Deni Avdija
Portland Trail Blazers · F · last 4 games
NBA · Regular Season
Moda Center, Portland
Finished
Portland Trail Blazers
vs
Memphis Grizzlies.
Quick answer
Who will win Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies?
Final score: Portland Trail Blazers 103–124 Memphis Grizzlies. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Portland Trail Blazers to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 121–115.
Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.
All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 64% of the time (55 games).
10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Portland Trail Blazers (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 121–115 at 59% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.
Who do you think will win?
Vote before kick-off and compare with AI
— Consensus
Where the panel lands.
Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.
Portland Trail Blazers win
100%
10 / 10 models
Memphis Grizzlies win
0%
0 / 10 models
— Model breakdown
10 picks. Receipts attached.
Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.
Read: Portland Trail Blazers win
#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Portland Trail Blazers win
121–115
59%
Portland's stronger defensive efficiency, 2-0 start, home court, and recent head-to-head success give it a modest edge. Memphis has extra rest and Ty Jerome's scoring form supports a competitive, high-tempo game.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Portland Trail Blazers win
119–112
60%
Portland's top-ranked offense and better net efficiency edge a Memphis team missing Edey and relying heavily on Jerome's hot streak; home venue and rest slightly favor Blazers.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Portland Trail Blazers win
121–115
58%
Both teams enter undefeated with elite offensive output, but Portland holds home-court advantage, superior defensive efficiency (95.6 rating), and recent head-to-head dominance over Memphis.
04
Grok 4.7
Portland Trail Blazers win
118–108
62%
Portland’s elite early defense (95.6 per 100, 100 allowed last 3) and home venue plus recent H2H wins outweigh similar 2-0 records; Memphis lacks Edey.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Portland Trail Blazers win
118–112
58%
Portland has a better net rating and home venue, plus Memphis may miss Zach Edey. Both teams are unbeaten and high-scoring, so a close, fast game favors the Blazers' slightly stronger defense.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Portland Trail Blazers win
119–108
62%
Portland's elite defense (95.6 per 100) and dominant home H2H vs Memphis outweigh Ty Jerome's hot streak; Edey absence weakens Memphis interior.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Portland Trail Blazers win
118–112
60%
Portland's elite defense (95.6 DRtg) and home rest edge out Memphis' strong offense, despite Ty Jerome's scoring surge.
08
Kimi K3
Portland Trail Blazers win
118–114
58%
Portland's elite early defense (95.6 per 100) and Moda Center edge counter Memphis's hot shooting; both unbeaten but Blazers' faster pace and home court favor a narrow win.
09
GLM 5.3
Portland Trail Blazers win
118–110
58%
Portland's 2-0 start with an elite 95.6 defensive rating plus 4 wins in the last five H2H meetings favors the Blazers at Moda Center; Memphis' 17% turnover rate and Edey's absence hurt despite Jerome's hot scoring.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Portland Trail Blazers win
118–111
58%
Portland's 114.9 offense and 95.6 defensive rating with home rest edge outpace Memphis despite Ty Jerome's 34.7-point form; Blazers won three straight H2H at Moda Center, though Edey's absence weakens Grizzlies interior.
— Scoreline frequency
How often each scoreline showed up.
2 of 8 models settled on 121–115. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.
-
121–115
2 models
-
118–112
2 models
-
119–112
1 model
-
119–108
1 model
-
118–111
1 model
-
118–108
1 model
Live game centre
FinalPortland Trail Blazers
103–124
Memphis Grizzlies| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Trail Blazers | 25 | 33 | 25 | 20 | 103 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 25 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 124 |
25
25
33
33
25
33
20
33
Pro
Live team stats, the box score and every lead change, minute by minute.
Unlock with Pro in the appStandings, rest and form
Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.
AI spread
Blazers −6
AI total
236
Models picking
100%
From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.
