Zion Williamson
New Orleans Pelicans · F · last 5 games
NBA · Regular Season
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Not Started
New Orleans Pelicans
vs
Utah Jazz.
Quick answer
Who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz?
6 of 10 AI models pick Utah Jazz to win (60%). The mean predicted score is 119–120 at 54% average confidence (medium).
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Utah Jazz (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 119–120 at 54% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
New Orleans Pelicans win
40%
4 / 10 models
Utah Jazz win
60%
6 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: Utah Jazz win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
New Orleans Pelicans win
122–118
54%
New Orleans has lost three straight, but its recent offense is strong and home court helps against Utah’s similarly vulnerable defense. Both teams play fast, while Utah’s recent win and superior shooting make this a close matchup.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Utah Jazz win
122–123
55%
Jazz enter with momentum and a tight recent road win here; Pelicans' leaky defense (119.3 per 100) and 0-3 skid outweigh home edge.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
New Orleans Pelicans win
121–116
56%
New Orleans plays at a very fast pace and needs a bounce-back win at home. With equal rest, their high-scoring offense should edge Utah in a tight finish.
04
Grok 4.7
New Orleans Pelicans win
123–118
54%
Pelicans 0-3 but home with higher pace and recent 125-point scoring; Jazz leak 121 allowed and miss Hayes. Last meeting was a one-point Jazz win, so expect another close high-scoring game.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Utah Jazz win
118–119
52%
Utah won the recent head-to-head and has slightly better offensive efficiency, though New Orleans is at home and both teams are struggling defensively.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Utah Jazz win
119–120
53%
Jazz's superior eFG% (54% vs 51.3%) and recent win offset Pelicans' home edge; both defenses are poor, keeping the margin tight.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Utah Jazz win
116–119
53%
Jazz have hotter top scorer in Keyonte George and Pelicans missing Murray; both rest equal, weak defenses point to close high-scoring road edge.
08
Kimi K3
New Orleans Pelicans win
118–114
56%
Both defenses are porous (119.3 and 117.0 per 100) and pace is high; Pelicans' home venue and 4-1 recent H2H edge give them a slight nod despite 0-3 start, with Utah missing Hayes.
09
GLM 5.3
Utah Jazz win
116–117
52%
Both teams defend poorly, but winless New Orleans (0-3, 119.3 def/100) looks weaker than Utah, whose 54% eFG and Keyonte George's 22.8-point form edge a close road win despite the Smoothie King Center crowd.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Utah Jazz win
119–120
52%
Both defenses are poor (NO allows 119.3/100, Utah 117), suggesting a shootout; Utah's better eFG and Keyonte George's form edge out a winless Pelicans team despite home court and equal rest.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
2 of 7 models settled on 119–120. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
119–120
2 models
-
116–119
1 model
-
122–118
1 model
-
122–123
1 model
-
118–119
1 model
-
123–118
1 model
Standings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Jazz −1
AI total
239
Models picking
60%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 5 games
Zion Williamson
New Orleans Pelicans · F
21.8
PTS
21.6
4.2
REB
4
2.2
AST
6.6
32
MIN
33
Keyonte George
Utah Jazz · G
New Orleans Pelicans
0-4 · #14 Western Home 0-2 · Away 0-2 · Last ten 0-4 · Streak L4
2 days of rest
· 3 games in 7 days
Utah Jazz
1-4 · #13 Western Home 1-3 · Away 0-1 · Last ten 1-4 · Streak L3
2 days of rest
· 3 games in 7 days
Did not play last game
Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.
-
Dejounte Murray Pelicans · G32 min · 17.8 pts a game before -
Jaren Jackson Jr. Jazz · F33 min · 22 pts a game before
Season averages per game
New Orleans Pelicans
Utah Jazz
115.4
Points
112.8
46.4%
Field goal %
45.9%
31.5%
3-point %
34.8%
77%
Free throw %
76.4%
45.3
Rebounds
46.8
24.3
Assists
25.4
17.8
Turnovers
17
13.3
Steals
6.9
5.2
Blocks
5.6
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Pelicans | Jazz | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 107.5 | 108.6 |
| Defensive rating | 113.2 | 114.4 |
| Net rating | -5.7 | -5.8 |
| Pace | 107.4 | 103.8 |
| Effective FG % | 52.2 | 52.7 |
| Turnover % | 16.6 | 16.4 |
| Free throw rate | 34.6 | 30.7 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 36.8 | 39.4 |
Key players · New Orleans Pelicans
-
Zion WilliamsonF 21.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.2 ast
-
Dejounte MurrayG 17.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 6 ast
-
TI
Trey Murphy IIIF 14.2 pts · 4.4 reb · 2.8 ast
Averages over the last 5 games.
Key players · Utah Jazz
-
Keyonte GeorgeG 21.6 pts · 4 reb · 6.6 ast
-
Jaren Jackson Jr.F 16.7 pts · 5 reb · 2 ast
-
Lauri MarkkanenF 14.8 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.3 ast
Averages over the last 5 games.
Last ten games
New Orleans Pelicans
WLLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 119.4 / 121.6
- Total over 220.5
- 4/5
- Total over 230.5
- 4/5
- Scored 110+
- 4/5
- Won by 6+
- 1/5
Utah Jazz
LLLLWL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 108.7 / 118.8
- Total over 220.5
- 4/6
- Total over 230.5
- 2/6
- Scored 110+
- 3/6
- Won by 6+
- 0/6
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Zion Williamson by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Dejounte Murray by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Keyonte George by Brady Saylor (CC BY-SA 4.0), Jaren Jackson Jr. by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Lauri Markkanen by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Dejounte Murray
New Orleans Pelicans · G · last 4 games
Trey Murphy III
New Orleans Pelicans · F · last 5 games
Keyonte George
Utah Jazz · G · last 6 games
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Utah Jazz · F · last 4 games
Lauri Markkanen
Utah Jazz · F · last 5 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is New Orleans Pelicans 119, Utah Jazz 120: a projected total of 239 points. New Orleans Pelicans games went over 230.5 in 4 of the last 5; Utah Jazz games went over 230.5 in 2 of the last 6.
- What is the AI spread pick for New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz?
- The consensus has Utah Jazz winning by 1 points (120–119), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz?
- Leading scorers over the last 5 games. New Orleans Pelicans: Zion Williamson (21.8 pts, 4.2 reb, 2.2 ast), Dejounte Murray (17.8 pts, 5.8 reb, 6 ast). Utah Jazz: Keyonte George (21.6 pts, 4 reb, 6.6 ast), Jaren Jackson Jr. (16.7 pts, 5 reb, 2 ast).
- Is New Orleans Pelicans or Utah Jazz on a back-to-back?
- New Orleans Pelicans have had 2 days of rest; Utah Jazz have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors Utah Jazz
60% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Medium confidence
Mean 54% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 119.40 vs 118.40
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (119 - 120; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Utah Jazz win, with vote shares roughly 40% / 60% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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