FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37% FCC 1-2 PHI · 50% COL 2-1 DCU · 54% NEW 1-0 CFM · 47% AL- 3-0 AL- · 65% COR 1-1 VIT · 42% SPO 1-2 FCD · 60% ST. 2-1 SAN · 49% ACM 1-1 INT · 42% EST 0-1 LEM · 44% AND 1-2 KVC · 43% SKB 0-2 UNI · 62% BAR 3-0 ALA · 64% AST 1-0 FUL · 46% DEP 0-0 TAL · 37%
Copa del Rey · Round of 128 Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, Sa Pobla Match Finished · 90'

Poblense
vs
AD Ceuta FC.

Quick answer

Who will win Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?

Final score: Poblense 1–2 AD Ceuta FC. Before kickoff, 9 of 10 AI models pick AD Ceuta FC to win (90%); the consensus was right. The AI predicted score was 0–1.

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Poblense form AD Ceuta FC form

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward AD Ceuta FC (9 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 0–1 at 52% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Poblense win 0%

0 / 10 models

Draw 10%

1 / 10 models

AD Ceuta FC win 90%

9 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
AD Ceuta FC win
0–1
57%
Ceuta FC's higher-level squad should provide the clearest quality edge in this Copa del Rey tie, while Poblense's home venue may keep the margin narrow. With no form or H2H data supplied, a low-scoring away win is the cautious estimate.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
AD Ceuta FC win
0–1
52%
Ceuta is a professional club (higher division) facing a lower-tier amateur side in Copa del Rey early round, typical cup gap favors away quality.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
AD Ceuta FC win
0–2
62%
AD Ceuta FC compete at a higher division level than Tercera side Poblense, giving them superior quality and control to secure a routine away cup victory.
04
Grok 4.7
AD Ceuta FC win
0–1
46%
Ceuta are a Segunda professional side versus much lower-level Poblense; the gap should decide an early Copa tie despite travel, pointing to a tight 0-1.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
AD Ceuta FC win
0–1
55%
AD Ceuta FC compete at a higher level than Poblense and should control a cup tie on the road; a narrow away win fits the likely cagey tempo.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
AD Ceuta FC win
0–1
38%
AD Ceuta likely higher-division side; early Copa rounds between lower-tier teams tend tight and low-scoring. Slight quality edge to visitors despite Poblense home advantage.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Draw
1–1
55%
Copa del Rey early round; lower-tier teams often tight. No H2H data, but balanced matchup favors a draw.
08
Kimi K3
AD Ceuta FC win
0–2
62%
AD Ceuta FC compete at a significantly higher level than lower-division Poblense; professional quality gap suggests away victory, though cup matches often remain tight.
09
GLM 5.3
AD Ceuta FC win
1–2
52%
AD Ceuta play at a higher division level than Poblense, but Copa single-leg ties at small venues often stay tight, so a narrow away win with both sides scoring fits best.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
AD Ceuta FC win
0–1
42%
Ceuta, a Segunda RFEF side, faces regional-league Poblense; superior level favors the visitors, though cup upsets and unknown form keep confidence modest in a tight, low-scoring tie.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 0–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 0–1
    6 models
  • 0–2
    2 models
  • 1–1
    1 model
  • 1–2
    1 model

Live match centre

Full-time
Poblense
S. Riveron 17'
1–2
AD Ceuta FC
A. Lapena 78'
90'
Pro

Momentum, live stats, xG, player ratings and every event, minute by minute.

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Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 4.33 / 4.00 / 1.73
Poblense Market 22% · AI 0%
Draw Market 23% · AI 10%
AD Ceuta FC Market 55% · AI 90%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Season data

Copa del Rey numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Top scorers · Copa del Rey

  1. 1 Alemão Rayo Vallecano 2
  2. 2 T. Vizcay Athletic Club 1
  3. 3 S. Sanchez Athletic Club 1
  4. 4 C. Mitogo Athletic Club 1
  5. 5 Gabriel Moscardo Espanyol 1
Venue Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, Sa Pobla
New at Poblense L. Alomar (Unionistas de Salamanca), Raúl Prada (Unionistas de Salamanca), T. Balcedo (Lugo)
New at AD Ceuta FC Toni Abad (Huesca), E. Sevikyan (Ferencvarosi TC), Joaquín (Cadiz)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors AD Ceuta FC

90% of models lean away — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 52% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 0.20 vs 1.30

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Result check

Actual AD Ceuta FC win · AI AD Ceuta FC win

1X2: Miss Score: Off
— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Poblense
—
Last 5
L W D W L
7 GF · 7 GA
Recent fixtures
  • AD Ceuta FC 1-2 L
  • Peña Deportiva 1-0 W
  • Yeclano 2-2 D
  • Castellón II 2-1 W
  • Atlético Baleares 2-1 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

AD Ceuta FC
—
Last 5
W L L L D
6 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Poblense 1-2 W
  • Cadiz 3-1 L
  • Oviedo 1-2 L
  • Sabadell 1-2 L
  • Castellón 1-1 D
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

POB 0 · D 0 · ADC 1

POB VS ADC
1-2
AWAY WIN
Oct 29, 2026

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 0% of models side with Poblense, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 10% — tight Copa del Rey games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Poblense
~0%
implied lean
Draw
~10%
implied lean
AD Ceuta FC
~90%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 1.50 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 1.8 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Poblense is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 1.50 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: AD Ceuta FC win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC in Copa del Rey? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (0 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is AD Ceuta FC win, with vote shares roughly 0% / 10% / 90% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.