EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
Eliteserien · Regular Season - 25 Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg Match Finished · 90'

Sarpsborg 08 FF
vs
Aalesund.

Quick answer

Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?

Final score: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Aalesund. Before kickoff, 9 of 10 AI models pick Sarpsborg 08 FF to win (90%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 2–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Sarpsborg 08 FF form Aalesund form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Sarpsborg 08 FF (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 50% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Eliteserien table Where Sarpsborg 08 FF and Aalesund stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Sarpsborg 08 FF win 90%

9 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Aalesund win 10%

1 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Sarpsborg 08 FF win
2–1
55%
Sarpsborg's home advantage and recent 4-2 H2H win support a narrow edge, while Aalesund's stronger scoring record and 1- clean-sheet season profile suggest both teams can score.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Sarpsborg 08 FF win
2–1
42%
Both sides mid-table and leaky defensively; recent H2H won 4-2 by Sarpsborg suggests another open, close contest at home.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Sarpsborg 08 FF win
2–1
48%
Aalesund score consistently but concede heavily, keeping only one clean sheet all season. Sarpsborg's home advantage should edge a typically open encounter between these sides.
04
Grok 4.7
Sarpsborg 08 FF win
2–1
48%
Sarpsborg won the recent H2H 4-2 away; Aalesund concede freely (51 GA, one clean sheet). Home edge at Sarpsborg Stadion, both likely to score.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Sarpsborg 08 FF win
2–1
52%
Sarpsborg's home edge and Aalesund's leaky defense (51 conceded, 1 clean sheet) point to a narrow home win; recent H2H also favors Sarpsborg, though Aalesund's attacking form keeps it close.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Sarpsborg 08 FF win
2–1
48%
Sarpsborg beat Aalesund 4-2 just two weeks ago; Aalesund's awful defense (1 clean sheet, 51 conceded) supports home goals, but their attack (39 scored) likely finds one.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Aalesund win
1–2
58%
Aalesund's recent form (WLWLW) and attacking output (39 goals) edge Sarpsborg's inconsistent run and weaker defense (34 conceded).
08
Kimi K3
Sarpsborg 08 FF win
2–1
52%
Sarpsborg just won 4-2 at Aalesund two weeks ago and hold home edge; Aalesund score freely but concede heavily with one clean sheet all season.
09
GLM 5.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF win
2–1
50%
Sarpsborg won 4-2 at Aalesund two weeks ago and hold venue edge; both defenses leak, so a narrow home win with goals fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Sarpsborg 08 FF win
2–1
46%
Aalesund score often but concede 51; Sarpsborg won 4-2 away in last meeting and hold home edge, though their patchy form keeps confidence modest.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

9 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    9 models
  • 1–2
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Camil Mmaee Nwameben 85'
Anders Hiim 90+4'
2–1
Aalesund
Mathias Christensen 19'
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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.85 / 4.00 / 3.60
Sarpsborg 08 FF Market 51% · AI 90%
Draw Market 23% · AI 0%
Aalesund Market 26% · AI 10%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund

Sarpsborg 08 FF

4-4-2
E. Sel
11 D. Karlsbakk
11 Karlsbakk
22 V. Halvorsen
22 Halvorsen
17 N. Williams
17 Williams
77 O. Skarsem
77 Skarsem
8 S. Christiansen
8 Christiansen
10 S. Sørli
10 Sørli
20 P. Reinhardsen
20 Reinhardsen
24 S. Rosted
24 Rosted
4 B. Utvik
4 Utvik
32 E. Wichne
32 Wichne
87 L. Øy
87 Øy

Bench: Camil Mmaee Nwameben, Bop Gueye, A. Hiim, L. Høyland, J. Pryts, M. Lode, A. Nibe, C. Niyukuri, A. Sher

Aalesund

5-3-2
K. Rekdal
23 S. Vecchia
23 Vecchia
8 I. Skotheim
8 Skotheim
19 S. Kartum
19 Kartum
18 E. Hagen
18 Hagen
21 M. Christensen
21 Christensen
14 U. Charles
14 Charles
3 Ó. Guðmundsson
3 Guðmundsson
28 D. Mbacke
28 Mbacke
2 M. Andresen
2 Andresen
7 K. Nessø
7 Nessø
1 Luca Podlech
1 Podlech

Bench: E. Osenbroch, J. Ørsahl, P. Ngongo, E. Myrlid, T. Larsen, A. Hammer Kjelsen, E. Engqvist, T. Leikanger

Season data

Eliteserien numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Sarpsborg 08 FF

4-4-2
W-D-L
8-7-9
Goals
30-35
Clean sheets
5
Failed to score
6
Best win run
3
Penalties
4/5
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Aalesund

5-3-2
W-D-L
5-9-10
Goals
40-53
Clean sheets
1
Failed to score
2
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Sarpsborg 08 FF

  • D. Karlsbakk 7 G · 1 A · 24 apps

Key players · Aalesund

  • M. Christensen 10 G · 4 A · 23 apps
  • E. Osenbroch 5 G · 5 A · 21 apps

Top scorers · Eliteserien

  1. 1 P. Christiansen Viking 15
  2. 2 Amin Chiakha Rosenborg 15
  3. 3 A. Helmersen Bodo/Glimt 13
  4. 4 L. Alvheim Kristiansund BK 12
  5. 5 K. Lonebu Molde 12
Venue Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg
Referee Mischa Kellerhals
New at Sarpsborg 08 FF J. Pryts (Start), M. Lode (BK Hacken), H. Tangen (Notts County)
New at Aalesund S. Vecchia (Malmo FF), S. Kartum (Heart Of Midlothian), D. Mbacke (Brann)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Sarpsborg 08 FF

90% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 50% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.90 vs 1.10

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Sarpsborg 08 FF win · AI Sarpsborg 08 FF win

1X2: Miss Score: Exact
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Sarpsborg 08 FF
#7 · 31 PTS · GD -5
Last 5
W W L W W
11 GF · 8 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Valerenga 3-2 W
  • Aalesund 2-1 W
  • Rosenborg 0-3 L
  • Aalesund 2-4 W
  • Follo 0-2 W
Team news
F. Carstensen — Injury M. Opoku — Ankle Injury
Aalesund
#14 · 24 PTS · GD -13
Last 5
L W L W L
12 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Sandefjord 3-4 L
  • Kristiansund BK 0-2 W
  • Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-1 L
  • Kristiansund BK 1-4 W
  • Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-4 L
Team news
H. Hammer — Injury S. Haram — Elbow Injury M. Reed — Injury P. Aukland — Injury A. Kjelsen — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

SAR 3 · D 0 · AAL 2

AAL VS SAR
2-4
AWAY WIN
Oct 11, 2026
AAL VS SAR
3-2
HOME WIN
Oct 22, 2023
SAR VS AAL
3-1
HOME WIN
May 29, 2023
AAL VS SAR
1-3
AWAY WIN
Sep 11, 2022
SAR VS AAL
1-2
AWAY WIN
May 22, 2022

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 90% of models side with Sarpsborg 08 FF, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Eliteserien games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Sarpsborg 08 FF
~90%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Aalesund
~10%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 3.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Sarpsborg 08 FF is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 3.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Sarpsborg 08 FF win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund in Eliteserien? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Sarpsborg 08 FF win, with vote shares roughly 90% / 0% / 10% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.