EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50% EST 0-1 INS · 48% MON 1-1 CLU · 43% GUA 2-0 ATL · 58% COL 1-2 CHI · 49% CLU 2-1 TOL · 54% YOK 1-2 KAW · 47% JEF 1-1 AVI · 42% V-V 1-0 TOK · 44% MAC 2-0 GAM · 62% AME 3-0 EYü · 71% PEC 1-1 ADO · 40% COM 2-0 VEN · 63% CER 1-2 ANT · 50% GET 0-1 SEV · 50%
Premiership · Regular Season - 12 The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley Match Finished · 90'

ST Mirren
vs
Hibernian.

Quick answer

Who will win ST Mirren vs Hibernian?

Final score: ST Mirren 1–1 Hibernian. Before kickoff, 4 of 10 AI models pick ST Mirren to win (40%); the consensus was wrong. The AI predicted score was 1–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → ST Mirren form Hibernian form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward the draw (6 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 1–1 at 42% mean confidence (Low band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Premiership table Where ST Mirren and Hibernian stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

ST Mirren win 40%

4 / 10 models

Draw 60%

6 / 10 models

Hibernian win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
ST Mirren win
1–0
41%
Both teams have poor records and limited scoring, but ST Mirren's home advantage and Hibernian's lack of clean sheets slightly favor a narrow home win. The hosts' five-match losing run keeps confidence low.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
ST Mirren win
2–1
40%
Both sides are out of form (five losses, zero clean sheets for Hibs) with weak attacks; a tight, low-scoring draw fits better than backing either's poor run.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Draw
1–1
46%
Both sides enter in miserable form, with St Mirren losing five straight and Hibs winless in five with zero clean sheets. A tight, low-confidence stalemate looks most likely.
04
Grok 4.7
Draw
1–1
38%
Both sides are winless in five with similar low output (9 goals each). Saints have more clean sheets at home; Hibs have none. A tight, low-scoring stalemate fits the shared poor form.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Draw
1–1
38%
Both sides are in poor form with five-game losing runs and similar scoring records; neither has a clear edge, making a low-scoring draw most plausible.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Draw
1–1
32%
Both sides in dire form (Mirren 5 straight losses, Hibs LLDLL), each averaging ~1 goal scored; Hibs' zero clean sheets and Mirren's leaky defence point to a low-scoring stalemate.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
58%
Both teams in poor form, low scoring, no clean sheets for Hibs, Mirren’s home edge offset by recent losses.
08
Kimi K3
ST Mirren win
1–0
42%
Both sides in dire form, but Hibernian have zero clean sheets and St Mirren's three shutouts plus home venue in Paisley give them the slight edge in a low-scoring scrap.
09
GLM 5.3
Draw
1–1
45%
Both sides in poor form (St Mirren LLLLL, Hibernian LLDLL) and both conceding heavily; Hibs' zero clean sheets offsets home advantage, so a tight draw fits best.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
ST Mirren win
1–0
38%
Both sides are struggling badly, but Hibs have zero clean sheets and St Mirren's three clean sheets plus SMISA home edge suggest a tight, low-scoring game decided by Phillips' threat.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 1–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 1–1
    6 models
  • 1–0
    3 models
  • 2–1
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
ST Mirren
Jason Kerr 83' (og)
1–1
Hibernian
Marko Ivezic 78'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 3.30 / 3.25 / 2.20
ST Mirren Market 28% · AI 40%
Draw Market 29% · AI 60%
Hibernian Market 43% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Confirmed lineups: ST Mirren vs Hibernian

ST Mirren

4-2-3-1
Craig McLeish
9 Eseosa Sule
9 Sule
16 L. Thomas
16 Thomas
88 K. Phillips
88 Phillips
23 C. Mochrie
23 Mochrie
13 A. Gogić
13 Gogić
8 R. Carr
8 Carr
3 D. John
3 John
53 Henry Fieldson
53 Fieldson
22 M. Fraser
22 Fraser
47 C. Ramsay
47 Ramsay
1 J. Chapman
1 Chapman

