ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 10 Nov 8, 2026 · 17:30 · UTC Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels Not Started

Union St. Gilloise
vs
Genk.

Quick answer

Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Genk?

10 of 10 AI models pick Union St. Gilloise to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 2–1 at 60% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Union St. Gilloise form Genk form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (751 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Union St. Gilloise (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 60% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Jupiler Pro League table Where Union St. Gilloise and Genk stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Union St. Gilloise win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Genk win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Union St. Gilloise win
2–1
68%
Union are unbeaten at 7-2-0 with a 27-6 goal difference and have won the last four listed meetings with Genk. Their strong home form and defensive record outweigh Genk’s improving attack.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Union St. Gilloise win
2–0
58%
USG dominant league leaders (7W2D0L, 27-6) with strong defense and recent H2H edge over Genk; Genk's inconsistent form supports a controlled home win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Union St. Gilloise win
2–0
62%
Unbeaten Union St. Gilloise boast an elite defense conceding just six goals in nine league games. Their dominant home form should keep Genk's attack contained.
04
Grok 4.6
Union St. Gilloise win
2–0
52%
Union unbeaten, 27-6 with five clean sheets at home; Genk leakier and Union have won four of five H2H. Elite defence supports a 2-0 rather than another 2-1.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Union St. Gilloise win
2–1
58%
Union unbeaten with 27 goals in 9 and strong H2H record; Genk competitive but leaky away. Home edge and superior attack support a narrow win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Union St. Gilloise win
2–0
62%
Union unbeaten with league-best defense (6 conceded, 5 clean sheets) and dominant H2H vs Genk; their attack averages 3 goals/game while Genk struggle to break down top defenses.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Union St. Gilloise win
2–1
62%
Union's strong home form (7W, 27-6 GD) and recent H2H edge (3 wins in last 5) outweigh Genk's inconsistency.
08
Kimi K3
Union St. Gilloise win
2–1
62%
Union unbeaten with league-best defense (6 conceded) and dominant H2H (4 wins in last 5). Genk's attack scores but leaks goals away; Union's late scoring threat (32% after 75') should secure narrow home win.
09
GLM 5.3
Union St. Gilloise win
2–1
58%
Union are unbeaten (7W-2D, 27-6) at home with strong H2H edge (four wins in five vs Genk). Genk's Durosinmi scores, so 2-1 fits both sides' patterns.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Union St. Gilloise win
2–1
58%
Union are unbeaten at 7W-2D with 27-6 goals and strong home form, plus four straight H2H wins over Genk; Genk's Durosinmi keeps them scoring, so a narrow home win fits.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    6 models
  • 2–0
    4 models
Team news

Predicted lineups: Union St. Gilloise vs Genk

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Union St. Gilloise

3-1-4-2 · XI v Cercle Brugge, 25 Oct
38 Relebohile Mofokeng
38 Mofokeng
30 Raul Florucz
30 Florucz
11 Guilherme Smith
11 Smith
23 Besfort Zeneli
23 Zeneli
20 Dylan Aquino
20 Aquino
27 Louis Patris
27 Patris
6 Kamiel Van de Perre
6 Perre
55 Nikki Havenaar
55 Havenaar
29 Massire Sylla
29 Sylla
4 Nohim Chibani
4 Chibani
12 Hervé Koffi
12 Koffi

Genk

4-2-3-1 · XI v Standard Liege, 25 Oct
17 Rafiu Durosinmi
17 Durosinmi
32 Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
32 Adedeji-Sternberg
38 Daan Heymans
38 Heymans
10 Junya Ito
10 Ito
8 Bryan Heynen
8 Heynen
4 Benjamin Tahirović
4 Tahirović
18 Joris Kayembe
18 Kayembe
44 Josue Ndenge Kongolo
44 Kongolo
6 Matte Smets
6 Smets
20 Kevin Amaro
20 Amaro
28 Lucca Brughmans
28 Brughmans

Season data

Jupiler Pro League numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Union St. Gilloise

3-4-1-2
W-D-L
7-2-0
Goals
27-6
Clean sheets
5
Failed to score
1
Best win run
5
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Genk

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
4-3-2
Goals
18-13
Clean sheets
3
Failed to score
2
Best win run
1
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Union St. Gilloise

  • R. Mofokeng 4 G · 2 A · 8 apps
  • B. Zeneli 2 G · 4 A · 9 apps
  • M. Biondic 2 G · 4 A · 7 apps

Key players · Genk

  • R. Durosinmi 6 G · 0 A · 9 apps
  • A. Bibout 3 G · 0 A · 9 apps
  • J. Erenbjerg 0 G · 3 A · 9 apps

Top scorers · Jupiler Pro League

  1. 1 N. Bassette KVC Westerlo 7
  2. 2 N. Tresoldi Club Brugge KV 7
  3. 3 R. Durosinmi Genk 6
  4. 4 R. Florucz Union St. Gilloise 5
  5. 5 M. Ubandoma RAAL La Louvière 5
Venue Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels
New at Union St. Gilloise D. Egel (FC Astoria Walldorf), Daniel Tshilanda (Sporting Hasselt), D. Aquino (Lanus)
New at Genk M. Kone (San-Pédro), M. Roganović (FK Partizan), T. Leysen (OH Leuven)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Union St. Gilloise

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 60% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.00 vs 0.60

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Union St. Gilloise Genk Expected total Lean
Corners 6.1 3.6 9.6 Under 9.5 51% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.7 1.7 3.5 Under 3.5 54% Ask AI
Shots 15.9 12.3 28.2 Under 28.5 54% Ask AI
Shots on target 6.1 4.5 10.6 Under 10.5 51% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Union St. Gilloise
#3 · 23 PTS · GD +21
Last 5
W W W D D
14 GF · 4 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Cercle Brugge 5-2 W
  • Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-0 W
  • Nijlen 3-0 W
  • Real Sociedad 1-1 D
  • OH Leuven 1-1 D
Team news
A. Ait El Hadj — Off the roster R. Florucz — Red Card K. Mac Allister — Knee Injury I. Pavlic — Off the roster R. Sykes — Shoulder Injury K. Van De Perre — Red Card A. Zorgane — Red Card I. Hurtevent — Knock O. Kricfalusi — Knock K. Rodriguez — Muscle Injury R. Schoofs — Knock
Genk
#6 · 15 PTS · GD +5
Last 5
W W W L L
8 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Standard Liege 2-1 W
  • Excelsior Virton 0-2 W
  • Kortrijk 3-0 W
  • Fortuna Sittard 1-2 L
  • Club Brugge KV 3-0 L
Team news

No major injury updates in the current API snapshot.

— Head to head

Last five meetings.

UNI 4 · D 0 · GEN 1

UNI VS GEN
2-1
HOME WIN
Mar 7, 2026
GEN VS UNI
1-2
AWAY WIN
Sep 21, 2025
UNI VS GEN
1-0
HOME WIN
May 3, 2025
GEN VS UNI
1-2
AWAY WIN
Apr 20, 2025
GEN VS UNI
2-1
HOME WIN
Mar 15, 2025

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Union St. Gilloise, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Jupiler Pro League games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Union St. Gilloise
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Genk
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.60 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.9 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Union St. Gilloise is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.60 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Union St. Gilloise win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Union St. Gilloise vs Genk in Jupiler Pro League? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Union St. Gilloise win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Genk, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.