ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66% ABH 0-2 AL- · 64% ALD 0-1 NEO · 49% KON 1-2 GAL · 54% LEH 0-2 PAR · 64% NIC 1-2 REN · 50% BOD 1-2 VIK · 46% LYN 1-1 RAN · 41% ALS 1-2 AL- · 56% SVE 1-2 FSV · 46% ZUL 0-2 CLU · 62% VIL 2-1 ESP · 56% SHE 2-1 WRE · 48% LIL 2-1 LEN · 50% CAS 0-2 SPO · 66%
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9 Nov 7, 2026 · 19:45 · UTC Parc des Princes, Paris Not Started

Paris Saint Germain
vs
Estac Troyes.

Quick answer

Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?

10 of 10 AI models pick Paris Saint Germain to win (100%). The mean predicted score is 3–0 at 64% average confidence (medium).

Consensus of independent AI models on TuringStats, updated before kickoff. Not betting advice.

Head-to-head history → Paris Saint Germain form Estac Troyes form

All 10 AIs agree. When the whole council agrees, it has been right 62% of the time (751 matches).

10 AI models read this match. The plurality on 1X2 leans toward Paris Saint Germain (10 of 10 models). The mean predicted score (rounded from all models) is 3–0 at 64% mean confidence (Medium band) — see the strip and table below.

Who do you think will win?

Vote before kick-off and compare with AI

Ligue 1 table Where Paris Saint Germain and Estac Troyes stand right now
— Consensus

Where the panel lands.

Vote share across models. Read this strip first, then the line-by-line table.

Paris Saint Germain win 100%

10 / 10 models

Draw 0%

0 / 10 models

Estac Troyes win 0%

0 / 10 models

— Model breakdown

10 picks. Receipts attached.

Line-by-line comparison of each system’s call.

#
Model
Pick
Score
Conf.
Reasoning
01
GPT-5.6 Luna
Paris Saint Germain win
2–0
78%
PSG are unbeaten in eight, have won their last five, and host a Troyes side with five defeats and five scoreless matches. Troyes's limited attack makes a controlled 2-0 home win the likeliest exact line.
02
Claude Sonnet 5
Paris Saint Germain win
3–0
68%
PSG on five-game win streak at home against a struggling Troyes side with one win all season and five losses in last five.
03
Gemini 3.8 Flash
Paris Saint Germain win
3–0
74%
PSG are on a five-game winning streak facing a Troyes side that has failed to score in five matches and conceded 16 goals.
04
Grok 4.6
Paris Saint Germain win
3–0
58%
PSG unbeaten run of five wins at Parc des Princes versus Troyes' five failures to score and 1-5-2 record; H2H and attack gap support a clean-sheet home win.
05
DeepSeek V4 Pro
Paris Saint Germain win
2–0
63%
PSG top form with five straight wins and strong attack at Parc des Princes; Troyes have failed to score in five of eight and lost five of last six, making a home clean-sheet win likely.
06
Qwen 3.8 Max
Paris Saint Germain win
2–0
18%
PSG on five-game winning streak at home; Troyes failed to score in 5 of 8 matches and concede 2 per game. Clean sheet likely given Troyes' attacking impotence.
07
Mistral Medium 3.5
Paris Saint Germain win
3–0
72%
PSG in dominant form (5W, 16-9 goals), Troyes struggling (1W, 5-16 goals, 5 clean sheets failed). Home advantage at Parc des Princes.
08
Kimi K3
Paris Saint Germain win
3–0
68%
PSG perfect in last five with 16 goals scored; Troyes lost five straight, failed to score in five of eight. H2H shows PSG dominance at Parc des Princes.
09
GLM 5.3
Paris Saint Germain win
3–0
70%
PSG are in strong form (WWWWW) with Ferran Torres scoring, while Troyes have lost four straight and failed to score in five games; a comfortable home win with a clean sheet fits.
10
MiMo V2.6 Pro
Paris Saint Germain win
3–0
68%
PSG's five straight wins and 16 goals face a Troyes side with 5 losses and 5 blanks; Parc des Princes and H2H dominance point to a controlled home win, though Troyes' two clean sheets keep it modest.
— Scoreline frequency

How often each scoreline showed up.

7 of 10 models settled on 3–0. That convergence is a strong scoreline signal—many fixtures fan out wider across the panel.

