VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% VEL 1-0 SAN · 54% LLA 0-1 JUN · 50% CFP 1-1 TIG · 45% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40%
Premiership · Regular Season - 12 Dens Park, Dundee Match Finished · 90'

Dundee
vs
Kilmarnock.

Quick answer

Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?

Final score: Dundee 3–1 Kilmarnock. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Dundee to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 1–0.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Dundee form Kilmarnock form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (805 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Dundee (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–0 at 51% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Premiership table Where Dundee and Kilmarnock stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Dundee win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Kilmarnock win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Dundee win
1–0
49%
Dundee’s stronger season record and Dens Park advantage outweigh Kilmarnock’s recent improvement. Kilmarnock have conceded 20 times and failed to score in three matches, supporting a narrow home win.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Dundee win
2–1
52%
Dundee's stronger home form and better goal difference outweigh Kilmarnock's defensive struggles (20 conceded); narrow home win fits both attacks' output.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Dundee win
2–0
48%
Dundee have been solid defensively with only 10 conceded in 9 matches, whereas Kilmarnock have leaked 20 goals and struggled on the road.
04
Grok 4.7
Dundee win
1–0
42%
Dundee’s better Premiership record and Dens Park edge versus Kilmarnock’s leaky defence and frequent blanks point to a narrow home shutout.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Dundee win
2–0
48%
Dundee sit 4W-2D-3L with 13 goals scored and home advantage at Dens Park, while Kilmarnock have 2W-2D-5L and 20 conceded. Kilmarnock's leaky defense and three scoreless games support a Dundee clean sheet.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Dundee win
1–0
55%
Dundee's solid home form and Kilmarnock's poor away scoring (failed to score 3/9) support a narrow home win at Dens Park.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Dundee win
2–1
58%
Dundee's better form (4W vs Kilmarnock's 2W) and home advantage offset Kilmarnock's late resilience. Both teams score but Dundee edges it.
08
Kimi K3
Dundee win
1–0
55%
Dundee's stronger form and home edge at Dens Park against Kilmarnock's leaky defense (20 goals conceded) and three scoreless away games suggest a narrow, low-scoring win.
09
GLM 5.3
Dundee win
2–1
52%
Dundee's solid home form and Fink/Westley scoring edge against Kilmarnock's leaky defense (20 conceded) favors a home win, though Killie's recent upturn keeps it modest.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Dundee win
2–1
52%
Dundee's stronger form (DLWWD) and tighter defense at Dens Park face a Kilmarnock side conceding 20 in 9; home edge modest but real, with Killie still a scoring threat.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

4 of 10 models settled on 1–0. The rest of the list shows where dissent still lives before kickoff.

  • 1–0
    4 models
  • 2–1
    4 models
  • 2–0
    2 models

Live match centre

Full-time
Dundee
Joseph Bevan 32'
Ashley Hay 83', 90+4'
3–1
Kilmarnock
Joe Hugill 75' (pen)
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.85 / 3.60 / 3.90
Dundee Market 50% · AI 100%
Draw Market 26% · AI 0%
Kilmarnock Market 24% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: Dundee vs Kilmarnock

Dundee

4-4-2
S. Pressley
21 B. Fink
21 Fink
11 A. Hay
11 Hay
14 A. Forrest
14 Forrest
48 E. Hamilton
48 Hamilton
28 C. Jones
28 Jones
27 J. Bevan
27 Bevan
12 I. Samuels
12 Samuels
26 J. Wright
26 Wright
4 R. Astley
4 Astley
7 D. Wright
7 Wright
1 O. Goodman
1 Goodman

Bench: B. Halliday, Ž. Bešir, Alfie Harrison, I. Odutayo, Cole Perrie, C. Reilly, H. Sharp, J. Westley, M. Akinmboni

Kilmarnock

5-3-2
N. McCann
9 J. Hugill
9 Hugill
10 T. John-Jules
10 John-Jules
11 G. Kiltie
11 Kiltie
36 A. Tshibola
36 Tshibola
18 T. Lowery
18 Lowery
21 M. Schjønning-Larsen
21 Schjønning-Larsen
6 R. Deas
6 Deas
4 C. McCarthy
4 McCarthy
14 G. Stanger
14 Stanger
2 J. Brandon
2 Brandon
58 N. Mantl
58 Mantl

Bench: D. Daniels, R. Ellis, Michael-John Kamson-Kamara, Roshaun Mathurin, R. McKenzie, J. Meier, E. Ring, C. Ferrie, I. Owen

Season data

Premiership numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Dundee

4-4-2
W-D-L
5-2-4
Goals
17-13
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
1
Best win run
2
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Kilmarnock

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
2-2-7
Goals
11-26
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
4
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Dundee

  • B. Fink 4 G · 0 A · 9 apps
  • A. Hay 3 G · 0 A · 6 apps
  • J. Westley 3 G · 0 A · 8 apps

Key players · Kilmarnock

  • G. Kiltie 3 G · 0 A · 11 apps
  • J. Brandon 0 G · 2 A · 11 apps

Top scorers · Premiership

  1. 1 C. Durán Celtic 7
  2. 2 B. Nygren Celtic 6
  3. 3 J. Fowler ST Johnstone 6
  4. 4 R. Naderi Rangers 5
  5. 5 Cláudio Braga Heart Of Midlothian 5
Venue Dens Park, Dundee
New at Dundee Alfie Harrison (Newcastle), J. Wright (Bradford), M. Akinmboni (Bournemouth)
New at Kilmarnock Michael-John Kamson-Kamara (Heart Of Midlothian), N. Mantl (Arouca), C. McCarthy (Hull City)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Dundee

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 51% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.60 vs 0.40

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Dundee Kilmarnock Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 4.7 4.5 9.2 Under 9.5 56% 12 miss Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.3 2.3 3.5 Under 3.5 53% 3 hit Ask AI
Shots 11.6 10.7 22.3 Under 22.5 53% 30 miss Ask AI
Shots on target 4.0 3.8 7.9 Over 7.5 53% 8 hit Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 304 graded matches, cards 59% of 305. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Dundee win · AI Dundee win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Dundee
#4 · 17 PTS · GD +4
Last 5
W L D W W
10 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Kilmarnock 3-1 W
  • ST Mirren 2-1 L
  • Rangers 2-2 D
  • Falkirk 1-2 W
  • Motherwell 2-1 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Kilmarnock
#12 · 8 PTS · GD -15
Last 5
D L L W L
7 GF · 13 GA
Recent fixtures
  • ST Johnstone 2-2 D
  • Dundee 3-1 L
  • Falkirk 3-0 L
  • Motherwell 3-2 W
  • Rangers 3-1 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

DUN 2 · D 2 · KIL 1

DUN VS KIL
3-1
HOME WIN
Oct 28, 2026
KIL VS DUN
3-1
HOME WIN
May 12, 2026
KIL VS DUN
2-2
DRAW
Apr 11, 2026
DUN VS KIL
2-1
HOME WIN
Dec 30, 2025
KIL VS DUN
0-0
DRAW
Aug 23, 2025

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Dundee, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Premiership games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Dundee
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Kilmarnock
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Dundee is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Dundee win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Dundee vs Kilmarnock in Premiership? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Dundee win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.