Card predictions
Next three days · updated 31 October 2026
For every match we project yellow cards from the home side's last 10 home games and the away side's last 10 away games, then give the chance of going over the nearest half-line. Referees and derbies move card counts a lot. The forecast's over/under lean has been right 58.7% of the time across 286 graded matches.
| Kickoff | Match | Expected yellow cards | Home · Away | Over chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin
Major League Soccer
|
3.3 | 1.8 · 1.5 | Over 3.5: 43% | |
|
San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
|
4 | 2 · 2 | Over 3.5: 56% | |
|
Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
|
3.5 | 1.7 · 1.8 | Over 3.5: 47% | |
|
PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag
Eredivisie
|
3.1 | 1.4 · 1.8 | Over 3.5: 38% | |
|
Como vs Venezia
Serie A
|
3.2 | 1.5 · 1.7 | Over 3.5: 40% | |
|
Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp
Jupiler Pro League
|
3.1 | 1.2 · 1.9 | Over 3.5: 36% | |
|
Getafe vs Sevilla
La Liga
|
5.5 | 2.8 · 2.7 | Over 5.5: 47% | |
|
Falkirk vs Celtic
Premiership
|
3.4 | 1.7 · 1.7 | Over 3.5: 43% | |
|
Excelsior vs Twente
Eredivisie
|
2.3 | 1.1 · 1.1 | Over 2.5: 40% | |
|
Telstar vs Utrecht
Eredivisie
|
2.8 | 1.3 · 1.5 | Over 2.5: 53% | |
|
Frosinone vs Torino
Serie A
|
3.6 | 2 · 1.6 | Over 3.5: 48% | |
|
Lazio vs Cagliari
Serie A
|
3.4 | 1.7 · 1.7 | Over 3.5: 45% | |
|
Strasbourg vs Auxerre
Ligue 1
|
3.4 | 1.3 · 2.1 | Over 3.5: 44% | |
|
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln
Bundesliga
|
4.1 | 2.1 · 2 | Over 4.5: 39% | |
|
Arouca vs Nacional
Primeira Liga
|
5.4 | 3 · 2.4 | Over 5.5: 45% | |
|
Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam
Eredivisie
|
2.5 | 0.9 · 1.6 | Over 2.5: 46% | |
|
Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş
Süper Lig
|
4.7 | 2.1 · 2.5 | Over 4.5: 50% | |
|
Lyon vs Angers
Ligue 1
|
3.1 | 1.5 · 1.6 | Over 3.5: 37% | |
|
Paris FC vs Monaco
Ligue 1
|
4.2 | 2.3 · 1.9 | Over 4.5: 42% | |
|
Liverpool vs Arsenal
Premier League
|
3 | 1.3 · 1.7 | Over 3.5: 36% | |
|
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV
Bundesliga
|
3.8 | 2 · 1.8 | Over 3.5: 53% | |
|
Lecce vs Genoa
Serie A
|
2.7 | 1.3 · 1.4 | Over 2.5: 51% | |
|
Elche vs Valencia
La Liga
|
4.3 | 2.2 · 2.1 | Over 4.5: 42% | |
|
Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave
Primeira Liga
|
4.4 | 2 · 2.4 | Over 4.5: 45% | |
|
Maritimo vs Santa Clara
Primeira Liga
|
4.7 | 2.6 · 2.2 | Over 4.5: 51% | |
|
Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière
Jupiler Pro League
|
4.1 | 1.7 · 2.4 | Over 4.5: 39% | |
|
Juventus vs Napoli
Serie A
|
3 | 1.4 · 1.6 | Over 3.5: 35% | |
|
Marseille vs Toulouse
Ligue 1
|
3.8 | 1.9 · 1.9 | Over 3.5: 53% | |
|
Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad
La Liga
|
4.3 | 1.9 · 2.3 | Over 4.5: 42% | |
|
Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC
Major League Soccer
|
2.9 | 1.5 · 1.4 | Over 2.5: 56% | |
|
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
|
3.1 | 1.6 · 1.6 | Over 3.5: 38% | |
|
Sassuolo vs Fiorentina
Serie A
|
4.2 | 2 · 2.1 | Over 4.5: 40% | |
|
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29
Ligue 1
|
2.7 | 1.2 · 1.5 | Over 2.5: 52% | |
|
Atalanta vs Parma
Serie A
|
2.2 | 1.1 · 1.1 | Over 2.5: 38% | |
|
Newcastle vs Everton
Premier League
|
4.4 | 2.3 · 2 | Over 4.5: 45% | |
|
Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna
La Liga
|
4.2 | 2.1 · 2.1 | Over 4.5: 41% | |
|
Benfica vs Alverca
Primeira Liga
|
4.2 | 1.7 · 2.4 | Over 4.5: 40% | |
|
Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart
UEFA Champions League
|
3.6 | 2 · 1.5 | Over 3.5: 48% | |
|
Blackburn vs Stoke City
Championship
|
4.6 | 2.4 · 2.2 | Over 4.5: 49% | |
|
Derby vs Norwich
Championship
|
4.3 | 2.1 · 2.2 | Over 4.5: 42% | |
|
Portsmouth vs Swansea
Championship
|
3.4 | 1.5 · 1.9 | Over 3.5: 45% | |
|
Preston vs Sheffield Utd
Championship
|
4.6 | 2 · 2.5 | Over 4.5: 48% | |
|
QPR vs Burnley
Championship
|
4.3 | 2.2 · 2 | Over 4.5: 42% | |
|
Watford vs Lincoln
Championship
|
4.4 | 2.1 · 2.3 | Over 4.5: 46% | |
|
Charlton vs Bolton
Championship
|
3.3 | 1.7 · 1.6 | Over 3.5: 42% | |
|
Atletico Madrid vs Bayern München
UEFA Champions League
|
3.8 | 2 · 1.8 | Over 3.5: 53% | |
|
Barcelona vs Aston Villa
UEFA Champions League
|
3.3 | 1.6 · 1.7 | Over 3.5: 42% | |
|
Bodo/Glimt vs Lille
UEFA Champions League
|
3 | 1.1 · 1.9 | Over 2.5: 57% | |
|
Feyenoord vs Inter
UEFA Champions League
|
3.6 | 1.3 · 2.3 | Over 3.5: 48% | |
|
Manchester United vs AS Roma
UEFA Champions League
|
4.2 | 2.2 · 2 | Over 4.5: 40% | |
|
Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain
UEFA Champions League
|
2.9 | 1.6 · 1.3 | Over 2.5: 56% | |
|
Birmingham vs Millwall
Championship
|
3.8 | 1.9 · 2 | Over 3.5: 54% | |
|
West Brom vs Southampton
Championship
|
4 | 2 · 2 | Over 3.5: 56% |
Questions
How are expected cards calculated?
The home side's yellow-card average in its last 10 home matches plus the away side's in its last 10 away matches, pulled toward the league average when a team has played few games.
Have a specific question about a match?
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