EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
DFB Pokal · Round of 32 Stadion Essen, Essen Match Finished · 90'

Rot-Weiß Essen
vs
RB Leipzig.

Quick answer

Who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig?

Final score: Rot-Weiß Essen 1–2 RB Leipzig. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick RB Leipzig to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 0–2.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Rot-Weiß Essen form RB Leipzig form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (806 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward RB Leipzig (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–2 at 62% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Rot-Weiß Essen win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

RB Leipzig win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
RB Leipzig win
0–2
78%
Leipzig's 6-0 cup start and substantially greater squad quality outweigh Essen's home advantage. The recent 1-4 meeting also supports Leipzig controlling the tie, while both teams' cup clean sheets point toward a relatively contained away win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
RB Leipzig win
1–3
62%
Leipzig's squad quality gap over a lower-league side is large; prior H2H 1-4 and their 6-0 cup rout support a comfortable away win, though Essen's home crowd nets a goal.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
RB Leipzig win
0–3
78%
RB Leipzig possess vastly superior Bundesliga quality compared to 3. Liga side Rot-Weiß Essen. Leipzig's dominant cup form and previous 4-1 win at this venue point to another comfortable away victory.
04
Grok 4.7
RB Leipzig win
1–3
42%
Huge quality gap: Leipzig’s Pokal 6-0 and prior 4-1 at Essen point to a comfortable away win; home side may nick one at Hafenstrasse.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
RB Leipzig win
0–2
68%
Leipzig's 6-0 cup form and prior 4-1 H2H win show a clear class gap; Essen's clean sheet came against weaker opposition. Leipzig should control tempo and create enough chances for a comfortable away win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
RB Leipzig win
1–3
28%
Leipzig's superior quality and 6-0 first-round form dominate; H2H (1-4) suggests Essen can score once at home but Leipzig's depth prevails.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
RB Leipzig win
0–3
78%
RB Leipzig's dominant DFB Pokal form (6-0) and historical 4-1 win over Essen outweigh home venue; Essen's clean sheet streak unlikely to hold.
08
Kimi K3
RB Leipzig win
0–2
62%
RB Leipzig's superior quality and 6-0 cup attack outweigh Essen's home edge; prior 4-1 H2H win supports an away victory, though rotation in Pokal keeps margin modest.
09
GLM 5.3
RB Leipzig win
0–3
68%
Leipzig won 4-1 at Hafenstrasse in 2024 and opened this Pokal campaign 6-0; the gulf in class should outweigh Essen's home crowd and solid first-round win.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
RB Leipzig win
0–2
58%
Leipzig's 6-0 Pokal scoring and superior squad level outweigh Essen's home edge; prior 1-4 in Essen shows the gap, though rotation could keep it tighter this time.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 0–2. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 0–2
    4 models
  • 1–3
    3 models
  • 0–3
    3 models

Live match centre

Full-time
Rot-Weiß Essen
Lucas Brumme 9'
1–2
RB Leipzig
Christoph Baumgartner 78', 82'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 11.00 / 8.50 / 1.17
Rot-Weiß Essen Market 9% · AI 0%
Draw Market 11% · AI 0%
RB Leipzig Market 80% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig

Rot-Weiß Essen

4-2-3-1
U. Koschinat
11 Noah Pesch
11 Pesch
14 L. Brumme
14 Brumme
2 M. Kostka
2 Kostka
18 D. Abiama
18 Abiama
16 R. Reisig
16 Reisig
22 J. Sietan
22 Sietan
19 F. Bouebari
19 Bouebari
23 J. Ríos Alonso
23 Alonso
15 Ben Vincent Hüning
15 Hüning
37 J. Hofmann
37 Hofmann
1 J. Golz
1 Golz

Bench: N. Bätzner, L. Bazzoli, E. Çelebi, J. Gnagnon, Eric Verstappen, F. Wienand, F Vasic, Rami Malaeb

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
M. Demichelis
40 Rômulo
40 Rômulo
27 T. Gomis
27 Gomis
20 R. Reitz
20 Reitz
30 A. Maksimović
30 Maksimović
6 E. Banzuzi
6 Banzuzi
13 N. Seiwald
13 Seiwald
22 D. Raum
22 Raum
23 C. Lukeba
23 Lukeba
4 W. Orbán
4 Orbán
17 R. Baku
17 Baku
1 Ø. Nyland
1 Nyland

Bench: N. El Aynaoui, C. Baumgartner, J. Bakayoko, A. Nusa, Max Finkgräfe, B. Gruda, B. Henrichs, A. Koné, M. Vandevoordt

Season data

DFB Pokal numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Rot-Weiß Essen

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
1-0-0
Goals
2-0
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

RB Leipzig

4-3-3
W-D-L
1-0-0
Goals
6-0
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
0
Best win run
1
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Top scorers · DFB Pokal

  1. 1 P. Tietz FSV Mainz 05 4
  2. 2 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 1. FC Köln 3
  3. 3 L. Gindorf Hannover 96 3
  4. 4 D. Pejčinović VfB Stuttgart 3
  5. 5 N. Füllkrug Werder Bremen 3
Venue Stadion Essen, Essen
Referee Florian Exner
New at Rot-Weiß Essen E. Verstappen (Würzburger Kickers), N. Bätzner (SC Paderborn 07), D. Abiama (1. FC Kaiserslautern)
New at RB Leipzig N. El Aynaoui (AS Roma), Marc Guiu (Chelsea), C. Nkunku (AC Milan)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors RB Leipzig

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 62% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.30 vs 2.60

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual RB Leipzig win · AI RB Leipzig win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Rot-Weiß Essen
—
Last 5
L W L W D
7 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • RB Leipzig 1-2 L
  • SSV Jahn Regensburg 1-0 W
  • FC Ingolstadt 04 1-0 L
  • Fortuna Köln 2-0 W
  • Preußen Münster 3-3 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

RB Leipzig
—
Last 5
W W W L L
10 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • FC Schalke 04 0-2 W
  • Rot-Weiß Essen 1-2 W
  • SV Elversberg 4-0 W
  • Real Madrid 4-1 L
  • Bayern München 6-1 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

ROT 0 · D 0 · RBL 1

ROT VS RBL
1-4
AWAY WIN
Aug 17, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Rot-Weiß Essen, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight DFB Pokal games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Rot-Weiß Essen
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
RB Leipzig
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.90 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.2 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Rot-Weiß Essen is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.90 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: RB Leipzig win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig in DFB Pokal? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is RB Leipzig win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Rot-Weiß Essen vs RB Leipzig, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.