Zion Williamson
New Orleans Pelicans · F · last 4 games
NBA · Regular Season
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Finished
New Orleans Pelicans
vs
Sacramento Kings.
Quick answer
Who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings?
Final score: New Orleans Pelicans 132–120 Sacramento Kings. Before kickoff, 7 of 10 AI models pick New Orleans Pelicans to win (70%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 118–112.
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward New Orleans Pelicans (7 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–112 at 55% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
New Orleans Pelicans win
70%
7 / 10 models
Sacramento Kings win
30%
3 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: New Orleans Pelicans win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
New Orleans Pelicans win
117–111
57%
New Orleans has the stronger recent scoring profile and home court, while Sacramento’s poor offense and missing Keegan Murray hurt. The Pelicans’ back-to-back fatigue should keep this competitive despite Sacramento’s extra rest.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
New Orleans Pelicans win
122–117
52%
Pelicans score better and own slight head-to-head edge, but back-to-back fatigue and leaky defense keep this close against a struggling Kings team missing bench depth.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Sacramento Kings win
115–119
56%
Sacramento holds a distinct rest advantage with two days off while New Orleans is on a back-to-back. Expect Zach LaVine and Domantas Sabonis to exploit New Orleans' fatigued defense.
04
Grok 4.7
New Orleans Pelicans win
118–112
58%
Pelicans' much better offense (108.7 ORtg, 116.6 ppg) at home edges Kings' weak attack despite B2B; Keegan Murray out for Sacramento.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
New Orleans Pelicans win
116–110
52%
Pelicans are on a back-to-back but at home; Kings have better rest yet poor offense and defense. Zion and Murray give New Orleans enough scoring edge despite fatigue.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
New Orleans Pelicans win
114–107
53%
Pelicans' superior offensive talent (Zion, Murray) offsets back-to-back fatigue; Kings' 98.7 offensive rating is too weak to exploit rest advantage fully.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
New Orleans Pelicans win
118–112
58%
Pelicans' offense and home court offset Kings' rest; both teams struggle defensively.
08
Kimi K3
Sacramento Kings win
112–118
58%
Pelicans on second night of back-to-back after allowing 128 per game; Kings rested with LaVine and Sabonis in strong form, plus Sacramento won the most recent meeting.
09
GLM 5.3
Sacramento Kings win
113–114
52%
Pelicans are on a back-to-back with a poor 119.3 defense, while rested Kings lean on LaVine's 29 ppg and Sabonis inside; recent H2H games stay close, so a narrow road win fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
New Orleans Pelicans win
118–112
57%
Pelicans' 124.7 recent scoring and Zion/Murray form outweigh their back-to-back fatigue versus Kings' 28.3% threes and Keegan Murray absence. Sacramento's LaVine keeps it close in New Orleans.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
3 of 8 models settled on 118–112. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
118–112
3 models
-
114–107
1 model
-
117–111
1 model
-
122–117
1 model
-
116–110
1 model
-
115–119
1 model
Live game centre
FinalNew Orleans Pelicans
132–120
Sacramento Kings| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Pelicans | 24 | 39 | 39 | 30 | 132 |
| Sacramento Kings | 30 | 31 | 27 | 32 | 120 |
24
30
39
31
39
27
30
32
Pro
Live team stats, the box score and every lead change, minute by minute.
Unlock with Pro in the appStandings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Pelicans −6
AI total
230
Models picking
70%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 4 games
Zion Williamson
New Orleans Pelicans · F
21.8
PTS
27.3
3.8
REB
3.5
2.3
AST
3.3
33
MIN
36
Zach LaVine
Sacramento Kings · G
New Orleans Pelicans
0-4 · #14 Western Home 0-2 · Away 0-2 · Last ten 0-4 · Streak L4
Back-to-back: played last night
· 3 games in 7 days
Sacramento Kings
0-4 · #15 Western Home 0-2 · Away 0-2 · Last ten 0-4 · Streak L4
2 days of rest
· 3 games in 7 days
Did not play last game
Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.
-
Keegan Murray Kings · F27 min · 7 pts a game before
Season averages per game
New Orleans Pelicans
Sacramento Kings
115.4
Points
106.5
46.4%
Field goal %
43.7%
31.5%
3-point %
29.6%
77%
Free throw %
71.5%
45.3
Rebounds
43.1
24.3
Assists
23.3
17.8
Turnovers
18.7
13.3
Steals
10.4
5.2
Blocks
2.5
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Pelicans | Kings | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 107.5 | 99.6 |
| Defensive rating | 113.6 | 114.5 |
| Net rating | -6.1 | -14.9 |
| Pace | 107.4 | 106.9 |
| Effective FG % | 52.2 | 49 |
| Turnover % | 16.6 | 17.5 |
| Free throw rate | 34.6 | 30.3 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 36.8 | 35.7 |
Key players · New Orleans Pelicans
-
Zion WilliamsonF 21.8 pts · 3.8 reb · 2.3 ast
-
Dejounte MurrayG 17.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 6 ast -
Saddiq BeyG 14 pts · 3 reb · 1.8 ast
Averages over the last 4 games.
Key players · Sacramento Kings
-
Zach LaVineG 27.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 3.3 ast
-
DJ
D. Acuff Jr.G 21.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 4.8 ast
-
Domantas SabonisF 19 pts · 16.5 reb · 7.3 ast
Averages over the last 4 games.
Last ten games
New Orleans Pelicans
LLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 116.3 / 122
- Total over 220.5
- 3/4
- Total over 230.5
- 3/4
- Scored 110+
- 3/4
- Won by 6+
- 0/4
Sacramento Kings
LLLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 105.8 / 122.4
- Total over 220.5
- 3/5
- Total over 230.5
- 3/5
- Scored 110+
- 2/5
- Won by 6+
- 0/5
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Zion Williamson by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Dejounte Murray by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Saddiq Bey by User:Zafer (CC BY-SA 4.0), Zach LaVine by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Domantas Sabonis by Augustas Didžgalvis (CC BY-SA 4.0), Keegan Murray by Alexander Jonesi (CC BY-SA 2.0).
Player props
Prop hit rates: New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Dejounte Murray
New Orleans Pelicans · G · last 4 games
Saddiq Bey
New Orleans Pelicans · G · last 4 games
Zach LaVine
Sacramento Kings · G · last 4 games
D. Acuff Jr.
Sacramento Kings · G · last 4 games
Domantas Sabonis
Sacramento Kings · F · last 4 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is New Orleans Pelicans 118, Sacramento Kings 112: a projected total of 230 points. New Orleans Pelicans games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 4; Sacramento Kings games went over 230.5 in 3 of the last 5.
- What is the AI spread pick for New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings?
- The consensus has New Orleans Pelicans winning by 6 points (118–112), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings?
- Leading scorers over the last 4 games. New Orleans Pelicans: Zion Williamson (21.8 pts, 3.8 reb, 2.3 ast), Dejounte Murray (17.8 pts, 5.8 reb, 6 ast). Sacramento Kings: Zach LaVine (27.3 pts, 3.5 reb, 3.3 ast), D. Acuff Jr. (21.5 pts, 2.8 reb, 4.8 ast).
- Is New Orleans Pelicans or Sacramento Kings on a back-to-back?
- New Orleans Pelicans are on the second night of a back-to-back; Sacramento Kings have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors New Orleans Pelicans
70% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Medium confidence
Mean 55% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 116.30 vs 113.20
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 112; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is New Orleans Pelicans win, with vote shares roughly 70% / 30% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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