VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40%
Eliteserien · Regular Season - 25 Aker Stadion, Molde Match Finished · 90'

Molde
vs
Fredrikstad.

Quick answer

Who will win Molde vs Fredrikstad?

Final score: Molde 5–1 Fredrikstad. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Molde to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 2–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Molde form Fredrikstad form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (805 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Molde (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 55% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Eliteserien table Where Molde and Fredrikstad stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Molde win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Fredrikstad win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Molde win
2–1
60%
Molde’s 52 goals and strong attacking contributors outweigh Fredrikstad’s poorer 28-36 season profile. Aker Stadion supports a narrow home win, though Fredrikstad’s recent head-to-head success and Molde’s defensive concessions keep the margin modest.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Molde win
2–1
54%
Molde's strong attack (52 goals, good recent form WWLDW) at home against struggling Fredrikstad (LDDDL, weak scoring) favors a home win, though Fredrikstad has troubled Molde recently.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Molde win
2–0
58%
Molde boast strong attacking output with 52 goals this season and solid home form, while winless in five Fredrikstad struggle offensively with only 28 goals scored.
04
Grok 4.7
Molde win
2–0
52%
Molde’s attack (52 goals) and WWLDW form at Aker Stadion beat Fredrikstad’s LDDDL run and frequent blanks; H2H away wins less relevant now.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Molde win
2–1
47%
Molde's strong attack and home venue contrast with Fredrikstad's five-game winless run, but H2H shows Fredrikstad can trouble them, making a narrow home win the best estimate.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Molde win
2–1
52%
Molde's strong home attack (2.26 gpg) and Fredrikstad's poor form (LDDDL) favour the hosts, but Molde's leaky defence and Fredrikstad's recent H2H success keep it tight.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Molde win
2–1
62%
Molde's strong home form (WWLDW) and attacking firepower (52 goals) edge Fredrikstad's inconsistent defense (36 conceded). H2H mixed but Molde's recent 6-1/4-2 wins suggest potential.
08
Kimi K3
Molde win
2–1
58%
Molde's superior form (WWLDW vs LDDDL) and home advantage at Aker Stadion outweigh Fredrikstad's recent H2H wins; expect Molde's attack (52 goals) to edge a competitive match.
09
GLM 5.3
Molde win
2–1
55%
Molde's strong form (WWLDW) and 52 goals at home outweigh Fredrikstad's poor run (LDDDL), though Fredrikstad won both 2025 H2H meetings, so they should score once.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Molde win
2–1
50%
Molde's strong home form and scoring depth face a Fredrikstad side winless in five, though recent H2H shows FFK can threaten; a narrow Molde win fits best.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

8 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    8 models
  • 2–0
    2 models

Live match centre

66'
Molde
Kristian Lonebu 11', 17', 60', 63'
Emil Breivik 35'
5–1
Fredrikstad
Bryan Fiabema 8'
Pro

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.40 / 4.75 / 7.00
Molde Market 67% · AI 100%
Draw Market 20% · AI 0%
Fredrikstad Market 13% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Molde vs Fredrikstad

Molde

4-2-3-1
S. Tjelmeland
20 K. Lonebu
20 Lonebu
16 S. Kilen
16 Kilen
23 S. Granaas
23 Granaas
11 C. Zady Sery
11 Sery
30 D. Daga
30 Daga
10 E. Breivik
10 Breivik
8 M. Løvik
8 Løvik
27 F. Dahl
27 Dahl
19 E. Haugan
19 Haugan
25 M. Linnes
25 Linnes
22 A. Posiadała
22 Posiadała

Bench: J. Abdulai, M. Møller Dæhli, S. Kabini, Trent Toure Kone Doherty, P. Lervik, N. Ødegård, B. Risa, O. Spiten-Nysæter

Fredrikstad

3-4-3
Casper Röjkjaer
11 L. West
11 West
18 B. Fiabema
18 Fiabema
29 G. Wesseh
29 Wesseh
13 S. Sørløkk
13 Sørløkk
14 M. Nilsson
14 Nilsson
6 S. Leach Holm
6 Holm
19 F. Ghebreyohannes
19 Ghebreyohannes
28 S. Owusu
28 Owusu
4 F. Holmé
4 Holmé
38 I. Amundsen
38 Amundsen
77 M. Børsheim
77 Børsheim

Bench: J. Torkildsen, H. Skogvold, S. Rafn, L. Owusu, J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez, S. Laghzaoui, J. Jezierski, U. Fredriksen, B. Thoresen

Season data

Eliteserien numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Molde

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
13-4-7
Goals
57-36
Clean sheets
4
Failed to score
2
Best win run
4
Penalties
2/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Fredrikstad

3-4-3
W-D-L
8-5-11
Goals
29-41
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
5
Best win run
4
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Molde

  • E. Breivik 10 G · 10 A · 24 apps
  • K. Lonebu 12 G · 2 A · 21 apps
  • E. Hestad 8 G · 2 A · 16 apps

Key players · Fredrikstad

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Top scorers · Eliteserien

  1. 1 P. Christiansen Viking 15
  2. 2 Amin Chiakha Rosenborg 15
  3. 3 A. Helmersen Bodo/Glimt 13
  4. 4 L. Alvheim Kristiansund BK 12
  5. 5 K. Lonebu Molde 12
Venue Aker Stadion, Molde
Referee Ola Hobber Nilsen
New at Molde K. Lonebu (Aalesund), I. F. Gosik (Stromsgodset), N. Ødegård (Kristiansund BK)
New at Fredrikstad L. West (FC Copenhagen), T. Engebakken (Raufoss), B. Fiabema (Lech Poznan)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Molde

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 55% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.00 vs 0.80

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Molde win · AI Molde win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Molde
#3 · 43 PTS · GD +21
Last 5
W W W D W
20 GF · 5 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Stromsgodset 4-1 W
  • Fredrikstad 5-1 W
  • Start 6-1 W
  • Lillestrom 2-2 D
  • Kristiansund BK 3-0 W
Team news
S. Diop — Inactive S. Hansen — Injury E. Hestad — Leg Injury V. Hoff — Knee Injury M. Kikkenborg — Achilles Tendon Injury H. Stenevik — Injury
Fredrikstad
#11 · 29 PTS · GD -12
Last 5
L W L L D
9 GF · 14 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Rosenborg 0-3 L
  • Ranheim 2-5 W
  • Molde 5-1 L
  • Viking 3-2 L
  • Tromso 1-1 D
Team news
D. Eid — Yellow Cards S. Kvile — Knee Injury J. Nysveen — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

MOL 1 · D 2 · FRE 2

MOL VS FRE
1-2
AWAY WIN
Sep 13, 2025
FRE VS MOL
4-2
HOME WIN
Jul 12, 2025
FRE VS MOL
0-0
DRAW
Dec 7, 2024
MOL VS FRE
6-1
HOME WIN
Sep 14, 2024
FRE VS MOL
0-0
DRAW
Jul 13, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Molde, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Eliteserien games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Molde
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Fredrikstad
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.80 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.1 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Molde is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.80 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Molde win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Molde vs Fredrikstad in Eliteserien? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Molde win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Molde vs Fredrikstad, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.