  • 3–0
    7 models
  • 2–0
    3 models

Bookmakers vs the AI panel

Bet365 · 1.14 / 7.50 / 15.00
Paris Saint Germain Market 81% · AI 100%
Draw Market 13% · AI 0%
Estac Troyes Market 6% · AI 0%

Grey: bookmaker prices as probabilities, margin removed. Lime: share of the 10 AI models picking each result.

Team news

Predicted lineups: Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes

Each side's last starting XI, with players ruled out of this match marked. The confirmed lineups replace this about an hour before kickoff.

Paris Saint Germain

4-3-3 · XI v Lyon, 26 Oct
Luis Enrique
11 M. Akliouche
11 Akliouche
9 Ferran Torres
9 Torres
14 D. Doué
14 Doué
8 Fabián Ruiz
8 Ruiz
17 Vitinha
17 Vitinha
87 João Neves
87 Neves
33 W. Zaïre-Emery
33 Zaïre-Emery
51 W. Pacho
51 Pacho
6 I. Zabarnyi
6 Zabarnyi
2 A. Hakimi
2 Hakimi
39 M. Safonov
39 Safonov

Estac Troyes

4-3-3 · XI v Toulouse, 25 Oct
S. Dumont
10 M. Ifnaoui
10 Ifnaoui
20 R. Ripart
20 Ripart
23 T. Nkada
23 Nkada
8 M. Diop
8 Diop
29 D. Karim
29 Karim
17 A. Mille
17 Mille
5 P. Gozzi
5 Gozzi
4 M. Diaz
4 Diaz
6 A. Monfray
6 Monfray
2 L. Maronnier
2 Maronnier
40 H. Konaté
40 Konaté

Season data

Ligue 1 numbers for both sides, when they score and the players who carry them.

Paris Saint Germain

4-3-3
W-D-L
5-2-1
Goals
16-9
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
0
Best win run
0
Penalties
1/3
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Estac Troyes

4-2-3-1
W-D-L
1-2-5
Goals
5-16
Clean sheets
2
Failed to score
5
Best win run
1
Penalties
1/1
When they score
15'30'45'60'75'90'
When they concede
15'30'45'60'75'90'

Key players · Paris Saint Germain

  • Ferran Torres 4 G · 1 A · 8 apps
  • Marquinhos 3 G · 0 A · 5 apps

Key players · Estac Troyes

  • No player in the competition's top scorers or assisters.

Top scorers · Ligue 1

  1. 1 E. Lepaul Rennes 7
  2. 2 L. Sinayoko Paris FC 6
  3. 3 C. Archer Auxerre 5
  4. 4 A. Gouiri Marseille 5
  5. 5 C. Tengstedt Toulouse 5
Venue Parc des Princes, Paris
New at Paris Saint Germain M. Godts (Ajax), Ferran Torres (Barcelona), L. Digne (Aston Villa)
New at Estac Troyes T. Nkada (Standard Liege), J. Le Douaron (Palermo), D. Karim (Lommel United)
— Aggregated insights

What’s moving the panel.

01
Consensus favors Paris Saint Germain

100% of models lean home — the clearest cluster on this fixture before kickoff.

02
Medium confidence

Mean 64% across the panel with real dispersion — compare unanimous calls vs split tickets in the model table.

03
xG tilt 2.70 vs 0.00

Derived from predicted scorelines (model means), not live match data — useful for pace vs vote-share sanity checks.

04
Match context

Expected-goals tilt and home-field rhythm (see xG on this page) usually explain whether the game stays open or compresses late.

Ask the Council about this match

Pro

10 AI models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and the model picks above attached — not from memory. Then keep asking the same council follow-ups.

Match stats forecast

Corners, cards and shots from each side's last 10 matches at this venue, blended with the league average. Pure statistics, not an AI vote.

No AI
Metric Paris Saint Germain Estac Troyes Expected total Lean
Corners 6.8 5.1 11.9 Over 11.5 53% Ask AI
Yellow cards 1.4 1.7 3.0 Under 3.5 64% Ask AI
Shots 17.9 12.5 30.4 Under 30.5 52% Ask AI
Shots on target 6.9 3.6 10.6 Under 10.5 51% Ask AI

Sample: 10 matches per side. Over the last 90 days the corners lean hit 55% of 249 graded matches, cards 58% of 250. Probabilities are Poisson estimates for information only.

— Match context

Form, history, team news.

