EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
DFB Pokal · Round of 32 Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg Match Finished · 90'

SC Freiburg
vs
VfL Wolfsburg.

Quick answer

Who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?

Final score: SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg. Before kickoff, 9 of 10 AI models pick SC Freiburg to win (90%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 2–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → SC Freiburg form VfL Wolfsburg form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward SC Freiburg (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 52% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

SC Freiburg win 90%

9 / 10 models

Draw 10%

1 / 10 models

VfL Wolfsburg win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
SC Freiburg win
2–1
54%
Freiburg have won their recent meetings and bring a strong cup opening result, while Wolfsburg’s draw and home venue advantage favor Freiburg. Both scored in their latest cup matches, supporting a narrow, open home win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
SC Freiburg win
2–1
52%
Freiburg scoring freely this cup run (5-1) and H2H often open/high-scoring; Wolfsburg leaks goals too, favoring a narrow home win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
SC Freiburg win
2–1
52%
Freiburg holds strong home form at Europa-Park Stadion and edges recent head-to-head encounters against a Wolfsburg side prone to conceding in cup ties.
04
Grok 4.7
SC Freiburg win
2–1
52%
Freiburg at Europa-Park with a 5-1 Pokal win and recent H2H edge; Wolfsburg drew 3-3 and score late. Open cup tie, home side nicks it.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
SC Freiburg win
2–1
48%
Freiburg's DFB Pokal form and home venue edge, plus H2H wins in 3 of last 4; Wolfsburg's cup draw and leaky defense suggest a narrow home win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
SC Freiburg win
2–1
48%
Freiburg's strong Pokal form (5-1 first round) and home H2H edge support a narrow win; Wolfsburg's defensive frailty (3-3 draw) but ability to score keeps it tight.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
58%
Freiburg strong at home but Wolfsburg resilient; recent H2H draws and both sides scoring late suggest tight game.
08
Kimi K3
SC Freiburg win
2–1
52%
Freiburg hold home edge and won three of the last four H2H meetings; Wolfsburg score consistently but concede often, so a narrow home win in an open cup tie.
09
GLM 5.3
SC Freiburg win
2–1
52%
Freiburg unbeaten in last four H2H meetings and dominant in their cup opener (5-1), while Wolfsburg drew 3-3; home venue tips a tight, open game toward Freiburg.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
SC Freiburg win
2–1
54%
Freiburg unbeaten in last five H2H and strong at Europa-Park; both sides score and concede in cup play, so a narrow home win fits better than a clean sheet.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    9 models
  • 1–1
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
SC Freiburg
Igor Matanović 6'
Keisuke Goto 75', 90+2'
3–2
VfL Wolfsburg
Kento Shiogai 8', 43'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

Unlock with Pro in the app

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.70 / 3.90 / 4.50
SC Freiburg Market 55% · AI 90%
Draw Market 24% · AI 10%
VfL Wolfsburg Market 21% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
J. Schuster
31 I. Matanović
31 Matanović
32 V. Grifo
32 Grifo
14 Y. Suzuki
14 Suzuki
22 Cyriaque Kalou Irié
22 Irié
16 Y. Engelhardt
16 Engelhardt
8 M. Eggestein
8 Eggestein
30 C. Günter
30 Günter
37 M. Rosenfelder
37 Rosenfelder
28 M. Ginter
28 Ginter
29 P. Treu
29 Treu
21 F. Müller
21 Müller

Bench: M. Backhaus, J. Beste, K. Goto, L. Höler, A. Jung, L. Kübler, P. Lienhart, P. Osterhage, R. Yamamoto

VfL Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
Tobias Strobl
7 K. Shiogai
7 Shiogai
37 E. Rexhbeçaj
37 Rexhbeçaj
20 M. Damar
20 Damar
17 A. Bernhardsson
17 Bernhardsson
27 M. Arnold
27 Arnold
5 Vinicius Souza
5 Souza
21 J. Mæhle
21 Mæhle
33 Cleiton
33 Cleiton
6 H. Wahl
6 Wahl
26 S. Kumbedi
26 Kumbedi
1 T. Wellenreuther
1 Wellenreuther

Bench: A. Besio, Bence Dárdai, K. Fischer, Y. Gerhardt, R. Glatzel, F. Reese, J. Zieliński, J. Adjetey, M. Angely

Season data

DFB Pokal numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
1-0-0
Goals
5-1
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
0
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

VfL Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
0-1-0
Goals
3-3
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
0
Best win run
0
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · SC Freiburg

  • I. Matanović 2 G · 1 A · 1 apps

Key players · VfL Wolfsburg

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Top scorers · DFB Pokal

  1. 1 P. Tietz FSV Mainz 05 4
  2. 2 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 1. FC Köln 3
  3. 3 L. Gindorf Hannover 96 3
  4. 4 D. Pejčinović VfB Stuttgart 3
  5. 5 N. Füllkrug Werder Bremen 3
Venue Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg
Referee Soren Storks
New at SC Freiburg Louey Ben Farhat (Karlsruher SC), Y. Engelhardt (Como), K. Goto (Anderlecht)
New at VfL Wolfsburg A. Bernhardsson (Holstein Kiel), M. Damar (1899 Hoffenheim), T. Wellenreuther (Feyenoord)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors SC Freiburg

90% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 52% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.90 vs 1.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric SC Freiburg VfL Wolfsburg Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 4.2 4.9 9.1 Under 9.5 57% 9 hit Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.1 1.8 2.9 Over 2.5 55% 5 hit Ask AI
Shots 14.7 12.7 27.4 Under 27.5 52% 23 hit Ask AI
Shots on target 5.3 5.1 10.4 Under 10.5 53% 5 hit Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 304 graded matches, cards 59% of 305. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual SC Freiburg win · AI SC Freiburg win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

SC Freiburg
—
Last 5
W W L L L
7 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • FC Augsburg 1-2 W
  • VfL Wolfsburg 3-2 W
  • Bayern München 1-3 L
  • Monaco 3-0 L
  • Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

VfL Wolfsburg
—
Last 5
W L D W D
12 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • VfL Osnabrück 2-0 W
  • SC Freiburg 3-2 L
  • VfL Bochum 1-1 D
  • 1. FC Heidenheim 3-1 W
  • 1. FC Nürnberg 4-4 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

SCF 4 · D 1 · VFL 0

SCF VS VFL
3-2
HOME WIN
Oct 28, 2026
SCF VS VFL
1-1
DRAW
May 3, 2026
VFL VS SCF
3-4
AWAY WIN
Dec 20, 2025
VFL VS SCF
0-1
AWAY WIN
Apr 26, 2025
SCF VS VFL
3-2
HOME WIN
Dec 13, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 90% of models side with SC Freiburg, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 10% — tight DFB Pokal games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

SC Freiburg
~90%
implied lean
Draw
~10%
implied lean
VfL Wolfsburg
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When SC Freiburg is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: SC Freiburg win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg in DFB Pokal? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is SC Freiburg win, with vote shares roughly 90% / 10% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

Related matches

— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.