MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% FAL 0-2 CEL · 62%
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NBA · Regular Season Frost Bank Center, San Antonio Not Started

San Antonio Spurs
vs
Golden State Warriors.

Quick answer

Who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors?

10 of 10 AI models pick San Antonio Spurs to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 118–112 at 60% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before tip-off. Not betting advice.

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 64% of the time (55 games).

10 AI models read this game. The plurality on the winner leans toward San Antonio Spurs (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 118–112 at 60% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

NBA standings Where San Antonio Spurs and Golden State Warriors stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

San Antonio Spurs win 100%

10 / 10 models

Golden State Warriors win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
San Antonio Spurs win
117–112
60%
San Antonio's three-game streak, Wembanyama's strong recent scoring, and home court favor the Spurs; Golden State's Curry is in excellent form, so a close, high-scoring game is likely.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
San Antonio Spurs win
117–111
60%
Spurs have the better defensive rating (103.7 vs 109.4), Wembanyama is in strong form, and they have won three straight at home with equal rest. Curry's scoring and the Warriors' 3-point shooting keep it close, and the Spurs won the last two meetings by double digits.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
San Antonio Spurs win
118–112
58%
San Antonio rides a three-game win streak with Victor Wembanyama in dominant form and boasts superior defensive rating (103.7) to withstand Stephen Curry's scoring.
04
Grok 4.7
San Antonio Spurs win
116–109
60%
Spurs' better defense, Wembanyama's form and home court outweigh Curry's scoring. Equal rest and a small early-season sample keep the edge modest.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
San Antonio Spurs win
116–111
58%
Spurs are on a three-game win streak with Wembanyama anchoring both ends, and they beat Golden State twice last season. Warriors' Curry is hot but they allow 114.3 per game, so San Antonio's home edge and better defense should hold.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
San Antonio Spurs win
118–112
63%
Spurs' superior defense (103.7 vs 109.4 per 100), rebounding edge with Wembanyama, and 3-game win streak at home outweigh Curry's scoring; H2H in 2026 also favors San Antonio.
07
Meta Muse Spark 1.3
San Antonio Spurs win
118–111
60%
Spurs on W3 with elite 103.7 defensive rating and back-to-back H2H wins at Golden State; Wembanyama form plus home venue offsets Curry's hot scoring.
08
Kimi K3
San Antonio Spurs win
118–112
62%
Spurs on a 3-game win streak with Wembanyama dominant and the league's better defense (103.7 per 100); they also took both 2026 H2H meetings by double digits. Curry keeps Golden State close, but San Antonio's home form and defensive edge prevail.
09
GLM 5.3
San Antonio Spurs win
118–113
56%
Spurs' elite defense (103.7 per 100) and W3 streak at home edge out hot Curry; Warriors' high turnovers (17.8%) and H2H road struggles tip a close game.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
San Antonio Spurs win
118–112
58%
Spurs' W3 streak, Wembanyama's 25/11 form and home floor outweigh Curry's 28.8 ppg; both teams push pace, and San Antonio's rebounding edge should decide a tight one.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 9 models settled on 118–112. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before tip-off.

  • 118–112
    4 models
  • 117–112
    1 model
  • 117–111
    1 model
  • 116–111
    1 model
  • 116–109
    1 model
  • 118–113
    1 model

Standings, rest and form

Where both teams stand, how rested they are, who carries the scoring and how their last ten games went.

AI spread
Spurs −6
AI total
230
Models picking
100%

From the mean predicted score of every model. Compare with your sportsbook's line.

Star matchup · last 4 games
Victor Wembanyama
Victor Wembanyama
San Antonio Spurs · F
25 PTS 30.8
11.4 REB 4.3
2.8 AST 4.8
32 MIN 30
Stephen Curry
Stephen Curry
Golden State Warriors · G

San Antonio Spurs

3-2 · #7 Western
Home 1-2 · Away 2-0 · Last ten 3-2 · Streak W3
2 days of rest · 4 games in 7 days

Golden State Warriors

2-3 · #10 Western
Home 0-1 · Away 2-2 · Last ten 2-3 · Streak W2
2 days of rest · 3 games in 7 days
Full NBA standings & playoff race →

Season averages per game

San Antonio Spurs Golden State Warriors
115.5 Points 115.3
45.2% Field goal % 45.1%
34.9% 3-point % 37.7%
79% Free throw % 78.3%
47.5 Rebounds 43.7
26.8 Assists 26.6
17.1 Turnovers 18.5
9.4 Steals 11.3
6.5 Blocks 4.5

Ratings and four factors

Per 100 possessions. Pace is possessions per game; defence uses points allowed over the last ten.

SpursWarriors
Offensive rating 108.9 110.8
Defensive rating 103.7 107.3
Net rating +5.2 +3.5
Pace 106.1 104
Effective FG % 52.7 53.7
Turnover % 16.1 17.8
Free throw rate 27.8 32.8
3-point attempt rate 43 45.4

Key players · San Antonio Spurs

  • Victor Wembanyama
    Victor WembanyamaF 25 pts · 11.4 reb · 2.8 ast
  • Stephon Castle
    Stephon CastleG 17.4 pts · 5.8 reb · 5.4 ast
  • DH
    D. HarperG 17.2 pts · 5.2 reb · 4.6 ast

Averages over the last 5 games.