Paris Saint Germain
#1 · 17 PTS · GD +7
Last 5
W W W W W
16 GF · 6 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Lyon 2-0 W
  • Barcelona 4-2 W
  • Strasbourg 1-3 W
  • Manchester City 2-4 W
  • Le Mans 3-1 W
Team news
B. Barcola — Inactive I. Mbaye — Inactive N. Mendes — Red Card O. Dembele — Rest J. Neves — Illness L. Digne — Inactive A. Longoni — Muscle Injury S. Mayulu — Inactive I. Zabarnyi — Coach's decision A. Hakimi — Thigh Injury Q. Ndjantou — Inactive K. Kvaratskhelia — Knee Injury
Estac Troyes
#17 · 5 PTS · GD -11
Last 5
D L L D L
3 GF · 9 GA
Recent fixtures
  • Toulouse 0-0 D
  • Lens 1-3 L
  • Marseille 0-2 L
  • Dijon 2-2 D
  • Angers 2-0 L
Team news
I. Boura — Injury A. Fatah — Hamstring Injury Y. Titi — Injury P. Gozzi — Muscle Injury M. Ifnaoui — Calf Injury A. Phliponeau — Knee Injury Y. Kone — Knee Injury A. Ouzenadji — Knee Injury
— Head to head

Last five meetings.

PAR 3 · D 1 · EST 0

EST VS PAR
1-3
AWAY WIN
May 7, 2023
PAR VS EST
4-3
HOME WIN
Oct 29, 2022
PAR VS EST
2-2
DRAW
May 8, 2022
EST VS PAR
1-2
AWAY WIN
Aug 7, 2021

Confidence trend

Cumulative average confidence in table order.

First model Last model

Betting tips (AI-signal view)

Educational only — not financial advice. We summarize how the AI picks cluster so you can cross-check with your own staking plan.

  • Lean with the plurality: when 100% of models side with Paris Saint Germain, treat that as the default script unless late team news breaks the assumptions.
  • Watch the draw lane at 0% — tight Ligue 1 games often compress toward stalemates when both midfields win the second-ball.
  • If you chase “best bets today” narratives, require alignment between the headline pick and the score-frequency table; conflicting signals usually mean thinner edge.

Odds & analysis (implied probabilities)

Implied fair percentages from the model vote share (normalized to 100%) approximate how a balanced market might price the 1X2 if it mirrored this panel — useful for odds analysis homework even though we do not quote sportsbook ticks here.

Paris Saint Germain
~100%
implied lean
Draw
~0%
implied lean
Estac Troyes
~0%
implied lean

Over / under prediction (totals)

Model-derived xG sums to 2.70 goals in expectation. A notional totals line near 3 is consistent with that pace (rounded for readability). If your sportsbook posts a similar number, compare juice and live team news before deciding either side of the total.

Handicap prediction (spread-style read)

When Paris Saint Germain is priced as the stronger side in the model vote, a −1 handicap narrative only clears if the most common scorelines include multi-goal wins. Cross-check the score-frequency list: if tight one-goal wins dominate, Asian handicaps near pick’em or −0.5 / −0.75 splits often fit the story better than a full −1.5 sell.

BTTS prediction (both teams to score)

With combined offensive weight near 2.70 xG, a heuristic “both teams score” prior lands around 55% yes before defensive adjustments. If several top models forecast clean-sheet pathways, downgrade BTTS enthusiasm even when the raw xG sum looks juicy.

Best bet framing (consensus-led)

Our headline best bet label follows the consensus recommendation: Paris Saint Germain win. Pair that with the confidence band (Medium) — high dispersion across models usually argues for smaller stake or pass, even when the headline pick looks tempting for a today prediction card on social.

Match overview

Looking for a today prediction on Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes in Ligue 1? TuringStats aggregates multiple AI scorelines into one readable page so you can see who the models favor, the mean predicted score shown in the hero (3 - 0; the frequency chart below lists the most common exact scorelines), and implied splits before kickoff.

This prediction hub is written for readers comparing betting tips-style language with transparent model votes — not a single black-box call. The headline read is Paris Saint Germain win, with vote shares roughly 100% / 0% / 0% home, draw, and away (rounded).

If you are asking who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes, start with the consensus strip and model table, then cross-check form and injuries in Match context further down — that order keeps the strongest signals first.

Explore more

Keep browsing today prediction coverage and league hubs.

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— Journal

Articles linked to these clubs or AI forecasting.

Ask multiple AIs about this match.

10 models vote yes or no with this match's last-5 form, head-to-head, live status and our model picks attached — not from memory. Then ask follow-ups to the same council.