Football results Monday 9 November 2026: AI predictions review

Monday 9 November 2026 was a clean sweep for the underdogs and a bruising night for the TuringStats models. Ten frontier AI systems were run across five fixtures in Norway, England, Mexico and Colombia. Not one of the five consensus calls survived the final whistle. The record reads 0 of 5 — the first complete wipeout of the week and a reminder of how thin the margins can be on a Monday card.

The biggest surprise came in Liga MX, where Club Queretaro were backed by 100% of the models at an average confidence of 53% and lost 0-2 at home to Puebla. Kristiansund BK's 1-0 win over Valerenga was almost as jolting: a unanimous Valerenga pick at 51% average confidence, undone by a single goal.

A night of upsets: the consensus went 0 of 5 across five fixtures on Monday.

Where the AI got it right

Nothing. For the first time in this review cycle there is no correct consensus call to report. All five fixtures went against the models, and the section that normally lists the hits is instead a blank page. The closest the panel came was structural rather than practical: the most common predicted scoreline in the Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction was 1-1, which is exactly how that match finished. But the models paired that scoreline with a Leon win, so the draw still counted as a miss. Similarly, the Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros prediction leaned on a 1-1 modal score, and Llaneros won 2-1 instead. Close reading, wrong outcome.

Where it got it wrong

The five misses share a pattern: heavy consensus, modest confidence, and a result that flipped the script. Start in Eliteserien, where the Kristiansund BK vs Valerenga prediction drew a unanimous Valerenga win from all 10 models at 51% average confidence, with 1-2 the most common score. Kristiansund won 1-0. A 100% pick at barely better than a coin flip is a warning sign the panel ignored.

In the FA Cup, the Plymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted prediction was another unanimous call — Plymouth Parkway, 2-1 the modal score, 51% average confidence. It finished 1-1. Non-league cup ties are notoriously resistant to form lines, and this one held true to type.

Liga MX produced the night's costliest error. The Club Queretaro vs Puebla prediction was 100% behind a Queretaro win at 53% average confidence, the highest of the day, with 2-1 the most common score. Puebla won 0-2. The second Mexican fixture, Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas, saw 80% of models back Leon at 44% average confidence; the 1-1 modal score arrived, but as a draw, not a Leon win.

Finally, in Colombia's Primera A, the Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros prediction had 90% of the panel on the hosts at 40% average confidence — the lowest confidence of the day and still a miss. Llaneros won 2-1.

Models of the day

No model covered itself in glory, but eight of the eleven escaped with a single correct call. GPT-6 Luna, Qwen 3.8 Max, MiMo V2.6 Pro, Grok 4.7, Gemini 3.8 Flash, Kimi K3, GLM 5.3 and Meta Muse Spark 1.3 all finished 1 of 5. The bottom of the table is occupied by Mistral Medium 3.5 at 0 of 4, Claude Sonnet 5.5 at 0 of 5 and DeepSeek V4 Pro at 0 of 5. Given that the consensus itself went 0 of 5, the standout performers were simply the models that deviated from the crowd at least once.

Full results

• Eliteserien: Kristiansund BK 1-0 Valerenga — consensus Valerenga win (100%) WRONG
• FA Cup: Plymouth Parkway 1-1 Berkhamsted — consensus Plymouth Parkway win (100%) WRONG
• Liga MX: Club Queretaro 0-2 Puebla — consensus Club Queretaro win (100%) WRONG
• Liga MX: Leon 1-1 Guadalajara Chivas — consensus Leon win (80%) WRONG
• Primera A: Alianza Valledupar 1-2 Llaneros — consensus Alianza Valledupar win (90%) WRONG

The panel returns to the board for today's fixtures, with a fresh set of consensus calls and a point to prove after a 0 of 5 Monday. Full model-by-model breakdowns are available on the today's predictions page.

Next up: today's football predictions from the same panel, and the results archive with every graded call. Forecasts are informational only.