VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40%
NBA · Regular Season Smoothie King Center, New Orleans Not Started

New Orleans Pelicans
vs
Memphis Grizzlies.

Quick answer

Who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies?

10 of 10 AI models pick Memphis Grizzlies to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 117–118 at 68% average confidence (high).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 64% of the time (55 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward Memphis Grizzlies (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 117–118 at 68% mean confidence (High band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where New Orleans Pelicans and Memphis Grizzlies stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

New Orleans Pelicans win 0%

0 / 10 models

Memphis Grizzlies win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Memphis Grizzlies win
117–118
70%
Memphis is unbeaten with a 102.5 defensive rating and stronger recent scoring balance, while New Orleans is 0-4 and has allowed 121.6 points per game over its last five. Both teams have two days' rest; Murray's recent absence adds uncertainty for the Pelicans.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Memphis Grizzlies win
117–118
66%
Memphis is 4-0 with a 102.5 defensive rating and strong shooting, while New Orleans is 0-4 with a weak defense and Dejounte Murray's status uncertain. Home court keeps it within a possession or two.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Memphis Grizzlies win
111–118
64%
Memphis enters in stellar form with an undefeated 4-0 record and elite defense, while New Orleans struggles at 0-4 and is missing key guard Dejounte Murray.
04
Grok 4.7
Memphis Grizzlies win
108–117
66%
Memphis is 4-0 with a much better defense and net rating, while 0-4 New Orleans may be without Murray. Equal rest and recent H2H wins do not offset that gap.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Memphis Grizzlies win
116–117
68%
Memphis is 4-0 with a top-3 defense and strong shooting, while New Orleans is 0-4 and missing Dejounte Murray. Grizzlies' form and depth outweigh Pelicans' home edge.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Memphis Grizzlies win
118–119
73%
Memphis is 4-0 with elite defense (102.5 per 100) and hot shooting; Pelicans are 0-4, potentially without Murray, and allow 113+ per 100. Form gap is decisive.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
Memphis Grizzlies win
110–119
72%
Grizzlies 4-0 with 102.5 defense and 39.4% threes vs 0-4 Pelicans allowing 121.6; equal 2-day rest, Memphis net rating and form edge travels.
08
Kimi K3
Memphis Grizzlies win
110–118
66%
Memphis is 4-0 with elite defense (102.5 per 100) and 39.4% three-point shooting; winless Pelicans allow 121.6 lately and may miss Murray, so Grizzlies control a fast game despite New Orleans' home court.
09
GLM 5.3
Memphis Grizzlies win
112–120
65%
Memphis is 4-0 with a dominant 113.9/102.5 net profile, while winless New Orleans may miss Dejounte Murray; recent H2H home wins keep the margin modest rather than a blowout.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Memphis Grizzlies win
118–119
68%
Memphis is 4-0 with elite defense (102.5 per 100) and hot 39.4% shooting, while New Orleans sits 0-4 and may miss Dejounte Murray. Both rested, but Grizzlies' form and edge on both ends decide it.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

2 of 8 models settled on 117–118. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 117–118
    2 models
  • 118–119
    2 models
  • 116–117
    1 model
  • 108–117
    1 model
  • 111–118
    1 model
  • 110–118
    1 model

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Grizzlies −1
AI total
235
Models picking
100%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 5 games
Zion Williamson
Zion Williamson
New Orleans Pelicans · F
21.8 PTS 25.8
4.2 REB 3.2
2.2 AST 5.6
32 MIN 30
Ty Jerome
Ty Jerome
Memphis Grizzlies · G

New Orleans Pelicans

0-4 · #14 Western
Home 0-2 · Away 0-2 · Last ten 0-4 · Streak L4
2 days of rest · 4 games in 7 days

Memphis Grizzlies

4-0 · #3 Western
Home 1-0 · Away 3-0 · Last ten 4-0 · Streak W4
2 days of rest · 3 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Did not play last game

Regulars missing from the latest box score: injury, rest or suspension. Check the status before tip-off.

