ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 48% KON 1-2 GAL · 53% LEH 0-2 PAR · 63% NIC 1-2 REN · 48% BOD 1-2 VIK · 44% LYN 1-1 RAN · 40% ALS 1-2 AL- · 55% SVE 1-2 FSV · 45% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 61% VIL 2-1 ESP · 55% SHE 2-1 WRE · 47% LIL 2-1 LEN · 49% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9 Nov 6, 2026 · 19:45 · UTC Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse Not Started

Toulouse
vs
Strasbourg.

Quick answer

Who will win Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

10 of 10 AI models pick Toulouse to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 2–1 at 54% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Toulouse form Strasbourg form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (751 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Toulouse (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 2–1 at 54% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Ligue 1 table Where Toulouse and Strasbourg stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Toulouse win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Strasbourg win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-6 Luna
Toulouse win
1–0
61%
Toulouse are unbeaten in eight, have home advantage and recently beat Strasbourg twice. Strasbourg’s four straight losses and 18 conceded goals point to a narrow home win, though Toulouse’s modest scoring rate favors 1-0.
02
Claude Sonnet 5.5
Toulouse win
2–1
56%
Toulouse stable at home with Tengstedt scoring form; Strasbourg's five-game losing streak and leaky defense (18 conceded) favor a narrow Toulouse win.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Toulouse win
2–1
56%
Strasbourg are struggling on a four-game losing streak with zero clean sheets, giving in-form Tengstedt and Toulouse the edge at home.
04
Grok 4.7
Toulouse win
2–1
52%
Toulouse unbeaten in five with home H2H edge; Strasbourg on a four-loss run and zero clean sheets, so a narrow home win with both sides scoring fits.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Toulouse win
2–1
48%
Toulouse are unbeaten in five and have won the last two H2Hs, while Strasbourg have lost five straight and conceded in every game. Home edge plus Strasbourg's poor defense points to a narrow Toulouse win.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Toulouse win
1–0
42%
Toulouse unbeaten in five with solid defense; Strasbourg in dire form (DLLLL, 0 clean sheets). Toulouse's draw tendency tempers confidence, but Strasbourg's collapse favors a narrow home win.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Toulouse win
1–0
62%
Toulouse unbeaten in last five, Strasbourg on five straight losses; home form and clean sheets edge.
08
Kimi K3
Toulouse win
2–1
58%
Toulouse's home form and Tengstedt's finishing edge out Strasbourg's leaky defense; Strasbourg's late goals suggest a consolation but not a comeback.
09
GLM 5.3
Toulouse win
1–0
52%
Toulouse are unbeaten in five and won the last two H2H meetings, while Strasbourg have one win in eight and no clean sheets; a tight home win fits Toulouse's low-scoring profile.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Toulouse win
2–1
48%
Toulouse unbeaten in five (DWDWD) at home versus Strasbourg's four straight losses and no clean sheets; H2H shows tight, low-margin games here, so a narrow home win fits best.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

6 of 10 models settled on 2–1. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 2–1
    6 models
  • 1–0
    4 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 2.00 / 3.60 / 3.25
Toulouse Market 46% · AI 100%
Draw Market 26% · AI 0%
Strasbourg Market 28% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Toulouse vs Strasbourg

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Toulouse

4-4-2 · XI v Estac Troyes, 25 Oct
Jens Berthel Askou
20 C. Tengstedt
20 Tengstedt
13 J. Russell-Rowe
13 Russell-Rowe
8 T. Jørgensen
8 Jørgensen
14 N. Sigur
14 Sigur
23 C. Cásseres
23 Cásseres
15 A. Dønnum
15 Dønnum
12 C. Tapé
12 Tapé
3 M. McKenzie
3 McKenzie
2 R. Nicolaisen
2 Nicolaisen
22 R. Messali
22 Messali
16 G. Restes
16 Restes