Bench: C. McEvoy, Louis Jackson, L. Donnelly, P. Nsio, Samu, J. Richardson, Grant Tamosevicius, F. Taylor, J. Young

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
M. Reedijk
14 M. Chaiwa
14 Chaiwa
7 O. Elding
7 Elding
17 J. McGrath
17 McGrath
19 N. Cadden
19 Cadden
11 J. Newell
11 Newell
8 J. Mulligan
8 Mulligan
25 F. Passlack
25 Passlack
5 M. Ivezić
5 Ivezić
3 A. Mayor
3 Mayor
6 J. Kerr
6 Kerr
1 R. Sallinger
1 Sallinger

Bench: Z. Bruce, G. Hanley, J. Iredale, A. Abdulai, T. Klidje, R. Matondo, J. Smith, Alex Williams, A. Šuto

Season data

Premiership numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

ST Mirren

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
4-2-5
Goals
12-19
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
3
Best win run
2
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
2-2-7
Goals
11-17
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
2
Best win run
2
Penalties
3/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · ST Mirren

  • K. Phillips 3 G · 2 A · 7 apps
  • Samu 1 G · 2 A · 6 apps

Key players · Hibernian

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Top scorers · Premiership

  1. 1 C. Durán Celtic 7
  2. 2 B. Nygren Celtic 6
  3. 3 J. Fowler ST Johnstone 6
  4. 4 R. Naderi Rangers 5
  5. 5 Cláudio Braga Heart Of Midlothian 5
Venue The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley
New at ST Mirren J. Farquhar (Alloa Athletic), Louis Jackson (Manchester United), N. Agrafiotis (SV Wehen)
New at Hibernian Alex Williams (West Brom), M. Ivezić (Holstein Kiel), R. Matondo (Brann)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Models lean the draw

60% of models take a stalemate — cross-check score frequency and 1X2 strip before sizing.

02
Low confidence

Mean 42% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.10 vs 0.70

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric ST Mirren Hibernian Expected total Lean Actual
Corners 5.3 4.7 10.1 Under 10.5 58% 8 hit Ask AI
Yellow cards 2.0 1.9 3.9 Over 3.5 54% 7 hit Ask AI
Shots 13.7 11.0 24.7 Over 24.5 50% 20 miss Ask AI
Shots on target 4.3 3.6 7.9 Over 7.5 54% 4 miss Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 304 graded matches, cards 59% of 305. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

Result check

Actual Draw · AI ST Mirren win

1X2: Miss Score: Exact
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

ST Mirren
#7 · 14 PTS · GD -7
Last 5
L D W L L
4 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Motherwell 1-0 L
  • Hibernian 1-1 D
  • Dundee 2-1 W
  • Aberdeen 3-1 L
  • Heart Of Midlothian 5-0 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Hibernian
#11 · 8 PTS · GD -6
Last 5
D L L L L
3 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • ST Mirren 1-1 D
  • Celtic 1-2 L
  • Falkirk 1-2 L
  • Dundee United II 1-0 L
  • Dundee Utd 1-0 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

STM 0 · D 3 · HIB 2

STM VS HIB
1-1
DRAW
Oct 28, 2026
HIB VS STM
2-0
HOME WIN
Feb 14, 2026
STM VS HIB
0-3
AWAY WIN
Nov 8, 2025
HIB VS STM
1-1
DRAW
Aug 31, 2025
STM VS HIB
2-2
DRAW
May 14, 2025

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 40% of models side with ST Mirren, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 60% — tight Premiership games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

ST Mirren
~40%
implied lean
Draw
~60%
implied lean
Hibernian
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.80 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.1 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When ST Mirren is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.80 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: ST Mirren win. Pair that with the confidence band (Low) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on ST Mirren vs Hibernian in Premiership? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (1 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is ST Mirren win, with vote shares roughly 40% / 60% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win ST Mirren vs Hibernian, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.