FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Copa del Rey · Round of 128 Estadio El Bayu, Pola de Siero Match Finished · 90'

Covadonga
vs
Valladolid.

Quick answer

Who will win Covadonga vs Valladolid?

Final score: Covadonga 0–1 Valladolid. Before kickoff, 10 of 10 AI models pick Valladolid to win (100%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 0–2.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Covadonga form Valladolid form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (800 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Valladolid (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–2 at 61% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Covadonga win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Valladolid win 100%

10 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Valladolid win
0–2
68%
Valladolid’s higher-tier squad should control possession and chance quality against Covadonga in this Copa del Rey tie. The limited fixture data supports modest confidence, with a clean-sheet away win the most likely exact score.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Valladolid win
0–2
66%
Valladolid is a professional La Liga/Segunda-level club facing a regional amateur side in early Copa rounds; large quality gap typically favors away team comfortably.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Valladolid win
0–3
78%
Massive tier disparity in the Copa del Rey first round. Professional-level Valladolid will comfortably outclass lower-tier semi-professional Covadonga with superior quality and depth.
04
Grok 4.7
Valladolid win
0–2
52%
Early Copa del Rey mismatch: Valladolid are a much higher-level side than amateur/semi-pro Covadonga. Expect a controlled away win and a low home total at this venue.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Valladolid win
0–2
58%
Copa del Rey mismatch: Valladolid are a professional side facing lower-league Covadonga. Superior squad depth and quality should control the tie, likely scoring twice without reply.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Valladolid win
0–2
42%
Massive quality gap in Copa del Rey Round of 128; Valladolid's professional squad should dominate lower-league Covadonga, likely scoring twice without reply.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Valladolid win
0–1
62%
Valladolid (Segunda) likely to control tempo vs lower-tier Covadonga; away team's defensive solidity and cup experience edges it.
08
Kimi K3
Valladolid win
0–2
62%
Valladolid's top-flight quality should overwhelm third-tier Covadonga despite the cup setting, though the hosts' defensive organization at home may prevent a rout.
09
GLM 5.3
Valladolid win
0–2
60%
Valladolid, a professional Segunda/La Liga side, face lower-tier Covadonga in the Copa Round of 128; class gap favors a controlled away win, though early-round cup ties stay modest-scoring.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Valladolid win
0–2
58%
Valladolid, a professional side, faces lower-tier Covadonga in the Copa del Rey; superior squad quality and depth should control the tie despite the away trip to Asturias.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

8 of 10 models settled on 0–2. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 0–2
    8 models
  • 0–1
    1 model
  • 0–3
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Covadonga
0–1
Valladolid
R. van Duiven 12' (pen)
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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 13.00 / 6.50 / 1.20
Covadonga Market 7% · AI 0%
Draw Market 15% · AI 0%
Valladolid Market 78% · AI 100%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Season data

Copa del Rey numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Top scorers · Copa del Rey

  1. 1 Alemão Rayo Vallecano 2
  2. 2 T. Vizcay Athletic Club 1
  3. 3 S. Sanchez Athletic Club 1
  4. 4 C. Mitogo Athletic Club 1
  5. 5 Gabriel Moscardo Espanyol 1
Venue Estadio El Bayu, Pola de Siero
New at Valladolid Dani Martín (Levante), T. Abed (Levante), Miguel Rubio (Espanyol)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Valladolid

100% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 61% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.00 vs 2.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual Valladolid win · AI Valladolid win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Covadonga
—
Last 5
L W W L W
10 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Valladolid 0-1 L
  • Gijón Industrial 0-2 W
  • Mosconia 4-0 W
  • San Martín 4-2 L
  • Siero 2-1 W
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

Valladolid
—
Last 5
W L L W D
11 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Covadonga 0-1 W
  • Granada CF 2-1 L
  • Eldense 2-3 L
  • Albacete 5-0 W
  • Las Palmas 2-2 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

COV 0 · D 0 · VAL 1

COV VS VAL
0-1
AWAY WIN
Oct 29, 2026

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Covadonga, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Copa del Rey games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Covadonga
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Valladolid
~100%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.00 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Covadonga is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.00 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Valladolid win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Covadonga vs Valladolid in Copa del Rey? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 2; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Valladolid win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 0% / 100% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Covadonga vs Valladolid, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.