EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
DFB Pokal · Round of 32 Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum Match Finished · 90'

VfL Bochum
vs
FSV Mainz 05.

Quick answer

Who will win VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05?

Final score: VfL Bochum 2–0 FSV Mainz 05. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick FSV Mainz 05 to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–2.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → VfL Bochum form FSV Mainz 05 form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (806 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward FSV Mainz 05 (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 54% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

VfL Bochum win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

FSV Mainz 05 win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
FSV Mainz 05 win
0–2
64%
Mainz’s 9-0 cup start and four recent goals from P. Tietz indicate a sharper attack, while Bochum have lost the last two meetings without scoring. Bochum’s home venue keeps the margin modest.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
FSV Mainz 05 win
1–2
50%
Mainz routed opponents 9-0 this cup run and dominate recent H2H meetings, but Bochum's home form and cup win keep it competitive.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
FSV Mainz 05 win
1–2
48%
Mainz have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning comfortably in Bochum earlier in the year. Their attacking efficiency in the cup gives them the edge.
04
Grok 4.7
FSV Mainz 05 win
1–2
48%
Mainz dominate recent H2H and scored 9-0 in the cup; Bochum’s home edge is modest against that attack.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
FSV Mainz 05 win
0–2
62%
Mainz dominated recent H2H with three straight wins and scored 9 in their Pokal opener; Bochum's defense has struggled, making an away clean-sheet win likely.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
FSV Mainz 05 win
1–2
45%
Mainz dominated H2H (4W in last 5) and destroyed their first-round cup opponent 9-0; Bochum's home edge may yield one goal but Mainz's attacking quality should prevail.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
FSV Mainz 05 win
1–2
62%
Mainz's dominant DFB-Pokal form (9-0) and recent H2H wins (4-1, 2-0) outweigh Bochum's home edge.
08
Kimi K3
FSV Mainz 05 win
0–2
58%
Mainz dominate H2H (W4 D1) and arrive with a 9-0 cup win; Bochum's leaky defence and Mainz's clean-sheet form point to an away win, likely with Bochum blanked.
09
GLM 5.3
FSV Mainz 05 win
2–3
52%
Mainz crushed their cup tie 9-0 and have dominated recent H2H meetings with Bochum; Bochum's home venue keeps it competitive but Mainz edge a 2-1.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
FSV Mainz 05 win
1–2
55%
Mainz's 9-0 cup run and Tietz/Amiri form outweigh Bochum's home edge; H2H shows Mainz winning four straight, including 4-1 at Bochum. Expect a competitive but away-leaning game.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    6 models
  • 0–2
    3 models
  • 2–3
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
VfL Bochum
Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen 46'
Philipp Hofmann 75'
2–0
FSV Mainz 05
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

Unlock with Pro in the app

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 5.25 / 4.10 / 1.60
VfL Bochum Market 18% · AI 0%
Draw Market 23% · AI 0%
FSV Mainz 05 Market 59% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05

VfL Bochum

4-2-3-1
U. Rösler
7 C. Rasmussen
7 Rasmussen
17 G. Holtmann
17 Holtmann
10 B. Taz
10 Taz
14 J. Steuckers
14 Steuckers
24 M. Pannewig
24 Pannewig
34 T. Meyer
34 Meyer
32 M. Wittek
32 Wittek
5 K. Mets
5 Mets
15 M. Steinwender
15 Steinwender
2 S. Klaiber
2 Klaiber
1 T. Horn
1 Horn

Bench: T. Casali, D. Hanslik, P. Hofmann, L. Isbruch, Y. Karademir, K. Miyoshi, M. Ouro-Tagba, C. Patino, L. Sawas

FSV Mainz 05

3-5-2
U. Fischer
9 P. Tietz
9 Tietz
23 S. Becker
23 Becker
2 P. Mwene
2 Mwene
7 Lee Jae-Sung
7 Jae-Sung
6 K. Sano
6 Sano
8 P. Nebel
8 Nebel
30 S. Widmer
30 Widmer
48 K. Potulski
48 Potulski
4 S. Posch
4 Posch
21 D. da Costa
21 Costa
1 A. Schwolow
1 Schwolow

Bench: R. Nakuzola, E. Martel, L. Maloney, R. Königsdörffer, S. Kawasaki, B. Hollerbach, F. Gruber, A. Caci, R. Zentner

Season data

DFB Pokal numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

VfL Bochum

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
1-0-0
Goals
2-1
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
0
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

FSV Mainz 05

3-1-4-2
W-D-L
1-0-0
Goals
9-0
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · VfL Bochum

  • P. Hofmann 2 G · 0 A · 2 apps
  • C. Rasmussen 2 G · 0 A · 2 apps

Key players · FSV Mainz 05

  • P. Tietz 4 G · 0 A · 2 apps
  • N. Amiri 2 G · 2 A · 1 apps
  • P. Mwene 0 G · 2 A · 2 apps

Top scorers · DFB Pokal

  1. 1 P. Tietz FSV Mainz 05 4
  2. 2 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 1. FC Köln 3
  3. 3 L. Gindorf Hannover 96 3
  4. 4 D. Pejčinović VfB Stuttgart 3
  5. 5 N. Füllkrug Werder Bremen 3
Venue Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum
Referee Michael Bacher
New at VfL Bochum J. Steuckers (Genk), C. Patino (Deportivo La Coruna), S. Klaiber (Brondby)
New at FSV Mainz 05 A. Schwolow (Heart Of Midlothian), A. Haidara (FSV Mainz 05), S. Kawasaki (Kyoto Sanga)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors FSV Mainz 05

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 54% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.80 vs 2.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric VfL Bochum FSV Mainz 05 Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 4.1 3.7 7.8 Over 7.5 52% 11 hit Ask AI
Yellow cards 2.9 2.0 4.9 Over 4.5 54% 4 miss Ask AI
Shots 15.5 13.1 28.6 Under 28.5 51% 17 hit Ask AI
Shots on target 5.5 6.0 11.5 Under 11.5 52% 8 hit Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 304 graded matches, cards 59% of 305. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual VfL Bochum win · AI FSV Mainz 05 win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

VfL Bochum
—
Last 5
W W D L L
5 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Energie Cottbus 1-2 W
  • FSV Mainz 05 2-0 W
  • VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 D
  • 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2-0 L
  • Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

FSV Mainz 05
—
Last 5
L L L W L
7 GF · 13 GA
Recent fixtures
  • SV Elversberg 4-1 L
  • VfL Bochum 2-0 L
  • Werder Bremen 2-3 L
  • FC Schalke 04 0-1 W
  • Bayer Leverkusen 3-4 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

VFL 1 · D 1 · FSV 3

VFL VS FSV
2-0
HOME WIN
Oct 27, 2026
VFL VS FSV
1-4
AWAY WIN
May 10, 2025
FSV VS VFL
2-0
HOME WIN
Jan 11, 2025
FSV VS VFL
2-0
HOME WIN
Mar 16, 2024
VFL VS FSV
2-2
DRAW
Oct 27, 2023

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with VfL Bochum, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight DFB Pokal games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

VfL Bochum
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
FSV Mainz 05
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When VfL Bochum is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: FSV Mainz 05 win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05 in DFB Pokal? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is FSV Mainz 05 win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.