Irving

Kyrie Irving

Dallas Mavericks · G · last 5 games
Points o21.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
15
24
18
15
35
Assists o4.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
2
3
6
4
9
Pts + Reb + Ast o29.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
21
28
30
21
48
3-pointers made o3.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
1
5
2
3
5
PW

P.J. Washington

Dallas Mavericks · F · last 6 games
Points o13.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
10
20
12
20
18
3
Rebounds o8.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
4
13
4
9
9
10
Pts + Reb + Ast o23.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
16
33
18
31
27
14
3-pointers made o1.5 4/6 · 67% Ask AI
2
2
0
4
2
1

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks: quick answers

What is the predicted total for San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks?
The AI models' mean predicted score is San Antonio Spurs 118, Dallas Mavericks 110: a projected total of 228 points. San Antonio Spurs games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 5; Dallas Mavericks games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 6.
What is the AI spread pick for San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks?
The consensus has San Antonio Spurs winning by 8 points (118–110), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks?
Leading scorers over the last 4 games. San Antonio Spurs: Victor Wembanyama (25 pts, 11.4 reb, 2.8 ast), Stephon Castle (17.4 pts, 5.8 reb, 5.4 ast). Dallas Mavericks: C. Flagg (25.5 pts, 6.3 reb, 7.8 ast), Kyrie Irving (23 pts, 3.3 reb, 5.5 ast).
Is San Antonio Spurs or Dallas Mavericks on a back-to-back?
San Antonio Spurs have had 2 days of rest; Dallas Mavericks have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors San Antonio Spurs

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 60% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 116.20 vs 110.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 110; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is San Antonio Spurs win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

From the blog

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

AC Milan vs Inter Prediction: AI Panel Backs Derby Draw
Serie A
AC Milan vs Inter Prediction: AI Panel Backs Derby Draw

AC Milan vs Inter prediction: our AI panel sees a 1-1 Serie A derby draw at San Siro, with 80% backing the draw and Inter the only alternative.

 Barcelona vs Alaves Prediction: AI Panel Backs Blaugrana Clean Sheet
La Liga
Barcelona vs Alaves Prediction: AI Panel Backs Blaugrana Clean Sheet

Barcelona vs Alaves prediction for La Liga: AI panel unanimously backs Barcelona with 64% confidence and a 3-0 scoreline at Spotify Camp Nou.
Results
NBA results Friday 30 October 2026: AI predictions review

NBA results Friday 30 October 2026: the AI consensus went 6 of 8, with unanimous calls on five games and two upsets it never saw coming.
Results
Hockey results Friday 30 October 2026: AI predictions review

Hockey results Friday 30 October 2026: the AI consensus went 4 of 8 in the NHL, with three unanimous calls falling flat. Full model-by-model review.
Results
Football results Friday 30 October 2026: AI predictions review

AI models called 10 of 18 football results right on Friday 30 October 2026. Elversberg's shock win over Mainz and other misses reviewed.
NHL
Boston Bruins vs Chicago Blackhawks Prediction: Unanimous AI Panel Backs Bruins

Boston Bruins vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction: the AI panel unanimously backs Boston in this NHL clash, with a 4-2 scoreline the most common pick.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.

Ask with match data App Store Google Play