FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33 BMO Field, Toronto Match Finished · 90'

Toronto FC
vs
DC United.

Quick answer

Who will win Toronto FC vs DC United?

Final score: Toronto FC 2–1 DC United. Before kickoff, 6 of 10 AI models pick Toronto FC to win (60%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 1–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Toronto FC form DC United form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Toronto FC (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 44% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Major League Soccer table Where Toronto FC and DC United stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Toronto FC win 60%

6 / 10 models

Draw 40%

4 / 10 models

DC United win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Draw
1–1
29%
Toronto score more often but concede heavily, while DC United arrive on a three-match losing run and have failed to score 10 times. Toronto’s home advantage is offset by the teams’ closely matched records and recent 2-1 H2H loss.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Toronto FC win
2–1
47%
Toronto at home vs a struggling DC United side on a five-game losing skid; Baribo's goals keep it close but Toronto's edge should tell.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Toronto FC win
2–1
48%
DC United have dropped three of their last four matches, while Toronto's stronger attack at BMO Field should edge a leaky DC defense despite Baribo's threat.
04
Grok 4.7
Toronto FC win
2–1
48%
DC United’s LWLLL form and 10 blanks hurt them; Toronto’s BMO Field edge and slightly higher scoring rate point to a narrow home win despite leaky defences.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
38%
Both sides are low in the standings with mixed form and similar defensive issues; DC United have lost four straight, while Toronto's home edge is modest. A tight, low-scoring draw fits the matchup.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Toronto FC win
1–0
45%
DC United's dire form (LWLLL) and 10 scoreless games this season support a low-scoring Toronto home win at BMO Field.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Toronto FC win
1–0
58%
Toronto’s home form and DC’s 10 failed-to-score games tilt to a narrow home win.
08
Kimi K3
Draw
1–1
48%
Both teams have 12 draws and leaky defenses; Toronto's home edge is offset by DC's Baribo threat and recent H2H competitiveness.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
28%
Two struggling sides with heavy draw records (12 each) and leaky defenses; DC's poor away form offsets Toronto's home edge, so a tight 1-1 fits best.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Toronto FC win
1–0
48%
Both sides are mid-table and inconsistent, but DC United failed to score 10 times and Baribo aside lack depth; BMO Field nudges a tight, low-scoring Toronto win.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 1–1. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 1–1
    4 models
  • 2–1
    3 models
  • 1–0
    3 models

Live match centre

Full-time
Toronto FC
Jonathan Osorio 64'
Josh Sargent 86'
2–1
DC United
Andre Dozzell 29'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.90 / 3.80 / 3.75
Toronto FC Market 50% · AI 60%
Draw Market 25% · AI 40%
DC United Market 25% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Toronto FC vs DC United

Toronto FC

4-4-2
R. Fraser
10 D. Mihailović
10 Mihailović
9 J. Sargent
9 Sargent
20 D. Sallói
20 Sallói
21 J. Osorio
21 Osorio
6 N. Dorsch
6 Dorsch
7 T. Corbeanu
7 Corbeanu
3 Matheus Pereira
3 Pereira
15 N. Gomis
15 Gomis
13 B. Kuscevic
13 Kuscevic
22 R. Laryea
22 Laryea
1 L. Gavran
1 Gavran

Bench: W. Yarbrough, M. Cimermancic, R. Chukwu, Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga, Alonso Coello, D. Etienne, J. Gilman, Z. Monlouis, L. Morgan

DC United

4-4-2
R. Weiler
22 N. Ordaz
22 Ordaz
7 Peglow
7 Peglow
8 J. Stroud
8 Stroud
21 A. Dozzell
21 Dozzell
4 M. Peltola
4 Peltola
2 K. Nono
2 Nono
6 K. Kurokawa
6 Kurokawa
15 K. Rowles
15 Rowles
3 L. Bartlett
3 Bartlett
5 S. Hefti
5 Hefti
1 S. Johnson
1 Johnson

Bench: A. Bono, K. Castillo, J. Farr, J. Hopkins, Nikola Markovic, S. Nealis, B. Servania, C. Antley, Gavin Turner

Season data

Major League Soccer numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Toronto FC

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
9-12-11
Goals
50-60
Clean sheets
4
Failed to score
5
Best win run
2
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

DC United

4-4-2
W-D-L
7-12-13
Goals
39-57
Clean sheets
6
Failed to score
10
Best win run
2
Penalties
6/6
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Toronto FC

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Key players · DC United

  • T. Baribo 16 G · 1 A · 25 apps

Top scorers · Major League Soccer

  1. 1 L. Messi Inter Miami 25
  2. 2 P. Musa FC Dallas 22
  3. 3 Rafael Navarro St. Louis City 19
  4. 4 M. Iloski Philadelphia Union 19
  5. 5 D. Bouanga Los Angeles FC 18
Venue BMO Field, Toronto
Referee Alexis Da Silva
New at Toronto FC A. Piedrahita (CSKA Sofia), L. Morgan (San Diego), N. Dorsch (1. FC Heidenheim)
New at DC United C. Antley (Tampa Bay Rowdies), K. Nono (Kashima), N. Ordaz (Los Angeles FC)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Toronto FC

60% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Low confidence

Mean 44% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.30 vs 0.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Toronto FC win · AI Toronto FC win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Toronto FC
#11 · 39 PTS · GD -10
Last 5
W L W D W
11 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • DC United 2-1 W
  • Columbus Crew 4-2 L
  • New York Red Bulls 0-2 W
  • Orlando City SC 3-3 D
  • CF Montreal 2-1 W
Team news
K. Franklin — Shoulder Injury N. Palacio — Lower-Body Injury W. Zimmerman — Ankle Injury
DC United
#13 · 33 PTS · GD -18
Last 5
L L L L W
5 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Toronto FC 2-1 L
  • FC Cincinnati 0-2 L
  • FC Cincinnati 2-1 L
  • Orlando City SC 4-1 L
  • New York Red Bulls 2-1 W
Team news
H. Kijima — Leg Injury L. Munteanu — Leg Injury G. Segal — Ankle Injury T. Baribo — Hip Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

TOR 1 · D 2 · DCU 2

DCU VS TOR
2-1
HOME WIN
Jul 25, 2026
TOR VS DCU
2-0
HOME WIN
May 10, 2025
DCU VS TOR
2-2
DRAW
Feb 23, 2025
TOR VS DCU
1-3
AWAY WIN
Aug 31, 2024
DCU VS TOR
2-2
DRAW
Jun 1, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 60% of models side with Toronto FC, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 40% — tight Major League Soccer games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Toronto FC
~60%
implied lean
Draw
~40%
implied lean
DC United
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Toronto FC is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Toronto FC win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Toronto FC vs DC United in Major League Soccer? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Toronto FC win, with vote shares roughly 60% / 40% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Toronto FC vs DC United, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.