Strasbourg

4-2-3-1 · XI v Rennes, 25 Oct
Hugo Oliveira
40 C. Harder
40 Harder
21 P. Diop
21 Diop
10 G. Reyna
10 Reyna
80 Gessime Yassine
80 Yassine
23 Diogo Sousa
23 Sousa
14 Dário Essugo
14 Essugo
36 Oso
36 Oso
31 Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
31 Coulibaly
4 J. Mitchell
4 Mitchell
16 G. Antwi
16 Antwi
1 F. Jörgensen
1 Jörgensen

Season data

Ligue 1 numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Toulouse

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
2-4-2
Goals
12-11
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
3
Best win run
1
Penalties
2/2
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Strasbourg

4-3-3
W-D-L
2-1-5
Goals
12-18
Clean sheets
0
Failed to score
2
Best win run
2
Penalties
0/0
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Toulouse

  • C. Tengstedt 5 G · 1 A · 6 apps
  • C. Cásseres 0 G · 5 A · 8 apps

Key players · Strasbourg

  • Gessime Yassine 2 G · 2 A · 8 apps

Top scorers · Ligue 1

  1. 1 E. Lepaul Rennes 7
  2. 2 L. Sinayoko Paris FC 6
  3. 3 C. Archer Auxerre 5
  4. 4 A. Gouiri Marseille 5
  5. 5 C. Tengstedt Toulouse 5
Venue Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
New at Toulouse M. Amougou (Strasbourg), N. Sigur (HNK Hajduk Split), C. Tengstedt (Feyenoord)
New at Strasbourg Dário Essugo (Chelsea), C. Harder (RB Leipzig), Deivid Washington (Chelsea)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Toulouse

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 54% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 1.60 vs 0.60

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Toulouse Strasbourg Expected total Lean
Corners 5.2 3.8 9.0 Over 8.5 54% Ask AI
Yellow cards 2.4 1.9 4.3 Under 4.5 57% Ask AI
Shots 14.3 11.8 26.1 Under 26.5 54% Ask AI
Shots on target 4.7 5.0 9.7 Over 9.5 50% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Toulouse
#11 · 10 PTS · GD +1
Last 5
D W D W D
10 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Estac Troyes 0-0 D
  • Le Mans 0-3 W
  • Monaco 2-2 D
  • Le Havre 3-2 W
  • Lorient 2-2 D
Team news
A. Donnum — Personal Reasons A. Francis — Muscle Injury A. Vossah — Yellow Cards Y. Gboho — Transfer negotiations R. Nicolaisen — Calf Injury G. Restes — Injury J. Vignolo — Inactive M. Niflore — Injury S. Oppong — Calf Injury R. Messali — Thigh Injury
Strasbourg
#16 · 7 PTS · GD -6
Last 5
L L L L D
4 GF · 11 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Rennes 3-0 L
  • Paris Saint Germain 1-3 L
  • Nice 2-1 L
  • Paris FC 2-1 L
  • Monaco 1-1 D
Team news
B. Chilwell — Hamstring Injury I. Doukoure — Injury M. Godo — Muscle Injury J. Panichelli — Knee Injury S. El Mourabet — Red Card M. Oyedele — Injury S. Amo-Ameyaw — Inactive F. Balde — Leg Injury S. Nanasi — Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

TOU 2 · D 1 · STR 2

STR VS TOU
1-2
AWAY WIN
May 3, 2026
TOU VS STR
1-0
HOME WIN
Dec 6, 2025
STR VS TOU
2-1
HOME WIN
Mar 16, 2025
TOU VS STR
1-2
AWAY WIN
Jan 12, 2025
TOU VS STR
0-0
DRAW
Apr 7, 2024

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Toulouse, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Ligue 1 games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Toulouse
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Strasbourg
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.20 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 2.5 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Toulouse is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.20 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Toulouse win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Toulouse vs Strasbourg in Ligue 1? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (2 - 1; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Toulouse win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Toulouse vs Strasbourg, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.