Key players · Golden State Warriors

  • Stephen Curry
    Stephen CurryG 30.8 pts · 4.3 reb · 4.8 ast
  • BP
    Brandin PodziemskiG 16.3 pts · 4.8 reb · 5 ast
  • De'Anthony Melton
    De'Anthony MeltonG 12.4 pts · 4.2 reb · 2.2 ast

Averages over the last 4 games.

Last ten games

San Antonio Spurs WWWLL
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
116.6 / 110
Total over 220.5
4/5
Total over 230.5
1/5
Scored 110+
4/5
Won by 6+
3/5
Golden State Warriors WWWLLLW
Winning and losing margins, oldest to newest
Points scored / allowed
114.4 / 111.6
Total over 220.5
4/7
Total over 230.5
4/7
Scored 110+
4/7
Won by 6+
3/7

Player photos via Wikimedia Commons: Victor Wembanyama by Frenchieinportland (CC BY 4.0), Stephon Castle by Petsbikes (CC BY-SA 4.0), Stephen Curry by Clément Bardot (CC BY-SA 4.0), De'Anthony Melton by Frenchieinportland (CC BY-SA 4.0).

Player props

Prop hit rates: San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors

Each line sits at the player's recent average. Bars show every game, green when he went over.

Victor Wembanyama

Victor Wembanyama

San Antonio Spurs · F · last 5 games
Points o25.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
12
25
23
29
36
Rebounds o11.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
13
13
7
10
14
Pts + Reb + Ast o39.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
28
40
32
41
55
3-pointers made o1.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
0
2
2
0
4
Stephon Castle

Stephon Castle

San Antonio Spurs · G · last 5 games
Points o17.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
24
15
19
15
14
Rebounds o5.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
7
7
4
5
6
Assists o5.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
1
5
8
5
8
Pts + Reb + Ast o28.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
32
27
31
25
28
3-pointers made o3.5 1/5 · 20% Ask AI
5
3
3
3
1
DH

D. Harper

San Antonio Spurs · G · last 5 games
Points o17.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
18
20
22
13
13
Rebounds o5.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
7
3
5
6
5
Assists o4.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
5
2
2
6
8
Pts + Reb + Ast o27.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
30
25
29
25
26
Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry

Golden State Warriors · G · last 6 games
Points o26.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
11
23
24
24
44
31
Assists o3.5 3/6 · 50% Ask AI
2
1
4
3
6
6
Pts + Reb + Ast o33.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
15
26
30
30
58
41
3-pointers made o4.5 2/6 · 33% Ask AI
3
2
3
3
6
8
BP

Brandin Podziemski

Golden State Warriors · G · last 5 games
Points o16.5 4/5 · 80% Ask AI
17
18
18
8
21
Rebounds o4.5 4/5 · 80% Ask AI
5
2
7
5
5
Assists o4.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
2
3
5
6
6
Pts + Reb + Ast o25.5 2/5 · 40% Ask AI
24
23
30
19
32
3-pointers made o2.5 3/5 · 60% Ask AI
3
2
3
0
4
De'Anthony Melton

De'Anthony Melton

Golden State Warriors · G · last 7 games
Points o10.5 2/7 · 29% Ask AI
8
0
10
25
3
8
16
Pts + Reb + Ast o15.5 2/7 · 29% Ask AI
12
4
11
35
10
14
24
3-pointers made o2.5 2/7 · 29% Ask AI
1
0
2
4
1
2
4

From box scores of each team's recent games. Lines are our reference points, not sportsbook prices.

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors: quick answers

What is the predicted total for San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors?
The AI models' mean predicted score is San Antonio Spurs 118, Golden State Warriors 112: a projected total of 230 points. San Antonio Spurs games went over 230.5 in 1 of the last 5; Golden State Warriors games went over 230.5 in 4 of the last 7.
What is the AI spread pick for San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors?
The consensus has San Antonio Spurs winning by 6 points (118–112), from the mean of every model's predicted score.
Who are the key players in San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors?
Leading scorers over the last 4 games. San Antonio Spurs: Victor Wembanyama (25 pts, 11.4 reb, 2.8 ast), Stephon Castle (17.4 pts, 5.8 reb, 5.4 ast). Golden State Warriors: Stephen Curry (30.8 pts, 4.3 reb, 4.8 ast), Brandin Podziemski (16.3 pts, 4.8 reb, 5 ast).
Is San Antonio Spurs or Golden State Warriors on a back-to-back?
San Antonio Spurs have had 2 days of rest; Golden State Warriors have had 2 days of rest.
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors San Antonio Spurs

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before tip-off.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 60% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
Expected points tilt 117.40 vs 111.50

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live game data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Rest, recent form and home advantage usually decide whether the favourite wins comfortably or the game stays close; check both teams below.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Ask with match data Ask without data (free)

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors in NBA? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (118 - 112; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before tip-off.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is San Antonio Spurs win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% home and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

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Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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