EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
DFB Pokal · Round of 32 Holstein-Stadion, Kiel Match Finished · 120'

Holstein Kiel
vs
1899 Hoffenheim.

Quick answer

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

Final score: Holstein Kiel 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick 1899 Hoffenheim to win (100%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–2.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Holstein Kiel form 1899 Hoffenheim form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (806 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward 1899 Hoffenheim (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–2 at 54% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Holstein Kiel win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

1899 Hoffenheim win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
1899 Hoffenheim win
1–2
64%
Hoffenheim have won the last four meetings, including a recent 3-1 victory, and began this cup campaign with a stronger 4-0 result. Kiel’s home advantage may keep this close, but Hoffenheim’s attacking edge favors a narrow away win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
1899 Hoffenheim win
1–2
50%
Hoffenheim won all four recent H2H meetings and scored 4-0 this cup, showing stronger attacking quality despite Kiel's home edge.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
1899 Hoffenheim win
1–2
53%
Hoffenheim consistently dominate this head-to-head with superior attacking quality led by Wimmer, though Kiel at home should manage a competitive cup display.
04
Grok 4.7
1899 Hoffenheim win
1–2
48%
Hoffenheim dominate recent H2H and look a class above; Kiel’s home cup win and stadium keep it tight rather than a rout.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
1899 Hoffenheim win
1–3
48%
Hoffenheim have won all four recent H2H meetings, scoring three or more in three of them, and Kiel's home edge is modest. Their Pokal attack also looked sharper with a 4-0 win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
1899 Hoffenheim win
1–3
48%
Hoffenheim won all four recent H2H meetings scoring 3+ each time; quality gap between Bundesliga and lower-division Kiel supports another multi-goal away victory.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
1899 Hoffenheim win
1–2
62%
Hoffenheim's strong DFB Pokal form and historical dominance over Kiel outweigh home advantage.
08
Kimi K3
1899 Hoffenheim win
1–2
58%
Hoffenheim have won all four recent H2H meetings including a 3-1 friendly in July, and bring Bundesliga quality with Wimmer in form. Kiel's home advantage and cup resilience should yield a goal, but Hoffenheim's superior attacking depth likely secures a narrow victory.
09
GLM 5.3
1899 Hoffenheim win
1–2
52%
Hoffenheim won all four recent H2H meetings, scoring freely, and opened this cup run 4-0; Kiel's home edge is real but Hoffenheim's attack travels well.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
1899 Hoffenheim win
1–2
52%
Hoffenheim won all four H2H meetings, including 3-1 at Kiel in July, and Wimmer's form plus a 4-0 cup run suggest more firepower than Kiel's 2-0.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

8 of 10 models settled on 1–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–2
    8 models
  • 1–3
    2 models

Live match centre

Full-time
Holstein Kiel
Adrian Kapralik 23'
1–1
1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Hložek 11'
Pro

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 6.00 / 4.33 / 1.50
Holstein Kiel Market 16% · AI 0%
Draw Market 21% · AI 0%
1899 Hoffenheim Market 63% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim

Holstein Kiel

4-1-4-1
T. Walter
19 P. Harres
19 Harres
10 J. Therkelsen
10 Therkelsen
15 K. Davidsen
15 Davidsen
27 I. Ugoh
27 Ugoh
20 A. Kaprálik
20 Kaprálik
28 J. Meffert
28 Meffert
40 Leon Parduzi
40 Parduzi
13 I. Nekić
13 Nekić
5 N. Madsen
5 Madsen
32 H. Sekine
32 Sekine
41
41 Rothenhagen

Bench: F. Alidou, G. Balzi, G. de Regt, G. Kvilitaia, Mark Richter Monserrat, J. Tolkin, T. Weiner, T. Wiese, D. Zec

1899 Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1
C. Ilzer
19 T. Lemperle
19 Lemperle
22 A. Prass
22 Prass
10 A. Hložek
10 Hložek
27 A. Kramarić
27 Kramarić
18 W. Burger
18 Burger
7 L. Avdullahu
7 Avdullahu
13 Bernardo
13 Bernardo
28 K. Machida
28 Machida
2 R. Hranáč
2 Hranáč
15 V. Gendrey
15 Gendrey
37 L. Philipp
37 Philipp

Bench: M. Rots, Cajetan Benjamin Lenz, O. Kabak, A. Daghim, V. Coufal, B. Conté, O. Baumann, F. Asllani, Natnael Abraha

Season data

DFB Pokal numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Holstein Kiel

4-1-4-1
W-D-L
1-0-0
Goals
2-0
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

1899 Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
1-0-0
Goals
4-0
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Holstein Kiel

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · 1899 Hoffenheim

  • P. Wimmer 2 G · 1 A · 1 apps

Top scorers · DFB Pokal

  1. 1 P. Tietz FSV Mainz 05 4
  2. 2 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 1. FC Köln 3
  3. 3 L. Gindorf Hannover 96 3
  4. 4 D. Pejčinović VfB Stuttgart 3
  5. 5 N. Füllkrug Werder Bremen 3
Venue Holstein-Stadion, Kiel
Referee Bastian Dankert
New at Holstein Kiel T. Hense (Eimsbütteler TV), Eryk Artur Grzywacz (VfL Wolfsburg), N. Madsen (Maritimo)
New at 1899 Hoffenheim A. Daghim (Red Bull Salzburg), Nathan De Cat (Anderlecht), A. Skender (Omonia Nicosia)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors 1899 Hoffenheim

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 54% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.00 vs 2.20

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Holstein Kiel 1899 Hoffenheim Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 7.6 5.9 13.5 Under 13.5 52% 16 miss Ask AI
Yellow cards 2.8 2.4 5.2 Under 5.5 58% 8 miss Ask AI
Shots 14.5 14.2 28.7 Over 28.5 50% 29 hit Ask AI
Shots on target 4.1 4.6 8.7 Over 8.5 50% 9 hit Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 304 graded matches, cards 59% of 305. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Draw · AI 1899 Hoffenheim win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Holstein Kiel
—
Last 5
D W D L W
7 GF · 3 GA
Recent fixtures
  • 1899 Hoffenheim 1-1 D
  • Dynamo Dresden 3-0 W
  • Hertha BSC 0-0 D
  • Eintracht Braunschweig 1-0 L
  • Viborg 3-1 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

1899 Hoffenheim
—
Last 5
L D W W W
9 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Werder Bremen 2-0 L
  • Holstein Kiel 1-1 D
  • Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 W
  • Lyon 3-0 W
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

HOL 0 · D 1 · HOF 2

HOL VS HOF
1-1
DRAW
Oct 28, 2026
HOL VS HOF
1-3
AWAY WIN
Jan 18, 2025
HOF VS HOL
3-2
HOME WIN
Aug 24, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Holstein Kiel, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight DFB Pokal games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Holstein Kiel
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
1899 Hoffenheim
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 3.20 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.5 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Holstein Kiel is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 3.20 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: 1899 Hoffenheim win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim in DFB Pokal? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is 1899 Hoffenheim win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Holstein Kiel vs 1899 Hoffenheim, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.