  • Dejounte Murray
    Dejounte Murray Pelicans · G
    32 min · 17.8 pts a game before

Season averages per game

New Orleans Pelicans Memphis Grizzlies
115.4 Points 118
46.4% Field goal % 46.1%
31.5% 3-point % 39.4%
77% Free throw % 82.4%
45.3 Rebounds 46.1
24.3 Assists 27.3
17.8 Turnovers 16.4
13.3 Steals 8.9
5.2 Blocks 4

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

PelicansGrizzlies
Offensive rating 107.5 113.9
Defensive rating 113.2 102.5
Net rating -5.7 +11.4
Pace 107.4 103.6
Effective FG % 52.2 54.6
Turnover % 16.6 15.9
Free throw rate 34.6 29.3
3-point attempt rate 36.8 43.3

Key players · New Orleans Pelicans

  • Zion Williamson
    Zion WilliamsonF 21.8 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.2 ast
  • Dejounte Murray
    Dejounte MurrayG 17.8 pts · 5.8 reb · 6 ast
  • TI
    Trey Murphy IIIF 14.2 pts · 4.4 reb · 2.8 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Key players · Memphis Grizzlies

  • Ty Jerome
    Ty JeromeG 25.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 5.6 ast
  • CB
    C. BoozerF 15.8 pts · 10.8 reb · 6.2 ast
  • CC
    C. CowardF 13.8 pts · 9 reb · 2.8 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Last ten games

New Orleans Pelicans WLLLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
119.4 / 121.6
Total over 220.5
4/5
Total over 230.5
4/5
Scored 110+
4/5
Won by 6+
1/5
Memphis Grizzlies WWWWW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
118.2 / 106.2
Total over 220.5
3/5
Total over 230.5
1/5
Scored 110+
5/5
Won by 6+
3/5

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Zion Williamson by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Dejounte Murray by Erik Drost (CC BY 2.0), Ty Jerome by SneakinDeacon from New River Valley, Va, United States (CC BY-SA 2.0), Jaylen Wells by Senior Airman TraVonna Hawkins (Public domain).

Player props

Prop hit rates: New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson

New Orleans Pelicans · F · last 5 games
Points o21.5 4/5 · 80% Ask AI
22
23
17
25
22
Rebounds o4.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
4
5
1
5
6
Pts + Reb + Ast o28.5 4/5 · 80% Ask AI
29
30
20
32
30
Dejounte Murray

Dejounte Murray

New Orleans Pelicans · G · last 4 games
Points o17.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
23
16
22
10
Rebounds o5.5 3/4 · 75% Ask AI
3
6
6
8
Assists o6.5 1/4 · 25% Ask AI
7
6
6
5
Pts + Reb + Ast o29.5 2/4 · 50% Ask AI
33
28
34
23
TI

Trey Murphy III

New Orleans Pelicans · F · last 5 games
Points o14.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
11
9
26
6
19
Rebounds o4.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
4
6
6
1
5
Pts + Reb + Ast o21.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
16
18
36
10
27
3-pointers made o2.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
2
1
4
2
2
Ty Jerome

Ty Jerome

Memphis Grizzlies · G · last 5 games
Points o25.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
45
28
31
15
10
Assists o5.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
6
5
6
8
3
Pts + Reb + Ast o34.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
58
35
41
24
15
3-pointers made o2.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
5
3
1
1
1
CB

C. Boozer

Memphis Grizzlies · F · last 5 games
Points o15.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
7
25
16
13
18
Rebounds o10.5 4/5 · 80% Ask AI
11
13
11
7
12
Assists o6.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
5
6
4
4
12
Pts + Reb + Ast o32.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
23
44
31
24
42
3-pointers made o2.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
0
4
2
1
4
Jaylen Wells

Jaylen Wells

Memphis Grizzlies · F · last 5 games
Points o13.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
12
17
16
14
10
Pts + Reb + Ast o18.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
17
24
24
17
11
3-pointers made o2.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
1
4
2
2
2

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies: quick answers

What is the predicted total for New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies?
The AI models' mean predicted score is New Orleans Pelicans 117, Memphis Grizzlies 118: a projected total of 235 points. New Orleans Pelicans games went over 230.5 in 4 of the last 5; Memphis Grizzlies games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 5.
What is the AI spread pick for New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies?
The consensus has Memphis Grizzlies winning by 1 points (118–117), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies?
Leading scorers over the last 5 games. New Orleans Pelicans: Zion Williamson (21.8 pts, 4.2 reb, 2.2 ast), Dejounte Murray (17.8 pts, 5.8 reb, 6 ast). Memphis Grizzlies: Ty Jerome (25.8 pts, 3.2 reb, 5.6 ast), C. Boozer (15.8 pts, 10.8 reb, 6.2 ast).
Is New Orleans Pelicans or Memphis Grizzlies on a back-to-back?
New Orleans Pelicans have had 2 days of rest; Memphis Grizzlies have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Memphis Grizzlies

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
High confidence

Mean 68% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 113.70 vs 118.30

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (117 - 118; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Memphis Grizzlies win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 100% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.