Star matchup · last 4 games
Deni Avdija
Portland Trail Blazers · F
23.3
PTS
29.8
7.3
REB
3.5
5.8
AST
6.3
30
MIN
32
Ty Jerome
Memphis Grizzlies · G
Portland Trail Blazers
3-0 · #2 Western Home 1-0 · Away 2-0 · Last ten 3-0 · Streak W3
2 days of rest
· 2 games in 7 days
Memphis Grizzlies
4-0 · #3 Western Home 1-0 · Away 3-0 · Last ten 4-0 · Streak W4
3 days of rest
· 3 games in 7 days
Season averages per game
Portland Trail Blazers
Memphis Grizzlies
120.3
Points
118
47.8%
Field goal %
46.1%
34.1%
3-point %
39.4%
72.5%
Free throw %
82.4%
47.6
Rebounds
46.1
28.6
Assists
27.3
15.9
Turnovers
16.4
7.7
Steals
8.9
5.9
Blocks
4
Ratings and four factors
Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.
| Blazers | Grizzlies | |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive rating | 114.8 | 113.9 |
| Defensive rating | 102.6 | 103.3 |
| Net rating | +12.2 | +10.6 |
| Pace | 104.7 | 103.6 |
| Effective FG % | 56.1 | 54.6 |
| Turnover % | 15.1 | 15.9 |
| Free throw rate | 30.1 | 29.3 |
| 3-point attempt rate | 49 | 43.3 |
Key players · Portland Trail Blazers
-
Deni AvdijaF 23.3 pts · 7.3 reb · 5.8 ast
-
Damian LillardG 19.8 pts · 4 reb · 4 ast -
Ja MorantG 15.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 6.3 ast
Averages over the last 4 games.
Key players · Memphis Grizzlies
-
Ty JeromeG 29.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 6.3 ast
-
CB
C. BoozerF 15.3 pts · 10.5 reb · 4.8 ast
-
Jaylen WellsF 14.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 1.5 ast
Averages over the last 4 games.
Last ten games
Portland Trail Blazers
WWWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 124.5 / 107.5
- Total over 220.5
- 2/4
- Total over 230.5
- 2/4
- Scored 110+
- 4/4
- Won by 6+
- 4/4
Memphis Grizzlies
WWWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
- Points scored / allowed
- 116.8 / 107
- Total over 220.5
- 2/4
- Total over 230.5
- 1/4
- Scored 110+
- 4/4
- Won by 6+
- 2/4
Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Deni Avdija by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA (CC BY-SA 2.0), Damian Lillard by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Ja Morant by All-Pro Reels (CC BY-SA 2.0), Ty Jerome by SneakinDeacon from New River Valley, Va, United States (CC BY-SA 2.0), Jaylen Wells by Senior Airman TraVonna Hawkins (Public domain).
Player props
Prop hit rates: Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies
Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.
Damian Lillard
Portland Trail Blazers · G · last 4 games
Ja Morant
Portland Trail Blazers · G · last 4 games
Ty Jerome
Memphis Grizzlies · G · last 4 games
C. Boozer
Memphis Grizzlies · F · last 4 games
Jaylen Wells
Memphis Grizzlies · F · last 4 games
From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies: quick answers
- What is the predicted total for Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies?
- The AI models' mean predicted score is Portland Trail Blazers 121, Memphis Grizzlies 115: a projected total of 236 points. Portland Trail Blazers games went over 230.5 in 2 of the last 4; Memphis Grizzlies games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 4.
- What is the AI spread pick for Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies?
- The consensus has Portland Trail Blazers winning by 6 points (121–115), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
- Who are the key players in Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies?
- Leading scorers over the last 4 games. Portland Trail Blazers: Deni Avdija (23.3 pts, 7.3 reb, 5.8 ast), Damian Lillard (19.8 pts, 4 reb, 4 ast). Memphis Grizzlies: Ty Jerome (29.8 pts, 3.5 reb, 6.3 ast), C. Boozer (15.3 pts, 10.5 reb, 4.8 ast).
- Is Portland Trail Blazers or Memphis Grizzlies on a back-to-back?
- Portland Trail Blazers have had 2 days of rest; Memphis Grizzlies have had 3 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights
What’s moving the panel.
01
Consensus favors Portland Trail Blazers
100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.
02
Medium confidence
Mean 59% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.
03
Expected points tilt 118.80 vs 111.70
Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.
04
Match context
Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.
Ask the Council about this match
Pro10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.
Confidence trend
Cumulative average confidence in table order.
First model
Last model
Match overview
Looking for a today prediction on Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (121 - 115; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.
This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Portland Trail Blazers win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).
If you are asking who will win Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.
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Ask multiple AIs about this match.
10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.